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Post by 🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿 on Sept 9, 2018 14:47:52 GMT -5
With typhoon/cyclone/hurricane season in full swing we should probably have a thread dedicated to that, especially with the high potential for nice strong hurricane for the east coast.  Anyway, I'll start by posting this video from 2015 when Su'ao got clobbered by typhoon Dujuan. |
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Post by nei on Sept 9, 2018 14:55:50 GMT -5
Maybe the title should be tropical storm thread? Hurricane affect outside the tropics; and tropical weather sounds like all tropical weather.
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Post by 🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿 on Sept 9, 2018 14:56:59 GMT -5
Maybe the title should be tropical storm thread? Hurricane affect outside the tropics; and tropical weather sounds like all tropical weather. Taken under advisement, thanks. |
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Post by nei on Sept 9, 2018 20:13:32 GMT -5
"fun" path with a double landfall. A bit Harvey-like
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Post by alex992 on Sept 9, 2018 20:52:07 GMT -5
How far do ex tropical systems extend towards the poles? The centres of ex-cyclones can move directly overhead here at times, bringing heavy rain, wind and big seas-I'm guessing they would reach up to NW Europe at times, or southern BC perhaps? Will have to read up on South America too. Remnants can head towards the UK, perhaps Scandinavia in extreme cases, so maybe 60 N? I don't think ex-cyclones hit South America too often, water is too cold and too much high pressure there. Although I'm not sure how often tropical cyclones hit Brazil. |
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Post by 🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿 on Sept 9, 2018 22:24:25 GMT -5
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Post by nei on Sept 10, 2018 9:35:37 GMT -5
really fast re-intensfication. And weakening
usually weaking doesn't occur at high sea temperatures
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Post by AJ1013 on Sept 10, 2018 13:04:16 GMT -5
um...  |
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Post by 🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿 on Sept 10, 2018 19:51:14 GMT -5
Hawaii will get another tropical storm...  |
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Post by nei on Sept 11, 2018 13:53:44 GMT -5
if this pans would be a nasty disaster. Harvey repeat over eastern North Carolina. Big blocking high pressure to the north  which brings up high dewpoints up north  giant ridge up north, like most of late summer  |
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Post by nei on Sept 11, 2018 21:13:30 GMT -5
eww
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Post by nei on Sept 12, 2018 16:26:39 GMT -5
Lots of tropical storms
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Post by 🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿 on Sept 12, 2018 22:00:50 GMT -5
Nice forecast for Wilmington!  |
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Post by nei on Sept 12, 2018 22:04:24 GMT -5
first bands about to arrive. Wind forecast has a big ramp up  |
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Post by Steelernation on Sept 12, 2018 22:11:30 GMT -5
My brother down in Norfolk doesn’t seem like he’ll be affected too much. NWS is forecasting 2.5-4.0” (60-100 mm) through Saturday night for them and peak winds only in the 50s mph so they’ll probably some minor flooding and shit but the core of the hurricane is well south of him.
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Post by Lommaren on Sept 13, 2018 7:53:46 GMT -5
The Helene hurricane looked quite far east, especially considering how dry Cape Verde is year round...
So essentially 570 mm forecast for Wilmington in three days. That's above the average for a full year in my entire region!
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Post by nei on Sept 13, 2018 13:53:35 GMT -5
My brother down in Norfolk doesn’t seem like he’ll be affected too much. NWS is forecasting 2.5-4.0” (60-100 mm) through Saturday night for them and peak winds only in the 50s mph so they’ll probably some minor flooding and shit but the core of the hurricane is well south of him. looks like the extreme rain forecast have dampened somewhat and it won't stall for as long as orignally forecast. Good chunk of the coast forecast to get 20+ inches; still not as bad as 50+ Harvey brought. Precipitation map from NWS  High pressure over the Northeast holding it in place. Cloudy today, why are we getting clouds and high pressure [yes I know it can happen]. Could be the edge of the hurricane  Today's weather map |
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Post by Donar on Sept 14, 2018 5:30:32 GMT -5
Super Typhoon Mangkhut makes landfall over the Philippines but I'm safe here in the South  |
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Post by nei on Sept 15, 2018 11:09:48 GMT -5
Yikes. Flooding will get much worse. Incredibly, the high-resolution HRRR model predicts that 20” or more of additional rain will fall in the period from 8 am Saturday through 5 pm Sunday across a swath stretching north and west from Wilmington (see Figure 2 below). Wilmington received 0.02” on Tuesday, 0.60” on Wednesday, 1.50” on Thursday, and 9.58” on Friday, plus more than 3” through late morning Saturday, so it’s quite possible the city will top 30” for its storm total if the HRRR is correct. www.wunderground.com/cat6/Dire-Flood-Threat-Carolinas-Florences-Rains-Continuefrom the link via tropicaltidbits, map of remaining rain of the storm till Sunday afternoon  |
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Post by nei on Sept 15, 2018 11:11:16 GMT -5
Massachusetts no longer forecast to get rain from Florence; sunny and dry instead. Edit: never it's still getting rain just a day or two past when this map ends. This rainfall map doesn't count the rain that has already fallen in North Carolina (up to 30 inches so far)
rainfall totals
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