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Post by cawfeefan on Mar 1, 2024 7:39:00 GMT -5
Thought I'd kick off this thread seeing as a new season is upon us now.
A warm and dry autumn is predicted for much of Australia, aided by a persisting though steadily weakening El Nino. Guess we'll see what happens, but for now the forecast seems to confirm that. We're still experiencing the above-average, dry and sunny conditions of last month, which btw was a big turnaround from previous months.
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Post by Beercules on Mar 1, 2024 8:06:44 GMT -5
The seasonal outlooks for all of Australia are nice and red, and brown, for Autumn and into winter. Looks reassuring on paper, but with the BOM, reverse psychology often ends up being the reality....
The blanket red and brown does make me happy, far, far more motivating for life than seeing blue and greens. Let's hope it comes to fruition.
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Post by Benfxmth on Mar 1, 2024 8:32:00 GMT -5
CPC's newest monthly outlook for March for the CONUS. It has most of the eastern half of the US painted red and keeps the evil below avg temps out west - with a touch of El Nino influence shown in the wetter than normal start to growing season and greater probability of positive anomolies further north. As has been the case the past few weeks, on a subseasonal scale, the warmer forecasts/outlooks have won out for the most part, let's hope that continues (and that warm pattern comes to fruition).   |
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Post by Morningrise on Mar 1, 2024 8:51:06 GMT -5
Nothing like a winter storm to start off spring! We're potentially getting 25 to 35 cm of snow between Saturday morning and Monday evening. This comes after having had around 10 cm at the start of the week. All that snow we didn't get in Nov/Dec is finally catching up to us!
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Post by B87 on Mar 2, 2024 6:55:32 GMT -5
Heathrow already up to 31mm for March so far, not even 2 full days into the month. There is now zero chance this month will end up drier than average, and a very good chance we will have a record-breaking 10th month in a row with 50mm+ precipitation.
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Post by Ariete on Mar 2, 2024 13:33:54 GMT -5
The mild winter in the Yoo Kay has cause dramatic effects:
Gardens in England and Wales blooming four weeks early, says National Trust
We may be the best part of three weeks away from the equinox and a month from Easter but some of the loveliest gardens in England and Wales are already basking in the sights and scents of spring with horticulturists reporting they have never known flowers out so early.
Magnolia trees in gardens in the south of England and parts of Wales are blooming four weeks earlier than usual because of a largely mild winter and a particularly balmy, if wet, February, the National Trust said.
Camellias and rhododendrons are putting on wonderful shows and hedgerows in many places are already turning bright green with fresh foliage.
Andy Jasper, the director of gardens and parklands at the National Trust, said some of the early flowering was spectacular but a sign of the climate emergency.
The Yoo Kay Gays deserve a proper "beast from the east" March cold snap. Färkkenin öätti.
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Post by greysrigging on Mar 3, 2024 3:09:52 GMT -5
Storms in AU late afternoon ( 3rd March ) I can hear distant thunder from home  Queensland and Brisbane  Perth and southern WA  |
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Post by Crunch41 on Mar 3, 2024 11:41:04 GMT -5
This past winter was the warmest on record. March is looking warm as well. Every day is forecast to be above average, even in the weather.com 14 day forecast.
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Post by aabc123 on Mar 3, 2024 15:17:54 GMT -5
Since there is no NH spring/SH fall photo thread, I will post a few photos here. Today afternoon behind my town, about 7-8c:  Friday in Võru  |
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Post by Doña Jimena on Mar 3, 2024 15:29:46 GMT -5
Satellite picture from today  |
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Post by greysrigging on Mar 3, 2024 19:51:08 GMT -5
A hot start to March on the Central QLD coast. Gladstone is the most southerly latitude in AU to meet the Koppen 'Tropical' classification.   |
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Post by greysrigging on Mar 3, 2024 20:31:10 GMT -5
A hot start to March on the Central QLD coast. Gladstone is the most southerly latitude in AU to meet the Koppen 'Tropical' classification. The warming trend at Gladstone since the begining of the 20th Century Gladstone Post Office 1909-1956:  Gladstone Airport 1993-2024:  Gladstone Radar 1991-2020:  |
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Post by greysrigging on Mar 4, 2024 4:22:31 GMT -5
Look at the DP's in the Australian Alps today ! Dry as a dead dingo's donger !!   |
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Post by Cadeau on Mar 4, 2024 12:01:15 GMT -5
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Post by 🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿 on Mar 4, 2024 19:08:49 GMT -5
CPC's newest monthly outlook for March for the CONUS. It has most of the eastern half of the US painted red and keeps the evil below avg temps out west - with a touch of El Nino influence shown in the wetter than normal start to growing season and greater probability of positive anomolies further north. As has been the case the past few weeks, on a subseasonal scale, the warmer forecasts/outlooks have won out for the most part, let's hope that continues (and that warm pattern comes to fruition). Just a continuation of this shit winter, although it's been insanely dry here and not even near normal precip. Honestly I don't mind the lack of precip here. It's that in combination with the shit above normal temps here that's made this winter horrible for me. Guess it's just one of those shit winters that happens every now and then. Even with the same precip and average temps this winter would've been much better. |
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Post by Babu on Mar 5, 2024 15:26:36 GMT -5
We had an unusually early meteorological spring this year, which is ironic since it's been the coldest winter since 2010/11. Meteorological spring started on February 28th. Umeå airport is the only station within a very long distance to have received meteorological spring however.   |
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Post by Benfxmth on Mar 5, 2024 19:04:14 GMT -5
NWS called for a 72°F high today, yet actual high was a mere 66.9°F (19.4°C) given slate gray cloud layer sticking around longer than forecast  Oh yeah, I just realized I posted it in the wrong thread, so I'm reposting it right here (in my ass) |
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Post by greysrigging on Mar 5, 2024 19:43:24 GMT -5
Heatwave Tracking East For The Weekend. ( source: Weatherzone )  It's still only early autumn so you expect some summery heat to be sticking around, and the whole of southeastern Australia is in for a prolonged warm spell with temperatures set to peak this coming weekend. For Adelaide, the hot weather started on Tuesday with a top of 34.1°C and continues this Wednesday with a top of 34°C expected, followed by 33°C on Thursday, 36°C on Friday, 39°C on Saturday, 36°C on Sunday, 36°C on Monday, and 32°C next Tuesday. Melbourne will be the next capital to feel the heat, rising rapidly from the mid-20s in the working week to a scorching 38°C on Saturday, with top temps remaining in the 30s for at least a couple of days. Canberra will also see a run of at least five days with maximums of 30°C or higher, while the east coast will be spared the hottest weather, with temps only nudging 30°C from Brisbane southwards to Sydney, although western Sydney will likely reach the mid-30s. The culprit for this warm autumn spell is what's known as a "blocking high" – a strong high pressure system which forms further south than usual. Typically, blocking highs are slow-moving, which allows heat to build up as the progression of weather systems across southern Australia is blocked.  The Saturday chart above showing the high centred over the Tasman Sea is a classic example, with hot northerly winds circulating anticlockwise around the high. The buildup of heat enabled by the blocking high will create low-to-severe intensity heatwave conditions in at least four states plus the ACT, with max temps reaching close to 40°C for up to a week in northwestern Victoria and far western New South Wales.  Be sure to check our warnings page for the latest info on heatwaves and other severe weather. |
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Post by greysrigging on Mar 5, 2024 22:50:35 GMT -5
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Post by B87 on Mar 6, 2024 7:33:33 GMT -5
Another SSW arriving just in time to ruin spring for the 2nd year running?
It happened last year, with the result that it didn't feel springlike until around 15th May, with the lowest spring max temp in 37 years (22.7c).
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