|
|
Post by Babu on Aug 17, 2019 22:05:12 GMT -5
As I said in the shoutbox, winter was forecast to warm up more than the other ones. And looking at the graph, 2085 is about 0.3-0.4'C cooler than 2100 if you assume a smoothed average
You can't seriously believe that for example October will go from 3.8C means to 9.8C means in 80 years. While Kronoby would have a 7.4C.
No.. again, the FMI prognosis you're quoting is RCP6 and not RCP8.5. Completely different models. And yes, I agree this scenario looks absolutely ridiculous and it feels like it's only gonna rise by half that amount. However, the scientific consensus seems to be that warming is only going to accelerate. Idk, a 1-4'C increase from now seems the most reasonsble, but there is some scientific basis behind the rcp8.5 model |
|
|
|
Post by Ariete on Aug 18, 2019 10:01:23 GMT -5
No.. again, the FMI prognosis you're quoting is RCP6 and not RCP8.5. Completely different models. And yes, I agree this scenario looks absolutely ridiculous and it feels like it's only gonna rise by half that amount. However, the scientific consensus seems to be that warming is only going to accelerate. Idk, a 1-4'C increase from now seems the most reasonsble, but there is some scientific basis behind the rcp8.5 model
The RCP 8.5 is so far-fetched that the FMI ignored it. Sure there is some scientific basis behind 8.5, but I don't think you're interpreting it correctly.
|
|
