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Post by greysrigging on Aug 6, 2023 2:07:21 GMT -5
Following up on some thread topics over on CD Weather.... Has your local climate changed at all since the begining of the 20th Century....and if records don't go back that far, say post 1950 and then into the 21st Century ? Warmer ? Colder ? Wetter / Drier ? POR greater than 30 years or better required for comparisons sake ( and no, don't wanna see backyard PWS data from Guilford, UK .... ) Using the Southern Hemisphere example of Australia, it appears that post WW2 ( say 1950 ), mean annual temps have risen generally by approx 0.5c. Interested to know what ( if any ) changes there are in other parts of the world. A poll is included, 2 votes to indicate temps and rainfall means My nearest local BoM official site is at Darwin Airport with records dating back to 1941 1941-1970 mean annual temp = 27.4c. Rainfall = 1578.3mm 1961-1990 mean annual temp = 27.1c. Rainfall = 1705.1mm 1991-2020 mean annual temp = 27.8c. Rainfall = 1832.4mm The interesting feature of the changes is that min temps have only increased by 0.3c wheras max temps have increased by 0.6c since the 1941-1970 normals. And much wetter; over 250mm per annum more rainfall. Also, our dry season months of June-Sept have warmed ( max temps ) by 0.7c-0.9c since 1941-1970. And even more shithously, the 'build up' months are warmer than 'back in the day', giving credance to the older residents saying that the 'build ups' are getting worse....
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Post by MET on Aug 6, 2023 3:44:31 GMT -5
Got warmer and wetter.
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Post by AJ1013 on Aug 6, 2023 5:10:11 GMT -5
Warmer and wetter
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Post by MET on Aug 6, 2023 7:43:22 GMT -5
1961-1990 vs. 1991-2020... Surprising to see the summers got sunnier. There have been many record dull summers months since 2007. Adding up the "provisional" sunshine hours from the metoffice website yields far lower numbers than that for 1991-2020. One can only assume that the provisional numbers are lower than they should be due to obstructions and the official numbers are "corrected" upwards.
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Post by Ariete on Aug 6, 2023 8:10:52 GMT -5
Nearby Kaarina Yltöinen has 1931-1960 normals, and all months are warmer in 1991-2020. The annual mean has risen by 1C. The biggest increases have been from January to April, all means have risen by 2C. The smallest increases have been in July and August, with a only 0.2C and 0.3C rise. However, the summers in the 1930s were the warmest in the 20th century, so that skews it a bit. September-November have seen a 0.5C rise, which is the 2nd smallest increase.
Annual rainfall has increased from 600 mm to 670 mm, so there is a rise there as well, but maybe not very dramatic. Rainfall pattern is the same, with roughly equal increases every month. The only month that has gotten drier is September.
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Post by 🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿 on Aug 6, 2023 8:14:25 GMT -5
not really
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Post by desiccatedi85 on Aug 6, 2023 8:19:36 GMT -5
Warmer here in all seasons, but warming has been most pronounced in fall and winter. In fact, the 1912-1931 averages here were below the 32°F isotherm in January, so around middle of the 20th century, it passed this isotherm. This isn’t purely due to global warming though, as the area has also urbanized further increasing lows.
As far as precipitation goes, it has increased slightly, also in fall and winter.
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Post by firebird1988 on Aug 6, 2023 8:37:49 GMT -5
Warmer (for both Phoenix and Rochester)
And Rochester (my former climate) moved up a climate zone with 91-20 averages, from Dfb to Dfa (July now over 22°C)
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Post by jgtheone on Aug 6, 2023 9:06:37 GMT -5
Warmer and drier
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Post by tommyFL on Aug 6, 2023 11:34:05 GMT -5
warmer and equal precipitation, so effectively drier
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Post by Benfxmth on Aug 6, 2023 11:45:49 GMT -5
Warmer with similar precip
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Post by cawfeefan on Aug 8, 2023 5:46:21 GMT -5
Comparing 1951-1980 and 1991-2020 data:
Max temps: +1.0c Min temps: +0.4c Precipitation: -106.3mm
It's become warmer and drier. The rainfall decrease is almost entirely from the cooler months, whereas warm season rainfall has largely remained the same.
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Post by greysrigging on Aug 8, 2023 17:51:05 GMT -5
The interesting feature of the changes is that min temps have only increased by 0.3c whereas max temps have increased by 0.6c since the 1941-1970 normals. And much wetter; over 250mm per annum more rainfall. Also, our dry season months of June-Sept have warmed ( max temps ) by 0.7c-0.9c since 1941-1970. And even more shithously, the 'build up' months are warmer than 'back in the day', giving credance to the older residents saying that the 'build ups' are getting worse.... The figures from Darwin Airport confirms what we locals know... the dry season and the 'build up' has become more oppressive since records began back in the day ( 1941 ) The other factor is that we have way more 'extreme heat' days at Darwin Airport. Up until the end of the 20th century, The Airport site averaged between 10 and 15 days of +35c max temps. This has increased dramatically in the 21st century. Total number of +35c days per year at the Airport ( the last 10 years ) 2023 - 39 2022 - 27 2021 - 44 2020 - 44 2019 - 45 2018 - 23 2017 - 24 2016 - 29 2015 - 21 2014 - 21 But only 40klm inland at Middle Point ( the Darwin rural areas ) its a very different story re the number of +35c days per year ( the last 10 years. ) 2023 - 146 2022 - 173 2021 - 153 2020 - 170 2019 - 178 2018 - 164 2017 - 153 2016 - 238 2015 - 177 2014 - 147 And the annual rainfall has increased by about 250mm per annum over the 80 years of records.
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