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Post by Deleted on Sept 23, 2017 18:14:10 GMT -5
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Post by sari on Sept 23, 2017 18:17:56 GMT -5
Ew. Looks like a third mild winter in a row for me then.
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Post by Deleted on Sept 23, 2017 18:27:53 GMT -5
Ew. Looks like a third mild winter in a row for me then. The 1st picture is what a typical La Nina pattern is like in thee US during the Winter, not to confuse it with the actual forecasts for the upcoming Winter. |
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Post by patriciusmaximus on Oct 2, 2017 0:16:04 GMT -5
One thing that stands out to me on that map is that there's a marked concentration of warm water in the north of the world and cold water in the south. Somewhat unusual as a pattern, though probably more or less random. Ew. Looks like a third mild winter in a row for me then. The 1st picture is what a typical La Nina pattern is like in thee US during the Winter, not to confuse it with the actual forecasts for the upcoming Winter. Well, a mild winter is far from guaranteed. 2011 was one of the most severe winters in living memory in the eastern U.S. and that was a first-year La Nina winter, and the consensus beforehand even said it would be mild! The cold waters now look east-based, which was also true in late 2010. I'm not saying it's necessarily going to be cold for you next winter, but I am saying the jury is very much still out on what kind of winter season it will be. |
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Post by sari on Oct 2, 2017 16:43:59 GMT -5
One thing that stands out to me on that map is that there's a marked concentration of warm water in the north of the world and cold water in the south. Somewhat unusual as a pattern, though probably more or less random. The 1st picture is what a typical La Nina pattern is like in thee US during the Winter, not to confuse it with the actual forecasts for the upcoming Winter. Well, a mild winter is far from guaranteed. 2011 was one of the most severe winters in living memory in the eastern U.S. and that was a first-year La Nina winter, and the consensus beforehand even said it would be mild! The cold waters now look east-based, which was also true in late 2010. I'm not saying it's necessarily going to be cold for you next winter, but I am saying the jury is very much still out on what kind of winter season it will be. You mean 2010-2011, right? 2011-2012 was painfully mild. I live in northwestern Missouri, by the way, so if we get a 2013-2014 pattern I'll be right in the middle of it lol. |
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Post by jgtheone on Oct 2, 2017 21:17:17 GMT -5
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Post by 🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿 on Aug 13, 2018 11:35:33 GMT -5
www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/outlook/Still on El Niño watch but that was as of July 31st. Since then, the SSTs have cooled rapidly and significantly. BOM's next update is later today (the 14th).  The current thinking is that 18/19 will be another neutral winter season, which is usually very good for the west coast.  Anemic: 
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Post by nei on Aug 15, 2018 11:14:33 GMT -5
North Atlantic off of New England and Atlantic Canada look hot; didn't realize the sea was that warm
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Post by rpvan on Aug 15, 2018 13:55:21 GMT -5
www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/outlook/Still on El Niño watch but that was as of July 31st. Since then, the SSTs have cooled rapidly and significantly. BOM's next update is later today (the 14th). The current thinking is that 18/19 will be another neutral winter season, which is usually very good for the west coast. Anemic: Don't like the look of those warm waters off the west coast. That normally spells trouble for us down the road in winter...think back to 13-14, 14-15 or 15-16. |
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Post by 🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿 on Aug 15, 2018 14:02:51 GMT -5
www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/outlook/Still on El Niño watch but that was as of July 31st. Since then, the SSTs have cooled rapidly and significantly. BOM's next update is later today (the 14th). The current thinking is that 18/19 will be another neutral winter season, which is usually very good for the west coast. Anemic: Don't like the look of those warm waters off the west coast. That normally spells trouble for us down the road in winter...think back to 13-14, 14-15 or 15-16. That's true but 16-17 also had quite warm waters off our coast and that was an amazing winter here. |
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Post by 🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿 on Sept 30, 2018 16:11:50 GMT -5
North Atlantic off of New England and Atlantic Canada look hot; didn't realize the sea was that warm Still very warm waters off the NE coast. What's more interesting to me though is the huge area of warm water in the northern Pacific centered over the Bering. Equatorial Pacific is looking mild still.  |
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Post by Lommaren on Sept 30, 2018 16:20:15 GMT -5
Maded nice bathing weather around Barrow 🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿 |
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Post by 🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿 on Oct 11, 2018 21:25:27 GMT -5
The at BOM raised the El Niño outlook to 'alert' from 'watch', but not without reason. www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/outlook/3.4 has risen and it most likely won't go down significantly, if at all, but I would be surprised if it continues to rise: |
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Post by 🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿 on Oct 18, 2018 0:33:12 GMT -5
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Post by AJ1013 on Oct 18, 2018 0:57:53 GMT -5
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Post by 🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿 on Nov 12, 2018 1:34:45 GMT -5
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Post by 🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿 on Nov 12, 2018 14:36:12 GMT -5
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Post by 🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿 on Aug 18, 2019 22:08:59 GMT -5
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Post by rpvan on Aug 19, 2019 0:46:02 GMT -5
Coldest/snowiest winter since 1992-93 incoming for us? Maybe January will finally deliver for the first time in over two decades. |
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Post by 🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿 on Oct 10, 2019 21:56:51 GMT -5
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