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Post by AJ1013 on Nov 18, 2018 19:03:56 GMT -5
rpvan You don't like my forecast?  Gives me flashbacks to 2009-10, 2013-14, 2014-15 or 2015-16.  Lol. I think you're fucked this winter unfortunately. All the signs are pointing to a warm dry winter for the PNW. Hopefully you get lucky. |
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Post by rpvan on Nov 18, 2018 19:17:49 GMT -5
Gives me flashbacks to 2009-10, 2013-14, 2014-15 or 2015-16. Lol. I think you're fucked this winter unfortunately. All the signs are pointing to a warm dry winter for the PNW. Hopefully you get lucky. Yeah, pretty much resigned to that fact. Although there is one small glimmer of hope...one of the analogs cited in a few forecasts is 1968-69 which was the second coldest winter in Vancouver since records began in 1937. |
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Post by AJ1013 on Nov 18, 2018 19:21:05 GMT -5
Lol. I think you're fucked this winter unfortunately. All the signs are pointing to a warm dry winter for the PNW. Hopefully you get lucky. Yeah, pretty much resigned to that fact. Although there is one small glimmer of hope...one of the analogs cited in a few forecasts is 1968-69 which was the second coldest winter in Vancouver since records began in 1937. 2009-2010, 2014-2015, and 2015-2016 are also analogs. None were great here although iirc none were terrible either. Edit: 14-15 was garbage. |
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Post by Giorbanguly on Nov 18, 2018 19:32:53 GMT -5
My wishcast is basically the opposite of what we've seen over the past decade. PV over the PNW while the east roasts for 10 years. I approve |
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Post by Giorbanguly on Nov 18, 2018 19:58:28 GMT -5
Yeah, pretty much resigned to that fact. Although there is one small glimmer of hope...one of the analogs cited in a few forecasts is 1968-69 which was the second coldest winter in Vancouver since records began in 1937. 2009-2010, 2014-2015, and 2015-2016 are also analogs. None were great here although iirc none were terrible either. Edit: 14-15 was garbage. Aside from 15-16 those are some frightening analogs. Especially 2015 ๐ฑ๐ฑ๐ฑ |
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Post by rpvan on Nov 18, 2018 20:15:41 GMT -5
2009-2010, 2014-2015, and 2015-2016 are also analogs. None were great here although iirc none were terrible either. Edit: 14-15 was garbage. Aside from 15-16 those are some frightening analogs. Especially 2015 ๐ฑ๐ฑ๐ฑ How about 1976-77, 77-78, 86-87 or 2002-03? Other analogs I've seen thrown around. Only 1977-78 was decent for the PNW; the rest were craptastic |
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Post by Giorbanguly on Nov 18, 2018 20:19:57 GMT -5
Aside from 15-16 those are some frightening analogs. Especially 2015 ๐ฑ๐ฑ๐ฑ How about 1976-77, 77-78, 86-87 or 2002-03? Other analogs I've seen thrown around. Only 1977-78 was decent for the PNW; the rest were craptastic 2003 was the coldest year of the century here, along with *surprise* 2014. 1977 and 1978 were notoriously horrible too. All signs point to a very very not good year |
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Post by ๐๐ฟMรถrรถn๐๐ฟ on Nov 18, 2018 21:09:13 GMT -5
rpvan You don't like my forecast? Gives me flashbacks to 2009-10, 2013-14, 2014-15 or 2015-16. 2013-2016 was quite a mediocre stretch except for December 2013. |
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Post by rpvan on Nov 18, 2018 22:44:17 GMT -5
Gives me flashbacks to 2009-10, 2013-14, 2014-15 or 2015-16. 2013-2016 was quite a mediocre stretch except for December 2013. Even December 2013 wasn't that special...was mostly dry with a few cm of snow. I seem to recall that was more of a backdoor arctic blast with Oregon taking the brunt of the cold weather...(think Eugene or Portland dipped to -17C?). With that said, it was the last time YVR dipped to -10C so you do have a point there. Can't believe its been more than five years now...average is twice per year. The last notable arctic blast with an arctic high pushing south from the Yukon and central BC was way back in Jan 2012....before that, Nov 2010. Been a rough decade from a cold weather enthusiasts perspective over here. Even 2016-17 didn't feature a major blast as it was just persistent arctic glances from the east as temps generally hovered between -8C and 3C. |
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Post by ๐๐ฟMรถrรถn๐๐ฟ on Nov 19, 2018 0:54:53 GMT -5
2013-2016 was quite a mediocre stretch except for December 2013. Even December 2013 wasn't that special...was mostly dry with a few cm of snow. I seem to recall that was more of a backdoor arctic blast with Oregon taking the brunt of the cold weather...(think Eugene or Portland dipped to -17C?). With that said, it was the last time YVR dipped to -10C so you do have a point there. Can't believe its been more than five years now...average is twice per year. The last notable arctic blast with an arctic high pushing south from the Yukon and central BC was way back in Jan 2012....before that, Nov 2010. Been a rough decade from a cold weather enthusiasts perspective over here. Even 2016-17 didn't feature a major blast as it was just persistent arctic glances from the east as temps generally hovered between -8C and 3C. Not sure what Portland got but Eugene (the airport on the outskirts) recorded -23C/-10F on December 8th, 2013. The city proper was a bit warmer but still very cold. I was lucky enough to live there during that event.  |
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Post by AJ1013 on Nov 19, 2018 12:51:27 GMT -5
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Post by tommyFL on Nov 19, 2018 13:07:48 GMT -5
^ What dates?
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Post by AJ1013 on Nov 19, 2018 13:08:18 GMT -5
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Post by Giorbanguly on Nov 19, 2018 13:30:01 GMT -5
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Post by Hiromant on Nov 19, 2018 13:32:30 GMT -5
Looks like the beginning is promising, it's following my schedule. Next week will bring stable sub-zero temps and snow.
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Post by Giorbanguly on Nov 19, 2018 13:43:07 GMT -5
Gives me flashbacks to 2009-10, 2013-14, 2014-15 or 2015-16. 2013-2016 was quite a mediocre stretch except for December 2013. August 2013-April 2015 was a nightmare stretch here. May 2015-October 2017 was quite legendary however |
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Post by ๐๐ฟMรถrรถn๐๐ฟ on Nov 19, 2018 14:52:22 GMT -5
Ew. Looks like a carbon copy of the EPS...which I will not be posting now since i'm using my phone. |
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Post by rpvan on Nov 20, 2018 0:29:47 GMT -5
Even December 2013 wasn't that special...was mostly dry with a few cm of snow. I seem to recall that was more of a backdoor arctic blast with Oregon taking the brunt of the cold weather...(think Eugene or Portland dipped to -17C?). With that said, it was the last time YVR dipped to -10C so you do have a point there. Can't believe its been more than five years now...average is twice per year. The last notable arctic blast with an arctic high pushing south from the Yukon and central BC was way back in Jan 2012....before that, Nov 2010. Been a rough decade from a cold weather enthusiasts perspective over here. Even 2016-17 didn't feature a major blast as it was just persistent arctic glances from the east as temps generally hovered between -8C and 3C. Not sure what Portland got but Eugene (the airport on the outskirts) recorded -23C/-10F on December 8th, 2013. The city proper was a bit warmer but still very cold. I was lucky enough to live there during that event. Wow, even colder than I thought. Like I said earlier, it was pretty run of the mill over here and wasn't a "classic" blast as it was mostly E flow. |
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Post by Crunch41 on Dec 2, 2018 13:25:14 GMT -5
What do I want? December: Below average temperatures, above average snow. No warm weather or rain. January: same February: same March: Winter weather to start. Then a quick warmup to mild weather, highs around 10C. Mostly dry and sunny. What's the actual weather so far? The opposite. December 1st: Above average with rain all day, total of 25mm. December 2nd: Above average with some rain. 3mm so far at noon. |
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Post by Deleted on Dec 2, 2018 14:27:50 GMT -5
- Much milder than average
- Much sunnier than average
- A rare intense winter thunderstorm
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