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Post by Benfxmth on Jul 10, 2023 8:18:20 GMT -5
Making this thread impromptu, what time of year do you care the most about monthly anomolies in your current climate? Pick up to 5 months you care about the most in that regard. It can be of temps, precip, snow or any other weather parameter you care about! For me, for here, while precip can do whatever it wants and I always root for and prefer positive temp anomolies, I put the greatest amount of importance to temp anomalies in April, May and June. At that time of year, there is the expectation of warming temps, more convective/frontal thunderstorms, and fewer and weaker cold fronts. That time of year is also when gay cold fronts and hurricane-force northeasterlies give me a great amount of anxiety, pissing me off more than any other time of year. Earlier in that timeframe, late-season frosts or freezes at the start of the growing season can delay or damage crops, as well as making it feel like winter is never going to end. In addition, AMJ, anecdotally, also seems to me like the time with the greatest chance of fizzers here (e.g. The Grand Fizzer of June 14, 2022).  |
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Post by Steelernation on Jul 10, 2023 9:00:29 GMT -5
Don’t really care that much about anomalies, near average is good outside of May-August but I’m usually not around in July and August so I don’t care. As long as it’s not well below average in winter or well above average in May/June I generally don’t care that much.
Precipitation and temp variability are far more important.
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Post by AJ1013 on Jul 10, 2023 9:01:57 GMT -5
Nov-April. Rest of the year is a lost cause anyway
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Post by jgtheone on Jul 10, 2023 9:22:51 GMT -5
June-August. It's more exciting in winter because the weather is so god damn stable most of the time. It's exciting in summer too, but you're more likely to get bigger anomalies there so it's kind of expected.
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Post by MET on Jul 10, 2023 9:40:10 GMT -5
October-november could have more positive anomalies but also downwards ones are interesting then aswell. These months are typically very boring.
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Post by rozenn on Jul 10, 2023 9:43:50 GMT -5
Winter is the most important. Negative anomalies preferred.
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Post by alex992 on Jul 10, 2023 9:44:48 GMT -5
Anytime between September and May I'm rooting for huge negative anomalies. In summer, I care more about anomalously wet than temps.
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Post by Ariete on Jul 10, 2023 10:33:39 GMT -5
April, May, September, October. Rooting for positive anomalies.
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Post by tommyFL on Jul 10, 2023 10:59:26 GMT -5
Summer, because it could be the difference between a cool, wet comfortable month or a boring and hot Houston-esque nightmare. Other seasons are going to be comfortable regardless of anomalies.
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Post by fairweatherfan on Jul 10, 2023 11:50:11 GMT -5
June, because it’s 90% crummer 10% heatwave. More heat wave than crummer please.
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Post by firebird1988 on Jul 10, 2023 13:26:38 GMT -5
I like upward variability in winter
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Post by AJ1013 on Jul 10, 2023 13:32:31 GMT -5
Lmao tommyFL. “cool, wet & comfortable summer in SFL” |
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Post by desiccatedi85 on Jul 10, 2023 21:21:08 GMT -5
January-May is when warm temperature anomalies are especially important. Mild winters and quick spring warmups are extremely important. Summer and fall are always gonna be at least acceptable temperature-wise in LI, and in summer I know temps will be acceptably warm, so I root for dryness foremost in summer.
With midwinter means only a degree or two above freezing, the difference between even a slightly below average and slightly above average January/February is the difference between a horrible month with more snow cover and a decent month with little or none, plus an even greater share of precipitation falling as nice cold rain or even the odd thunderstorm.
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Post by greysrigging on Jul 10, 2023 23:24:57 GMT -5
Monthly anomalies have always interested me....be they above or below the means. At 12.4*S there is little variation in temps, however wet season rainfall can vary significantly from season to season.  Since 2016, Darwin monthly max temps have shown an increase from the long term means, with only 7 calendar months of 90 months coming in below the 81 years of recorded data.  Min temps also showing a warming trend, although not as pronounced as the monthly mean max temps. 22 out of 90 months since the start of 2016 below the long term means.  |
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Post by cawfeefan on Jul 11, 2023 7:29:57 GMT -5
I agree with June-August, but I'll also put May in there since it's generally a boring month as well. 2013 was one of the more interesting winters, where we had 74.2mm in a single day and maximums of 22.2c -> 9.8c within a two day period. We also had 12 minimums in a row below 5c in late June that year.
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Post by srfoskey on Jul 11, 2023 17:21:16 GMT -5
I want cold in December to February, as we have great potential for impressive cold and snow (given our latitude) when things play out right. And I want not too hot in July and August, which can be brutally hot and dry in some years. Below normal temperatures are preferred in every month, but those are the ones I care about most.
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Post by Ethereal on Jul 17, 2023 8:31:41 GMT -5
May-Sep...I like higher temps in winter and early spring as they're generally stable and boring (as what JG said).
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Post by Crunch41 on Jul 17, 2023 12:47:29 GMT -5
Winter months, especially December. For the same reasons as Metsfan but the opposite goal - I want a cold snowy winter with snow cover, and December has to be below average for that to happen. There has not been a cold snowy December in a while. An above-average January can still hold on to snow if it's only a few degrees above average.
I hope for below-average all year but winter is when I care the most. I don't really care for below average in late spring but it's still decent.
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Post by sari on Jul 18, 2023 0:02:27 GMT -5
I put June/July/August.
I don't like summer, but it's better for it to be interesting, even if it's unpleasant. In KC I'll take an exceptionally hot, cool, wet, or dry summer over an average one any day, because an average summer is a 90/70 humid-yet-dry infinite loop of relentless stability. Another July 1934 would be miserable to live through, but I would at least be able to appreciate it from a weather-nerd perspective and enjoy it in that way. An average KC summer offers nothing.
Best summer realistically possible in this climate would either be wet with extremely variable temperatures (perpetually changing and often approaching record highs and lows), or cool and dry (like August 2017, the best summer month I've experienced since returning to KC in 2015 by an enormous margin. And yes, it was dry, despite also being the wettest on record. 9 of those 10 inches fell in three days.)
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