|
|
Post by Benfxmth on Mar 4, 2023 11:01:39 GMT -5
Post a forecast for your location (or anywhere else), and then others can make a guess of what the actual temps (optionally precip, cloud cover, wind and other WX parameters) will end up being—and then once a forecast term ends, someone else gets the turn to post their forecast and a winner will be designated (who's got it the best, if there're more than one participants). Preferably use an official weather service (e.g. NWS for the U.S.A.) for forecasts. If you know a place's climatology reasonably well, please base your predictions off of that. Anyway, to start...   |
|
|
|
Post by Cheeseman on Mar 4, 2023 11:49:19 GMT -5
Benfxmth here's my completely wild guess: Today: 70 Tonight: 46 Tomorrow: 68 Tomorrow night: 47 Monday: 71 Monday night: 54 Tuesday: 80 Tuesday night: 48 (sharp cool-down with a shower along a cold front) Wednesday: 61 Wednesday night: 39 Thursday: 56 Thursday night: 37 Friday: 58
|
|
|
|
Post by Ariete on Mar 4, 2023 16:35:07 GMT -5
Ok, so for this I would have to know what James City's averages for this week are, I would have to analyse models what the weather patterns will be, know the local geography, and make my estimations based on the information I just gathered.
For what?
Yeah nah.
|
|
|
|
Post by Steelernation on Mar 4, 2023 18:29:27 GMT -5
Sounds impossible
|
|
|
|
Post by Benfxmth on Mar 5, 2023 7:35:35 GMT -5
Steelernation No one's gotta be perfect, this is meant to be a fun game to see who'll be better at forecasting: the NWS/some other weather forecasting service or someone in here making a guess; and who're the best/worst forecasters in here. Again, speaking of the climatology bit, that recommendation only really applies if one knows it (e.g. lives there, has done significant research and has significant interest on a specific location's climate), just be reasonable.
|
|
|
|
Post by antares on Mar 5, 2023 10:35:35 GMT -5
Ok, so for this I would have to know what James City's averages for this week are, I would have to analyse models what the weather patterns will be, know the local geography, and make my estimations based on the information I just gathered.
For what?
Yeah nah.
eyyup |
|
|
|
Post by Benfxmth on Mar 10, 2023 19:13:28 GMT -5
Cheeseman Actual highs/lows at my PWS for the period Sat: 73.8°F Sat night: 49.3°F Sun: 64.3°F Sun night: 41.3°F Mon: 69.6°F Mon night: 54.7°F Tue: 75.2°F Tue night: 43.4°F Wed: 54.4°F Wed night: 39.4°F Thu: 59.6°F Thu night: 42.7°F Fri: 56.8°F Mean error for your guess (daily highs): +1.5°F Mean error for your guess (daily lows): +0.1°F Mean error for the NWS forecast (daily highs): +0.9°F Mean error for the NWS forecast (daily lows): -1.6°F While the NWS did better, this isn't a bad start—take that as an encouragement! May you (or someone else) post a forecast of their own and have others in here make a guess.
|
|
|
|
Post by Benfxmth on Mar 20, 2023 13:18:54 GMT -5
Anyone up for a wild guess?   |
|
|
|
Post by Steelernation on Mar 20, 2023 17:36:55 GMT -5
51/46, cloudy and rainy every day
|
|
