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Post by greysrigging on Aug 6, 2024 16:05:56 GMT -5
Here are the 30 years block of data for Melbourne back to 1901 1901-1930: 1931-1960: 1961-1990: The AU BoM uses the 1961-1990 normals for comparison purposes in the 2020's Be that as it may, sure has hell hasn't been a well below average cold winter in Melbourne.
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Post by Steelernation on Aug 6, 2024 23:17:03 GMT -5
Using 1991-2014, Melbourne regional office averaged 14.5/7.5. For 1981-2010, 14.2/7.1. So about 1.5 c of warming since the ancient averages, in a stable winter climate like Melbourne that’s significant. So definitely a below average July although not sure how noteworthy, only about 1 c on maxes and barely on mins. Although not sure how common deviations like that are. Another issue with the full por is it’s different for every station, so it’s not a standard comparison when some go back to the much colder mid 1800s and some only back to the mid 1900s.
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Post by greysrigging on Aug 7, 2024 0:41:23 GMT -5
Oh its a significant warming since the 1800's, but its not a cold winter by long term means... As I said the AU BoM does comparisons to the previous block of 30 year data 1961-1990 so June and July 1961-1990: June = 7.2c/14.3c July = 6.5c/13.7c
Winters have warmed some... its the coldest June -July since 2015, but not significantly so.
Myself, I wont use short data sets... paints a wrong picture of warming climates.... and I generally take little notice of pre 1910 data in AU ( when the BoM standardised instrumentation and exposures and methodology reporting observations.
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Post by cawfeefan on Aug 7, 2024 1:51:10 GMT -5
Thought I’ll put out some local perspective here - I agree that it hasn’t been a ‘very cold’ winter, but it is one of the colder June-Julys of the 21st century. That being said, most years nowadays are only about half a degree to a degree warmer than this year’s, so it’s not a huge difference. But given how stable our winters are, that small difference is noticeable. It’s not like summer where our wild temp swings can somewhat mask our perception of a degree difference in average temps. Still though, I wouldn’t call the past two months significantly below, just colder than usual for the current era.
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Post by aabc123 on Aug 7, 2024 14:22:16 GMT -5
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Post by tommyFL on Aug 8, 2024 17:10:37 GMT -5
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Post by tompas on Aug 9, 2024 7:19:30 GMT -5
Plenty of sun and warm weather to enjoy
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Post by jgtheone on Aug 9, 2024 7:43:06 GMT -5
It's already spring.
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Post by rozenn on Aug 9, 2024 7:53:20 GMT -5
Hot weekend
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Post by MET on Aug 10, 2024 18:54:32 GMT -5
Warm days then becoming quickly cooler.
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Post by Ariete on Aug 11, 2024 13:30:26 GMT -5
Monotonous off meself non-weather:
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Post by tommyFL on Aug 12, 2024 19:55:26 GMT -5
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Post by aabc123 on Aug 13, 2024 4:29:16 GMT -5
The weather will improve, hopefully.
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Post by greysrigging on Aug 13, 2024 17:54:04 GMT -5
Actuals: Wed - 20.2c/30.4c Thu - 20.4c/30.5c Fri - 21.4c/31.6c Sat - 21.1c/31.8c Sun - 21.2c/32.3c Mon - 23.1c/32.8c Tue - 22.3c/34.6c
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Post by tompas on Aug 14, 2024 12:09:49 GMT -5
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Post by tommyFL on Aug 16, 2024 17:08:20 GMT -5
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Post by candle on Aug 16, 2024 19:22:30 GMT -5
Dry as fuck summer continues. Other than being boring, I can't complain though, because I know a deluge/wet period is coming and it won't be pleasant because it will not be warm. At that point, I'll definitely be looking forward to snowy, windy, and dry polar conditions
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Post by tompas on Aug 18, 2024 8:07:07 GMT -5
Today will mark the end of this heatwave. Strong storms are forecasted for the next few days. But after that, the atmosphere will calm down, and temperatures will be around average for August.
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Post by jgtheone on Aug 19, 2024 9:13:08 GMT -5
Can't say I've ever seen an August forecast like this.
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Post by greysrigging on Aug 20, 2024 15:03:04 GMT -5
A warm week in the forecast for Darwin: Actuals: Wed - 23.0c/35.2c Thu - 23.2c/32.9c Fri - 24.3c/35.2c Sat - 23.4c/35.6c Sun - 24.6c/33.5c Mon - 22.9c/33.4c Tue - 22.3c/33.3c
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