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Post by jgtheone on Feb 4, 2022 5:05:53 GMT -5
Blocktown January 2022/YTD summary:Avg high: 12.6°C (+1.0°C) Avg low: 2.2°C (+0.4°C) Rainfall: 45.0mm (-20.1mm, 69.1% of avg) Snowfall: 26.4cm (+20.1cm, 419.1% of avg) Sunshine: 155.6 hours (+8.9 hours, 106.1% of avg)  
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Post by Steelernation on Feb 5, 2022 20:18:51 GMT -5
After the major cold snap last week, a calm week will set in:
2/06: High 44 Low 21 🌥 Mostly cloudy
2/07: High 54 Low 28 ⛅️ Partly cloudy
2/08: High 55 Low 26 ⛅️ Partly sunny
2/09: High 52 Low 27 🌥 Mostly cloudy
2/10: High 59 Low 33 ⛅️ Partly sunny
2/11: High 66 Low 29 ☀️ Sunny and warm
2/12: High 47 Low 25 🌥 Mostly cloudy
Averages on 2/6 are 48/21 and on 2/12 they are 49/22
In C:
High 7 Low -6
High 12 Low -2
High 13 Low -3
High 11 Low -3
High 15 Low 1
High 19 Low -2
High 8 Low -4
Averages on 2/6 are 9/-6 and on 2/12 they are 9.5/-5.5
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Post by Giorbanguly on Feb 6, 2022 10:53:44 GMT -5
Feb 8: High 59 / Low 41 / Sunny
Feb 9: High 58 / Low 38 / Sunny
Feb 10: High 62 / Low 39 / Sunny
Feb 11: High 71 / Low 38 / Sunny
Feb 12: High 64 / Low 40 / Sunny
Feb 13: High 60 / Low 40 / Sunny
Feb 14: High 63 / Low 44 / Partly cloudy
Feb 15: High 62 / Low 41 / Sunny
Feb 16: High 59 / Low 40 / Sunny
Feb 17: High 58 / Low 41 / Sunny
Feb 18: High 59 / Low 40 / Sunny
Feb 19: High 61 / Low 40 / Sunny
Feb 20: High 61 / Low 41 / Sunny
Feb 21: High 63 / Low 42 / Sunny
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Post by ilmc90 on Feb 6, 2022 11:09:30 GMT -5
After a cold December, January was 5 F above average. Sunshine was about 13% higher than normal. Rainfall was less than an inch below average and snowfall about 10 inches above, thanks in large part to a major storm on January 29th that dropped nearly 16 inches of snow.  |
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Post by ilmc90 on Feb 6, 2022 11:35:34 GMT -5
Turning colder.
Sunday, 2/6: Mostly Cloudy.
High 33 F/1 C. Low 24 F/-4 C.
Monday, 2/7: Cloudy with periods of light snow. Snowfall under one inch.
High 34 F/1 C. Low 28 F/-2 C.
Tuesday, 2/8: Mostly Sunny.
High 30 F/-1 C. Low 17 F/-8 C.
Wednesday, 2/9: Mostly Sunny.
High 27 F/-3 C. Low 4 F/-16 C.
Thursday, 2/10: Sunny to start but becoming cloudy with windy with snow. Snowfall accumulation 1-4 inches.
High 23 F/-5 C. Low 1 F/-17 C.
Friday, 2/11: Mostly cloudy and windy with scattered flurries.
High 21 F/-6 C. Low 15 F/-9 C.
Saturday, 2/12: Cloudy.
High 17 F/-8 C. Low 7 F/-14 C.
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Post by Giorbanguly on Feb 6, 2022 11:50:47 GMT -5
A bit late, but here is the yearly summary for 2021. Quite a wet year overall thanks to the crazy July  |
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Post by desiccatedi85 on Feb 6, 2022 12:05:49 GMT -5
Palomares January 2022 Summary
It was a pretty average month across the board. Highs were slightly above average, while lows were slightly below average, with both precipitation and sunshine very close to average. Additionally, thunderstorms occurred on 3 separate days, and the 8th day of the month was the wettest day, with 2.75" of rain and 0.10" of ice accumulation, the latter being the only freezing rain of the entire winter. |
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Post by Cadeau on Feb 6, 2022 14:40:27 GMT -5
Metropolitan Area
Latitude: 42°N
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Post by jgtheone on Feb 8, 2022 4:10:22 GMT -5
7 day forecast for Northlake: Starting cooler but warming up to hot conditions by the weekend. Remaining sunny and dry.  7 day forecast for Blocktown: Starting cold, but gradually warming up until the weekend turns wetter and cooler. 
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Post by Steelernation on Feb 12, 2022 17:08:24 GMT -5
2/13: High 60 Low 30 🌤 Mostly sunny
2/14: High 60 Low 32 🌤 Mostly sunny
2/15: High 66 Low 22 ⛅️ Warm, partly sunny
2/16: High 28 Low 6 ❄️ Much colder and snowy
2/17: High 44 Low 25 ☁️ Overcast
2/18: High 56 Low 26 ⛅️ Partly cloudy
2/19: High 59 Low 29 ⛅️ Partly sunny
Averages are 49/22 all week
In C:
High 16 Low -1
High 16 Low 0
High 19 Low -6
High -2 Low -14
High 7 Low -4
High 13 Low -3
High 15 Low -2
Averages are 9.5/-5.5 all week
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Post by jgtheone on Feb 13, 2022 1:54:42 GMT -5
7 day forecast for Northlake: A hot and dry week, peaking on Thursday. Slightly lower temperatures by the weekend.  7 day forecast for Blocktown: Rain and snow on Monday, clearing by Tuesday and then warming up to the first 20C of the month on Sunday. 
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Post by ilmc90 on Feb 13, 2022 13:35:01 GMT -5
Sunday, 2/13: Cloudy with light snow. Snowfall under half an inch.
High 23 F/-5 C. Low 5 F/-15 C.
Monday, 2/14: Cloudy.
High 28 F/-2 C. Low 18 F/-8 C.
Tuesday, 2/15: Snow. Snowfall accumulation 3-6 inches.
High 33 F/1 C. Low 24 F/-4 C.
Wednesday, 2/16: Snow mixing with and changing to rain. Snowfall accumulation 1-3 inches. Rainfall around a quarter inch.
High 38 F/3 C. Low 31 F/-1 C.
Thursday, 2/17: Mix of sun and clouds.
High 37 F/3 C. Low 26 F/-3 C.
Friday, 2/18: Mostly Cloudy.
High 34 F/1 C. Low 28 F/-2 C.
Saturday, 2/19: Partly cloudy and windy.
High 32 F/0 C. Low 27 F/-3 C.
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Post by Cadeau on Feb 13, 2022 14:38:17 GMT -5
Metropolitan Area
Latitude: 42°N
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Post by Benfxmth on Feb 17, 2022 10:36:35 GMT -5
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will ridge in from offshore through early tonight.
A cold front will move through the area tomorrow morning and
afternoon. High pressure will then build back into the area
for the rest of the weekend, continuing into early next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
As of 4:00 PM Thursday...No changes needed with the afternoon update
as forecast remains on track. Only thin cirrus overhead allows
the temps to've warmed up to the upper 70s inland.
Previous Discussion...Southerly flow and moisture will increase
today ahead of a cold front as high pressure continues
offshore. Temperatures will be well above average today, but the extent
to which will be determined by the thickness of high based
clouds. Cirrus will continue to stream into the area for most
of the day, causing filtered sunshine at times. However, latest
high res guidance indicates that the thickest cirrus should
remain to our north and west. There is also the potential for
some lower level clouds along the coast associated with the
scattered showers, but this now looks to only affect the immediate coast.
Thus, have higher confidence in temperatures reaching the
upper 70s today for most of the region, and upper 60s-lower 70s at the coast.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM FRIDAY/...
As of 1:00 PM Thurs...A strong cold front will push across the
region tonight, and will be located just west of the forecast
area by daybreak tomorrow morning. The first half of the night
should be mostly dry, and then expect scattered showers to move
in or develop over the area overnight ahead of the main frontal
rain band, which will begin to move into the area by
daybreak. Temperatures will remain very mild overnight, with
lows only dropping into the low to mid 60s, and dew points will also rise to the mid-upper 50s.
Winds will further strengthen overnight to 20-30 mph, and could at times gust 35-40 mph, especially within
showers.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 350 AM Thursday... A cold front will trek eastwards
across the area on Friday. It will bring showers, and gusty winds will
also accompany this frontal passage as well. High pressure then
builds into the region over the weekend bringing fair
conditions to the area. High pressure then shifts offshore by
mid week with slight chances for additional precipitation in
the long range.
Friday... Above mentioned frontal boundary is forecast to be
located just west of the area Friday morning with this front
tracking eastwards and pushing offshore by the afternoon hours.
Forecast guidance continues to suggest
widespread rainfall amounts around 0.25 inches across much of
the region, through locally higher amounts will be possible
anywhere that sees a heavier shower. In addition
to the rain, this front will also be accompanied by some gusty
winds Friday morning with sustained winds around 20-30 mph and
higher gusts.
After this frontal boundary pushes offshore, conditions rapidly
improve across the area especially across inland locations,
while the Outer Banks and areas offshore may see a secondary
surge of northerly winds Friday evening. Highs will be in the
60s on Friday, though our high for the day will likely occur
during the morning hours prior to the frontal passage. Once the
front moves through the region, strong CAA, along with precip. cooling will lower
temperatures throughout the afternoon. Lows Friday night get
into the 30s to 40s.
Saturday and Sunday...Behind this frontal boundary high
pressure will gradually build into the area this weekend
bringing clear skies and fair weather. A dry cold front
is forecast to quickly drop south across the forecast Saturday
evening bringing another brief shot of some gusty winds along
coastal areas but no rain is forecast with this frontal passage.
Highs will be in the mid to upper 60s while lows get down
into the lower 40s at night across much of the area.
Monday through Wednesday...High pressure moves offshore into
the on Monday and continues to slowly slide eastwards
on Tuesday and Wednesday. This will bring southerly flow back to
the area next week allowing a general warming trend to commence
Monday through Wednesday. How high temperatures get on Tuesday
and Wednesday will be determined by how much cloud cover and
potential precipitation we end up seeing across the area next
week. Forecast guidance continues to show a large spread in
solutions on both the operational and ensemble models for next
week. However, the pattern indicates a mid level trough
to the west while the previously mentioned ridge sits
offshore the coast. Multiple weak shortwaves will
round the base of this western trough and ride northeastwards
bringing a chance for some additional precipitation to the
region Tuesday and Wednesday. GFS/CANADIAN/GEFS see isolated showers developing
as well as the earliest on potential timing while the ECMWF is
the latest, with dryness continuing. Given the large uncertainty in the
forecast, will keep mention of precip. chances off the forecast for now and lean towards the EC guidance.
Regardless of the eventual outcome, it does look to be
warmer than normal next week.  |
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Post by desiccatedi85 on Feb 18, 2022 17:30:37 GMT -5
Palomares Forecast - Second Half of February Forecast (averages are 57/43, 5” of rain)
February 15: 56/42 ⛅️
February 16: 59/43 ⛅️
February 17: 62/42 🌤
February 18: 57/52 🌦 0.15”
February 19: 67/53 🌥
February 20: 64/39 ⛈ 0.50”
February 21: 50/37 ⛅️
February 22: 49/39 🌥
February 23: 47/45 🌦 0.05”
February 24: 53/38 🌤
February 25: 61/39 ☀️
February 26: 62/47 ⛅️
February 27: 60/51 🌥
February 28: 54/50 🌧 2.20”
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Post by ilmc90 on Feb 19, 2022 10:44:52 GMT -5
Chilly and dry most of the week except for light snow Tuesday and a moderate event Friday.
Sunday, 2/20: Mostly Cloudy.
High 31 F/-1 C. Low 23 F/-5 C.
Monday, 2/21: Partly Cloudy.
High 29 F/-2 C. Low 18 F/-8 C.
Tuesday, 2/22: Cloudy with light snow. Snowfall under half an inch.
High 26 F/-3 C. Low 16 F/-9 C.
Wednesday, 2/23: Mostly Cloudy.
High 24 F/-4 C. Low 15 F/-9 C.
Thursday, 2/24: Mix of sun and clouds.
High 28 F/-2 C. Low 18 F/-8 C.
Friday, 2/25: Cloudy with snow during the afternoon and evening. Snowfall accumulation 3-6 inches.
High 29 F/-2 C. Low 17 F/-8 C.
Saturday, 2/26: Mostly Sunny.
High 32 F/0 C. Low 20 F/-7 C.
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Post by Steelernation on Feb 20, 2022 13:12:12 GMT -5
Last week’s cold snap kinda fizzled out but this week will get a big cold blast.
2/20: High 68 Low 32 ☀️ Warm and sunny
2/21: High 56 Low -2 ☁️ Windy, turning much colder
2/22: High 11 Low -11 🌨 Very cold, snow showers
2/23: High 13 Low -8 🌨 Very cold, snow showers
2/24: High 19 Low -5 ☀️ Sunny and cold
2/25: High 44 Low 19 ☁️ Cloudy and milder
2/26: High 44 Low 25 ☁️ Cloudy
Averages on 2/20 are 50/23 and on 2/26 they are 50/24
In C:
High 20 Low 0
High 13 Low -19
High -12 Low -24
High -11 Low -22
High -7 Low -20
High 7 Low -7
High 7 Low -4
Averages on 2/20 are 10/-5 and on 2/26 they are 10/-4.5
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Post by jgtheone on Feb 21, 2022 3:51:26 GMT -5
7 day forecast for Northlake: A much milder week. Still remaining dry.  7 day forecast for Blocktown: Warming up further before a dry cool change on Thursday. Cooler days to follow but remaining fine. 
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Post by Cadeau on Feb 21, 2022 17:33:40 GMT -5
Metropolitan Area
Latitude: 42°N
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Post by Benfxmth on Feb 22, 2022 8:27:47 GMT -5
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will remain offshore through Wednesday. A cold
front will then move through Wednesday night and stall to the
south of the area until it lifts north as a warm front early
Friday. A stronger frontal system will cross the area Friday
night.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
As of 6:30 AM Tue...Some weak reflectivity returns showing up on
radar just offshore this morning. Some
virga possible from these returns, but
otherwise dry today.
Prev disc...Southerly flow increases today with the FA wedged
between an offshore high and approaching cold front. WAA
continues as a result, helping increase temps across the region.
Precip not expected, but better moisture advection aloft will
help keep a scattered deck of mid and high-level clouds in place,
resulting in a mix of sun and clouds during the day. Afternoon high
temps expected to reach the upper 70s to lower 80s with upper 60s to low
70s along the coast, though warmer temps could be realized if
sunshine prevails in the aftn.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM WEDNESDAY/...
As of 230 AM Tue...Southerly flow turns more SWrly as the next
front approaches the region. Lingering mid and upper level
clouds in combination with persistent WAA and wind continuing will keep overnight
temps mild, in the lower to mid 60s. Some isolated showers possible across the far
NWrn portion of the forecast area as the front shifts closer towards
sunrise Wed morning, but otherwise mostly dry overnight.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 300 AM Tuesday...Mostly dry and warm weather will prevail
across the area through late week with rain
chances highest for the northern tier of forecast area through late week, with little to
no precipitation expected across the southern 2/3rds. Temps will be turning much
cooler weather for the upcoming weekend with the best chances
for rain area wide on Sunday.
Wednesday and Thursday...A cold front will cross the area late
Wed. Ahead of the front S/SW flow will produce warm highs of
80-85°F inland. Rain chances will be highest across the northern
third of the region Wed afternoon-early evening as the models
agree in decreasing precipitation as the front moves south
across the area. It now looks like temps will briefly cool
down on Thu with moderate northerly flow and clouds resulting
in highs mainly in the 60s across much of the area. Isentropic
lift develops over the area Thu afternoon into Thu night with
the resultant precipitation developing mainly over the extreme
northern portion of of the region and moving well north of the
area overnight Thu as the front to the south retreats north of
the area again as a warm front.
Friday...Strong S/SW flow redevelops in the warm sector ahead of
the next strong cold front approaching from the west. This
supports the potential for highs to reach well into the 80s, possibly 90 locally inland and
break daily records. As with most fronts following anomalously warm
days, moisture along/ahead of the front dries up as the front crosses
the area Fri evening, with only light QPF amounts
expected.
Saturday...Turning much cooler with strong northerly flow
developing across the area behind the cold front resulting in
highs back down in the 50s to lower 60s. Isentropic lift develops late in
response to warm air advection aloft. This will lead to the
development of thicker cloud cover and perhaps some spotty light
rain.
Saturday night through Monday...Looks like the best chance for
widespread significant rainfall will occur Sat night into Sunday
evening as baroclinicity increases over the area and low
pressure develops just south of the region. Highs on Sunday again the
upper 50s-lower 60s with even colder highs in the lower to mid 50s forecast for Mon.
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Lived:
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