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Post by coolman18 on Jan 3, 2024 12:38:48 GMT -5
 After a mild, boring December in Seattle, snow is in the forecast for next week, but how accurate is this forecast? Would you trust a 10 day forecast? |
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Post by Steelernation on Jan 3, 2024 16:14:52 GMT -5
Not. Ok at telling the general pattern (below of above average) but inaccurate for specific temps and weather conditions
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Post by Beercules on Jan 3, 2024 22:32:17 GMT -5
about as accurate as the BOM's predictions of "thunderstorms"  |
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Post by Metsfan257 on Jan 3, 2024 22:52:05 GMT -5
Not. Ok at telling the general pattern (below of above average) but inaccurate for specific temps and weather conditions This. Based on that Seattle forecast, I'd expect a cooler and wetter than normal trend. |
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Post by greysrigging on Jan 3, 2024 23:05:42 GMT -5
!0 days ahead is a prediction at best and guesswork at worst... Forecasting is an inexact science.....
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Post by Cheeseman on Jan 3, 2024 23:10:09 GMT -5
I don't trust anything beyond maybe 5-7 days out for a general trend, 2-3 days out for specific numbers. I've seen some epic forecast fails at close range so I'm skeptical of any forecast I see until it actually comes true.
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Post by firebird1988 on Jan 4, 2024 6:32:24 GMT -5
First 36 hrs are the most accurate, then gets exponentially more inaccurate each additional 12 hrs out after that
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