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Post by Beercules on Dec 16, 2017 0:59:32 GMT -5
'ere we go, first look at the forecasts for Christmas  #GETFUCKED
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Post by nei on Dec 16, 2017 1:14:17 GMT -5
reasonable to add 10°C to the 850 mb temperatures to afternoon surface temperatures there?
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Post by Beercules on Dec 16, 2017 1:17:49 GMT -5
reasonable to add 10°C to the 850 mb temperatures to afternoon surface temperatures there? In Australia in summer the standard formula is add 15-17C to get the approximate sea-level temp. As an example, when it got to 43C here the other day, the 850 temp was 26C. |
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Post by jgtheone on Dec 16, 2017 2:33:03 GMT -5
so it says 19-21C for us lol, assuming thats 4C over us
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Post by longaotian on Dec 16, 2017 4:11:50 GMT -5
Long range forecast shows 26C for here
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Post by Deleted on Dec 16, 2017 9:11:40 GMT -5
Looking like a mild Barlett Christmas  |
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Post by ral31 on Dec 16, 2017 11:20:45 GMT -5
Looking like I may get a decently cold Christmas Eve and Christmas, after two consecutive with around record-breaking warmth. Maybe even some possibility of frozen precip around Christmas per some model runs!
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Post by Ariete on Dec 16, 2017 11:46:57 GMT -5
White Christmas Power:  "We must secure the existence of our people and a future for white christmas." |
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Post by flamingGalah on Dec 16, 2017 12:01:20 GMT -5
Weather.com is forecasting it to be partly cloudy with a high of 16C & low of 12C here on Christmas Day.
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Post by nei on Dec 16, 2017 22:30:20 GMT -5
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Post by nei on Dec 16, 2017 22:30:35 GMT -5
looks ominous
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Post by Steelernation on Dec 16, 2017 22:56:13 GMT -5
Forecast is 29/16 (-2/-9 C) with snow. I doubt it will be anything close to that as forecasts for 10 days out are always inaccurate.
As long as the 23rd is dry so we can get to the house we rented without any issue, I want lots of snow.
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Post by Deleted on Dec 17, 2017 4:18:15 GMT -5
all models agree on a mild christmas eve here now.
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Post by boombo on Dec 17, 2017 4:27:52 GMT -5
Yeah, 12C for Christmas Eve here according to weatheronline.
I can remember five White Christmases in the past 25 years (referring to lying snow, not just the Met Office definition of falling snow) which is a good return for us, but it's still been seven years since the last one.
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Post by Ariete on Dec 17, 2017 6:18:32 GMT -5
For some reason I can't see any tweets nei links. Anyone else having the same problem?
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Post by boombo on Dec 17, 2017 6:24:39 GMT -5
For some reason I can't see any tweets nei links. Anyone else having the same problem? Not here, once or twice I've had problems seeing links on my laptop (which I use Internet Explorer on) that have worked OK on my desktop (Google Chrome) and vice versa, but everything's showing up fine at the moment. |
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Post by Beercules on Dec 17, 2017 7:21:37 GMT -5
My family celebrates Christmas on the 24th, being European and all. Latest GFS brings the warm air further south, amazingly enough. Compare to the 5C 850hpa temps predicted yesterday, I am now just about sitting on the 20C isotherm. Christmas day itself still looking like a giant polar pile of shit though, but fuck it, that is nothing but a hangover recovery day for me  |
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Post by jgtheone on Dec 17, 2017 7:44:53 GMT -5
Ugh, still looks crappy but it's much better than the first one you posted. 22C on Christmas Eve, right when my family from Queensland comes over so you can bet they're going to make a billion comments about the weather  |
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Post by Beercules on Dec 17, 2017 8:11:03 GMT -5
Ugh, still looks crappy but it's much better than the first one you posted. 22C on Christmas Eve, right when my family from Queensland comes over so you can bet they're going to make a billion comments about the weather You know it, we have friends from Hungary landing in Melbourne on the 19th, they will be spending Christmas and NYE with their relatives in Melbourne, and will head up here on the 7th, when my parents will take them to Uluru. Christmas eve is now looking warm here, perhaps around 30C, but Christmas Day will be polar. In any case, it's a step in the right direction! Christmas has always had shit weather in recent years (bar 2011 and 2016), while NYE was hot. Maybe the same thing this time round? |
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Post by jgtheone on Dec 17, 2017 8:44:57 GMT -5
Ugh, still looks crappy but it's much better than the first one you posted. 22C on Christmas Eve, right when my family from Queensland comes over so you can bet they're going to make a billion comments about the weather You know it, we have friends from Hungary landing in Melbourne on the 19th, they will be spending Christmas and NYE with their relatives in Melbourne, and will head up here on the 7th, when my parents will take them to Uluru. Christmas eve is now looking warm here, perhaps around 30C, but Christmas Day will be polar. In any case, it's a step in the right direction! Christmas has always had shit weather in recent years (bar 2011 and 2016), while NYE was hot. Maybe the same thing this time round? Oh man, NYE 2015 was the best. Hot asf, and I spent the entire night drinking with mates until like 6:30am the next morning. Could be a repeat! Let's hope so. |
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