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Post by Benfxmth on Feb 6, 2023 15:44:39 GMT -5
NYC has seen the latest first measurable snow last week (on February 1, the latest on record beating January 29 in 1973), and continued mild temps are likely there—so the question is: will it see >=1" of snowfall this season?
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Post by Yahya Sinwar on Feb 6, 2023 15:51:29 GMT -5
Nyc has till like mid April for this to be a reasonable request so yeah I think they will
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Post by Speagles84 on Feb 6, 2023 15:56:10 GMT -5
Nyc has till like mid April for this to be a reasonable request so yeah I think they will Lol 3 out of the last 33 years have had snowfall over 1" in April, one being 1.2" lmao If it doesn't happen by March 20. It's over. 1.5 months to go |
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Post by Yahya Sinwar on Feb 6, 2023 15:58:09 GMT -5
Nyc has till like mid April for this to be a reasonable request so yeah I think they will Lol 3 out of the last 33 years have had snowfall over 1" in April, one being 1.2" lmao If it doesn't happen by March 20. It's over. 1.5 months to go I saw it snow 2 inches in Long Island April 2018. Oyster bay . I was in Manhattan at the time which also saw snow but nothing accumulated |
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Post by Yahya Sinwar on Feb 6, 2023 16:01:04 GMT -5
Forecast is for cold March and April likely centered on northeast and Great Lakes. I would use similar marchs and aprils to those conditions such as 2018, 2015,2014, 2013 to make my prediction .
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Post by Metsfan257 on Feb 6, 2023 17:07:23 GMT -5
I'd lean towards yes due to climatology. Most of February will be warm, but late February would be my guess for a last shot of cold/snow there before high sun angles etc take over in March as looking ahead there's potential based on the MJO for a brief period of cold in late February, before it goes back into the warm phases in the Eastern US.
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Post by Metsfan257 on Feb 6, 2023 17:10:00 GMT -5
Also shame on you Benfxmth for starting this thread, you just opened an entire Pandora's Box of Tarlife's cold boteving. You should know better. I never see Tarlife post on weather threads lol, you should have seen this coming. |
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Post by tommyFL on Feb 6, 2023 17:18:29 GMT -5
Yes. Current seasonal total is 0.4" and 26 out of 30 years in 1991-2020 had at least 0.6" of snowfall after Feb 13th (the last day in the snowless NWS 7-day forecast).
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Post by Steelernation on Feb 6, 2023 17:42:11 GMT -5
Yes
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Post by antares on Feb 6, 2023 17:52:04 GMT -5
NYC, especially lA gUaRdIa, will get a nice big snowfall in late February/early March.
Gonna be a doozy!
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Post by nei on Feb 6, 2023 21:38:36 GMT -5
I had in mind a day with 1" of snow not 1" total for the rest of the season when I proposed this thread
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Post by Metsfan257 on Feb 6, 2023 21:40:11 GMT -5
I had in mind a day with 1" of snow not 1" total for the rest of the season when I proposed this thread So you started this mess? Ah Benny, guess you're sorta off the hook then. |
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Post by nei on Feb 6, 2023 21:44:13 GMT -5
I had in mind a day with 1" of snow not 1" total for the rest of the season when I proposed this thread So you started this mess? Ah Benny, guess you're sorta off the hook then. yea I suggested it. this snowless pattern is extreme, never seen a winter this bad before. rooting for no snow at this point to be a record. |
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Post by nei on Feb 6, 2023 21:45:14 GMT -5
def no chance in the next couple weeks given models and general pattern. ofc could shift in March and 1" of snow is much at all. but chances decline fast in Match
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Post by Metsfan257 on Feb 6, 2023 21:46:15 GMT -5
So you started this mess? Ah Benny, guess you're sorta off the hook then. yea I suggested it. this snowless pattern is extreme, never seen a winter this bad before. rooting for no snow at this point to be a record. This was a "good" winter, not a "bad" winter.
Also, by suggesting this thread, you provoked the usual NYC cold botev lot.
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Post by Milwaukee Mass Murderer on Feb 6, 2023 21:50:29 GMT -5
I know NYC is warmer than I think, but threads like this are just a reminder how far off I am. I didn't think NYC could go a winter without an inch of snow, or that something like that was even likely enough to make a thread about it. Doesn't help that the media hypes up every chance of snow and cold they get.
Every year with data on NOWData for the 3 main stations has over an inch, so I vote yes. The lowest was 1.6 at JFK airport in 1972-1973.
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Post by srfoskey on Feb 10, 2023 17:08:20 GMT -5
I feel like NYC will pick up an inch or two from a random cold shot in late February/early March. It's just hard for me to imagine them going the whole winter without an inch of snow.
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Post by nei on Feb 21, 2023 10:54:27 GMT -5
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Post by Yahya Sinwar on Feb 28, 2023 11:56:30 GMT -5
So NYC Central park got about 2 inches yesterday, lga nearly 3. So daily snow over 1 inch has happened. More coming now the question is will they get the seasonal total to 6 inches? So the loser who voted no you lost
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Post by Metsfan257 on Feb 28, 2023 14:48:52 GMT -5
srfoskey and I basically nailed it with our late February snow event predictions a few weeks back.
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