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Post by trolik on Dec 21, 2019 19:49:22 GMT -5
So as the new year is approaching, out of pure speculation, do you think you will experience any weather records/extremes where you are?
Anything from record heat, cold, snowfall, rain, aridity etc.
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Post by trolik on Dec 24, 2019 17:48:15 GMT -5
So far looking like a fucken gay ass cold front is getting locked in.  tbf you just had record heat! |
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Post by Babu on Dec 24, 2019 17:51:08 GMT -5
For New Year or for the new year?
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Post by trolik on Dec 24, 2019 18:11:51 GMT -5
For New Year or for the new year? i meant the whole of 2020 but looks like beercules interpreted it as just NYE & NYD which is fair |
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Post by Babu on Dec 24, 2019 18:22:20 GMT -5
I'm fairly certain at least one heat record will be broken in Umeå 2020
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Post by 🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿 on Dec 24, 2019 21:01:18 GMT -5
I'd be surprised if 2020 is as mind-numbingly boring as 2019. That's all I'll say.
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Post by Donar on Dec 25, 2019 4:46:12 GMT -5
I expect one or two monthly record highs.
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Post by Nidaros on Dec 25, 2019 5:28:33 GMT -5
Airport here broke two monthly all-time highs last year. Maybe one the coming year?
Also I expect the pattern of stuck weather pattern for longer than before to continue.
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Post by jgtheone on Dec 25, 2019 8:07:08 GMT -5
Snow in July 2020. I will keep saying this for every year until it actually happens. Also for February to average 30C max
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Post by knot on Dec 25, 2019 15:21:44 GMT -5
It appears that I have mis-read what this thread was actually about—thought "New Year" meant only January.
So, here are my predictions for each season (in general):
Summer = above average in both maxima and minima; below average precipitation
Autumn = above average in maxima; below average in minima; below average precipitation
Winter = below average in both maxima and minima; above average precipitation
Spring = below average in maxima; average in minima; average precipitation
Reasoning(s)
The heat has already kick-started early, so January and (hopefully) February are likely to be above average as well; IOD neutral, which will prolong the summer drought conditions, and perhaps even that of early-mid autumn; hence, the autumnal months are likely to yield a greater diurnal range.
Later into autumn, straddling May onwards into winter (June-August), –AAO is probably on the cards again (as usual nowadays); this will allow subantarctic polar fronts to penetrate the Australian continent with maximal ferocity—depending on how negative the Antarctic Oscillation steers—thereby yielding below average temperatures, and above average precipitation; and likewise, heavy snowfall.
From September onwards into November, –AAO will likely persist; again, below average temperatures, although precipitation may not be quite as above as that in winter, and minima may be relatively moderate.
December may receive a more neutral phase of the AAO, or perhaps even +AAO; average to above average temperatures—although minima may be below average, with below average precipitation.
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Post by Lommaren on Dec 25, 2019 16:52:56 GMT -5
January: 3/-1 February: 3/-3 March: 7/-1 April: 12/3 May: 19/6 June: 21/11 July: 24/15 August: 22/13 September: 17/9 October: 12/5 November: 4/0 December: 2/-2
Highest temp: 31 Lowest temp: -15
Precipitation: 550 mm Sunshine: 2000 hours (plus minus 50)
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Post by Steelernation on Dec 27, 2019 13:35:40 GMT -5
Mild pattern looks to continue for January. It can’t last forever though so February will be cold, March will be cold as always. Mild April, above average may, summer will probably be stable and above average. After that I won’t be here and don’t give a fuck. And I have no clue about precipitation.
They’ll probably be a top 10 warm month somewhere, hasn’t been one since September 2018. No record heat though, maybe a random daily record.
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Post by Deleted on Jan 9, 2020 18:14:50 GMT -5
Month: avg max/avg min/precip/sun
Jan: 8c/2c/60 mm/70 hrs
Feb: 9c/2c/20 mm/90 hrs
Mar: 11c/4c/40 mm/120 hrs
Apr: 16c/6c/10 mm/180 hrs
May: 18c/9c/50mm/180 hrs
Jun: 22c/12c/30 mm/200 hrs
Jul: 23c/15c/50 mm/200 hrs
Aug: 25c/16c/20 mm/220 hrs
Sep: 20c/12c/30 mm/150 hrs
Oct: 17c/10c/70 mm/100 hrs
Nov: 11c/4c/70 mm/50 hrs
Dec: 10c/4c/80 mm/40 hrs
Highest max: 35c
Lowest max: 2c
Highest min: 19c
Lowest min: -6c
Ice days: 0
Snow days: 3
Precip: 550 mm
Sun: 1600 hrs
January already looking wrong.
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Post by trolik on Feb 2, 2020 8:17:20 GMT -5
^very wrong on Jan lol and feb looks to be above average too thankfully
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