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Post by srfoskey on Jun 23, 2018 0:31:08 GMT -5
We got a thunderstorm just now. It was severe warn'd but it just look'd like a strong t-storm. I don't think it got above 86°F/30°C here today.
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Post by firebird1988 on Jun 23, 2018 6:40:51 GMT -5
Currently 30°C at 4am Pacific (Normal Low 27.8°C)
Forecast High is 41.7°C (Normal High 41.1°C)
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Post by Steelernation on Jun 23, 2018 14:04:25 GMT -5
Rochester got down to 46 (8 C) yesterday, the coldest of the month and the first sub 50 (10 C) since May 24!
Nice weather out west, had a high of 91 (33 C) in La Junta yesterday with sunshine. Great hiking weather!
Moab has a 105 (41 C) high forecast for Tuesday. Fuck yeah!
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Post by ral31 on Jun 23, 2018 15:47:10 GMT -5
Crap precip forecast the next seven days.   Maybe we will have better luck to start off July.  |
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Post by firebird1988 on Jun 23, 2018 20:15:47 GMT -5
Today's High was 42.8°C (Normal High 41.1°C)
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Post by firebird1988 on Jun 24, 2018 8:43:21 GMT -5
Currently 27.2°C at 6am Pacific (Normal Low 27.8°C)
Forecast High is 40°C (Normal High 41.1°C)
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Post by nei on Jun 24, 2018 11:14:05 GMT -5
all cloudy this morning. NWS Boston discussion makes it look like it'll lift today
Latest high resolution guidance continues to indicate a rapid
improvement later this morning. Based on latest observations,
while this trend may be correct, the timing might be too
optimistic. Am thinking cloud bases will eventually lift, but
not expecting much sunshine. Any warmup today will be the direct
result of warm air advection behind a warm front.
previous discussion had:
Clouds will linger through the day as another low pressure
system approaches from the W, along with a weakening H5 short
wave in the W-SW flow aloft…Models also signal a broken line of showers and scattered
thunderstorms moving across central and western areas around
21Z. A pretty good H3 jet seen, up to around 60 kt, but down to
35-40 kt at H5, and a general W wind flow in place with this
system.
so… still thunderstorms ? We had sun pop out for half hour, then clouded over but less blank stratus. Doesn't look as weird for summer.
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Post by nei on Jun 24, 2018 11:50:07 GMT -5
NWS Boston isn't saying anything that specific yet other than heat is coming
Friday and Saturday...
The upper level pattern changes significantly, with a building
mid level ridge along the Eastern Seaboard. Ensembles continue
to indicate well above normal temperatures at 925 mb and 850 mb.
This should mean well above normal temperatures at the surface
as well, except for perhaps the Cape and islands where SW flow
off the water will keep temperatures lower. Expecting hot and
humid conditions during this time, perhaps continuing into early
next week. Heat Advisories will likely be needed, especially by
Saturday.
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Post by nei on Jun 24, 2018 15:50:48 GMT -5
Intense rain band passed through, was kinda humid but not hot. Here's what it looked like 1.5 hours before the rain came.  radar  |
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Post by 🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿 on Jun 24, 2018 17:23:18 GMT -5
Jajajajajajaja Vancouver maded thunderstorms (Potentially...still waiting for rain to fall but looks very healthy  )  |
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Post by nei on Jun 24, 2018 17:32:03 GMT -5
Jajajajajajaja Vancouver maded thunderstorms (Potentially...still waiting for rain to fall but looks very healthy ) is the heat wave still there? what kinda setup could produce rainstorms in summer there? You got a surface low off the coast rather than the usual summer high pressure on the ocean; that might be it  |
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Post by 🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿 on Jun 24, 2018 17:39:49 GMT -5
Im so unfamiliar with thunderstorms here that I don't even know the most common setup.
Heatwave is gone but it was quite humid and warm this morning. Cooler now...
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Post by firebird1988 on Jun 24, 2018 18:59:47 GMT -5
Today's High was 40.6°C (Normal High 41.1°C)
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Post by firebird1988 on Jun 25, 2018 5:04:35 GMT -5
Currently 30.6°C at 3am Pacific (Normal Low 27.8°C)
Forecast High is 41.1°C (Normal High 41.7°C)
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Post by nei on Jun 25, 2018 8:37:29 GMT -5
cloudy this morning; my phone claimed it was sunny. Just cleared up and there's a strong NW wind after the cold front passed through  whole US shows another low in the middle of the country |
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Post by Morningrise on Jun 25, 2018 11:07:20 GMT -5
Gander, Newfoundland is expected to get wet snow tonight and tomorrow, with a high of 3C tomorrow. Just another reason why Newfoundland has one of my least favorite climates in North America.
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Post by 🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿 on Jun 25, 2018 11:10:27 GMT -5
Gander, Newfoundland is expected to get wet snow tonight and tomorrow, with a high of 3C tomorrow. Just another reason why Newfoundland has one of my least favorite climates in North America. Wow. They average 2cm in June but this is really late in the season. And that is after this big snowstorm on May 24th: www.cbc.ca/player/play/1240944707690 |
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Post by bizzy on Jun 25, 2018 11:51:00 GMT -5
Mid to upper 100’s being displayed for NYC on the GFS, that’s all-time record territory, highly unlikely, but low 100’s are certainly possible within the next 10 or so days.  And look at those low temps.... |
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Post by nei on Jun 25, 2018 18:10:33 GMT -5
Gander, Newfoundland is expected to get wet snow tonight and tomorrow, with a high of 3C tomorrow. Just another reason why Newfoundland has one of my least favorite climates in North America. here's the forecast. The drop and then recovery is almost as impressive as the cold tomorrow. It'll be below average here tomorrow, and a lot of Gander's heat coincides with our heat wave. Their difference is just more extreme. Looks like it'll be too warm for much snow, at the most a few flakes with the rain. 850 hPa temperatures look below freezing there.  3°C afternoon temperatures is really cold in summer for anywhere not Arctic. South of the Brooks Range and not near the Bering Sea can anywhere in Alaska get that cold? And here's the setup look like? Low pressure off the coast of Newfoundland, pulling in cold air from the Labrador Sea  height anomalies not surprising |
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Post by nei on Jun 25, 2018 18:17:45 GMT -5
map dump coming up… The GFS forecast for the heat wave [warmest day Monday] is odd that the hottest temperatures are centered around New England / interior Northeast. Usually, Midwest & mid-Atlantic gets hotter in summer heat waves. GFS:  zoom in shows 100+ in Massachusetts, Maine and New Hampshire and nowhere else. cause looks like a huge ridge center further north and east than usual in eastern US heatwaves  anomalies are largest over Maine but this is probably fantasy the ECMWF doesn't a ridge this huge or as centered as far northeast. And the heatwaves' hottest temperatures aren't in the Northeast with the ECWMF. And not in Maine. |
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