|
Post by psychedamike24 on Jun 26, 2022 21:03:54 GMT -5
Back in 2015-2016 I made a bunch of projected future climates for 2300 in a scenario where the Earth warms by 6-7 C. The world stabilizes at this level of warming thanks to a worldwide green energy transition, scaling up of carbon sequestration, and general worldwide economic collapse with some climate refugee migrations thrown in. A lot of my projections of individual climates were incomplete and only included temperature predictions without precipitation or sunshine hours. I'm considering adding those when I have more free time and feel like editing my spreadsheet. This is my prediction of what Mecca's climate would be like in 2300. Sharing this today because the annual average temperature here is 36 C (which is also how hot it was in Portland earlier this afternoon). This is around 5.5 C warmer than the 1981-2010 averages, but the hot season is only ~4 C warmer than what the Wiki climate box says. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_of_MeccaStay tuned for more projected climates.
|
|
|
Post by cuntle, fæglèr, antares, VODKÆ on Jun 27, 2022 17:15:37 GMT -5
"a worldwide green energy transition, scaling up of carbon sequestration, and general worldwide economic collapse with some climate refugee migrations thrown in."
Sounds horrible. Not sure why anyone would want that.
|
|
|
Post by psychedamike24 on Jun 30, 2022 0:52:20 GMT -5
"a worldwide green energy transition, scaling up of carbon sequestration, and general worldwide economic collapse with some climate refugee migrations thrown in." Sounds horrible. Not sure why anyone would want that. Ideally we can get the first two without very much of the third, but yeah I can't imagine more than 3 degrees of eventual warming happening without pretty big refugee migrations at some point.
|
|
|
Post by psychedamike24 on Aug 20, 2022 22:39:25 GMT -5
Projection for Wuhan- this is around 8 C hotter than the 1981-2010 normals. Average temperatures are surprisingly similar to Riyadh (guess that was what I was going for when I made this climate). Rainfall is marginally higher, which given the much hotter temperatures means the overall climate is more arid (albeit still easily C_a in the Koppen and Trewartha systems).
|
|
|
Post by psychedamike24 on Aug 27, 2023 1:52:03 GMT -5
Projection for Delhi- this is only ~6 C hotter than present-day, but those 6 C are a big deal!
|
|
|
Post by psychedamike24 on Aug 27, 2023 2:18:59 GMT -5
Projection for Singapore- this is only ~3 C hotter than present-day (30.6 C vs 27.8 C per the 1991-2020 normals). Not sure why I made the precipitation pattern less seasonal/monsoon-dependent way back when than the current climate; maybe a drastically lower N-Hemisphere winter temperature gradient results in a weaker Northeast Monsoon? The current normals, for context
|
|
|
Post by psychedamike24 on Nov 3, 2023 0:27:50 GMT -5
|
|
|
Post by psychedamike24 on Mar 3, 2024 19:27:13 GMT -5
Projection for Delhi- this is only ~6 C hotter than present-day, but those 6 C are a big deal! Played around in Google Colab to produce daily averages for what this would look like Dry bulb and wet bulb temps (Celsius) Weatherspark-style 31-day rolling precipitation average (mm) "To show variation within the months and not just the monthly totals, we show the rainfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day of the year."
|
|
|
Post by psychedamike24 on Apr 29, 2024 1:56:32 GMT -5
My model for CE 2300 Dubai. Yellow line = average daily dew point, purple line = simulated "mean" wet bulb upper boundary calculated using average daily dew point and average daily high. (Will probably flesh this post out later)
|
|