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Post by Benfxmth on Oct 16, 2021 4:08:26 GMT -5
.SYNOPSIS... A strong cold front will approach from the west this morning and cross later this afternoon and evening. High pressure will build in from the west tonight through the middle of next week.
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.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/... As of 8:25 AM Sat...High pressure continues to the southeast with a cold front to the west. Will be mostly sunny and warm through midday ahead of the front with highs into the lower 90s inland. The front will reach deep inland areas mid to late aftn and quickly push E toward the area by 18Z. A broken band of shra and a few tstorms expected with the front and ramp PoPs up to high chance or likely inland late today. Will likely be a few hrs of gusty NW winds directly behind the front.
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.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/... As of 8:25 AM Sat...The strong front will quickly sweep by by mid evening with sct to numerous showrs and iso. tstorms coast quickly ending. Strong CAA will ensue behind the front with clearing skies overnight and lows reaching lower 50s deep inland to mid/upr 50s closer to the coast. NW winds will be gusty thru the night near the coast.
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.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... As of 8:45 AM Fri...Cool high pressure will build over the area Sunday through the middle of next week. A front will approach the area late in the week.
Sunday through Monday night...A cold front will push well offshore early Sunday with high pressure building in from the west. Meanwhile, the upper trough axis will slide offshore Sunday with NW flow developing aloft bringing downslope flow and a very dry airmass with PW values dropping to around 1/3", clear skies and Tds dropping to the 30s/lower 40s. Temps will be 5-10 degrees below normal with highs generally in the lower to mid 70s Sunday and mid 70s Monday. Lows will be the coolest of the season yet with mid to upper 40s inland to lower 50s along the coast.
Tuesday through Friday...Weak ridging builds across the region through the middle of the week with sfc high pressure sliding east. Dry conditions will continue but will see gradually moderating airmass with temps warming to near or slightly above temps. A front approaches the area Friday and could see a few showers develop on Friday but moisture appears limited at this time and will limit PoPs to slight chance to low end chance.
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Post by Steelernation on Oct 16, 2021 22:19:00 GMT -5
Up and down week: 10/21: High 62 Low 37 ⛅️ 10/22: High 65 Low 37 ⛅️ 10/23: High 70 Low 39 🌤 Averages on 10/17 are 63/36 and on 10/23 they are 60/34 In C: High 22 Low 5 High 24 Low 5 High 9 Low 0 High 12 Low 1 High 17 Low 3 High 18 Low 3 High 21 Low 4 Averages on 10/17 are 17/2 and on 10/23 they are 16/1
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Post by ilmc90 on Oct 17, 2021 10:11:53 GMT -5
Sunday, 10/17: Sunny to start, becoming cloudy during the afternoon. High 58 F/14 C. Low 31 F/-1 C.
Monday, 10/18: Cloudy with scattered showers. High 48 F/9 C. Low 38 F/3 C.
Tuesday, 10/19: Breezy with a mix of sun and clouds. High 45 F/7 C. Low 34 F/1 C.
Wednesday, 10/20: Rain. Rainfall a quarter inch to half an inch. High 47 F/8 C. Low 38 F/3 C.
Thursday, 10/21: Partly Cloudy. High 53 F/12 C. Low 36 F/2 C.
Friday, 10/22: Mostly Sunny. High 57 F/14 C. Low 37 F/3 C.
Saturday, 10/23: Mostly Cloudy. High 54 F/12 C. Low 39 F/4 C.
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Post by Cadeau on Oct 17, 2021 13:58:14 GMT -5
Metropolitan Area Latitude: 42°N- 7 Days of Quarter-Day Weather Forecast
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Post by desiccatedi85 on Oct 17, 2021 15:41:22 GMT -5
How October has been so far in Palomares (October averages are 71/56 with 3.21" of rain) 10/1: 75/62 mostly sunny 10/2: 78/63 mostly sunny 10/3: 82/65 sunny
10/4: 83/52 PM thunderstorms (0.35")
10/5: 70/51 mostly sunny
10/6: 65/53 mostly cloudy
10/7: 67/56 partly sunny
10/8: 67/60 scattered thundershowers (0.10")
10/9: 72/57 partly sunny
10/10: 75/53 sunny
10/11: 75/60 partly sunny
10/12: 76/59 mostly sunny
10/13: 77/63 partly sunny
10/14: 78/70 partly sunny
10/15: 85/50 PM thunderstorms (0.50")
10/16: 61/52 scattered showers (0.05")
10/17: 65/57 mostly cloudy
Next 7 days - mostly warm, fair weather turning cooler and very wet at the start of the weekend as a coastal low approaches from the southeast, bringing a prolonged period of rainy weather. Widespread 1"-2" of rainfall in the lowlands with isolated totals of 2"-3" on south-facing slopes and foothills.
10/18: 67/56 partly sunny
10/19: 70/57 partly sunny
10/20: 71/62 mostly sunny
10/21: 73/65 mostly sunny
10/22: 72/60 PM showers (0.10")
10/23: 64/53 heavy rain (1.30")
10/24: 65/52 mostly cloudy
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Post by Moron on Oct 18, 2021 1:59:35 GMT -5
Re-cap
October 10- 22/13- mostly sunny morning becoming cloudy in the mid afternoon, winds N 10-20km/h tending W/NW 15-20km/h in the afternoon. October 11- 19/14- cloud clearing to a sunny afternoon, early showers (0.4mm), winds W 10-20km/h easing light by sunset. October 12- 21/10- sunny, light winds. October 13- 21/11- sunny, light winds becoming W/SW 25-30km/h in the morning then S 15-25km/h in the evening. October 14- 21/10- sunny, winds S 10-20km/h increasing S/SW 20-30km/h in the late morning lightening by late evening. October 15- 22/12- sunny, winds S/SW 10-20km/h tending NW 20-25km/h in the afternoon. October 16- 20/12- partly cloudy, winds W 20-30km/h shifting S/SW 25-35km/h in the morning then S/SE 10-20km/h in the evening.
Forecast for Ushgabal
Overall a well below average month except for Monday-Wednesday when a strong high pressure system sits to the east bringing a short burst of intense heat. Back to below average afterwards.
October 17- 24/7- sunny, light winds. October 18- 33/10- sunny, light winds shifting E 15-25km/h in the early morning becoming E/NE 20-30km/h in the late afternoon. October 19- 40/21- sunny, winds NE 15-30km/h easing N 10-20km/h in the afternoon. October 20- 30/20- sunny, winds N/NE 10-20km/h shifting a humid NW 15-20km/h in the afternoon. October 21- 25/15- sunny, light winds becoming NE 10-15km/h for a period in the morning shifting NW 10-20km/h in the late morning then SW 20-30km/h in the evening. October 22- 24/12- sunny, winds S/SW 10-20km/h. October 23- 23/10- mostly sunny, light winds becoming SW 25-30km/h in the late morning.
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Post by rozenn on Oct 19, 2021 13:09:59 GMT -5
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Post by tommyFL on Oct 20, 2021 0:13:25 GMT -5
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Post by jgtheone on Oct 23, 2021 6:47:22 GMT -5
7 day forecast for Northlake: Possibly severe storms on Monday, with heavy showers clearing out Tuesday morning. Cool until Friday where drier conditions will drag on into the weekend. 7 day forecast for Blocktown: Warm weather before midweek storms, cooling down slightly by the weekend.
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Post by Steelernation on Oct 24, 2021 12:59:01 GMT -5
Pretty tame and seasonable week: 10/28: High 57 Low 37 ⛅️ 10/29: High 64 Low 38 ⛅️ 10/30: High 68 Low 37 🌤 Averages on 10/24 are 60/34 and on 10/30 they are 58/33 In C: High 16 Low 4 High 22 Low 8 High 21 Low 4 High 12 Low 2 High 14 Low 3 High 18 Low 3 High 20 Low 3 Averages on 10/24 are 16/1 and on 10/30 they are 14/1
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Post by ilmc90 on Oct 24, 2021 16:42:58 GMT -5
Sunday, 10/24: Cloudy with periods of rain. High 49 F/9 C. Low 41 F/5 C.
Monday, 10/25: Partly cloudy and breezy. High 47 F/7 C. Low 35 F/2 C.
Tuesday, 10/26: Mostly Sunny. High 55 F/13 C. Low 30 F/-1 C.
Wednesday, 10/27: Sunny in the morning but becoming cloudy with rain during the afternoon. High 51 F/11 C. Low 33 F/1 C.
Thursday, 10/28: Rain. Rainfall a quarter inch to half an inch. High 48 F/9 C. Low 40 F/4 C.
Friday, 10/29: A few peaks of sun but generally cloudy. High 50 F/10 C. Low 39 F/4 C.
Saturday, 10/30: Partly Cloudy. High 53 F/12 C. Low 39 F/4 C.
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Post by desiccatedi85 on Oct 25, 2021 6:59:53 GMT -5
Rest of October
10/25: 66/57 ⛅️ ESE 12 10/26: 70/63 🌤 SSE 10 10/27: 75/51 🌩 0.10” SW 15 10/28: 63/52 ⛅️ NNE 10 10/29: 67/53 ⛅️ ESE 7 10/30: 62/52 🌧 0.75” ENE 14 10/31: 64/51 🌦 0.05” NW 9
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Post by Cadeau on Oct 25, 2021 8:38:28 GMT -5
Metropolitan Area Latitude: 42°N- 7 Days of Quarter-Day Weather Forecast
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Post by rpvan on Oct 25, 2021 20:22:39 GMT -5
Update 1/3.
Weeks missed.
Sep 19: Sunny, 34C/12C Sep 20: Sunny, 33C/12C Sep 21: Sunny, 34C/13C Sep 22: Sunny, 33C/13C Sep 23: Sunny, 33C/13C Sep 24: Sunny, 32C/12C Sep 25: Light Rain (8mm), t-storms, small hail, strong NW winds, mostly clear overnight, 19C/5C Sep 26: Mix of sun and cloud, 24C/3C Sep 27: Sunny, 27C/5C Sep 28: Sunny, 29C/7C Sep 29: Sunny, 30C/8C Sep 30: Sunny, 31C/9C Oct 1: Sunny, 30C/9C Oct 2: Sunny, 31C/10C
Average temps Sep 19: 28C/9C Average temps Oct 2: 24C/7C
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Post by rpvan on Oct 25, 2021 20:22:55 GMT -5
Update 2/3.
Weeks missed.
Oct 3: Sunny, 30C/9C Oct 4: Sunny, 31C/10C Oct 5: Light Rain (8mm), 18C/12C Oct 6: Showers(2mm), mostly clear overnight, 16C/2C Oct 7: Sunny, 24C/3C Oct 8: Sunny, 26C/5C Oct 9: Sunny, 25C/5C Oct 10: Light Rain(9mm), 16C/10C Oct 11: Mix of Sun and cloud, 18C/2C Oct 12: Sunny, 22C/2C Oct 13: Sunny, 23C/3C Oct 14: Light Rain(10mm), 14C/8C Oct 15: Showers(3mm), clearing overnight, 13C/1C Oct 16: Sunny, 21C/1C
Average temps Oct 3: 23C/6C Average temps Oct 16: 16C/4C
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Post by rpvan on Oct 25, 2021 20:33:31 GMT -5
Update 3/3.
Current two week period.
Oct 17: Sunny, 22C/2C Oct 18: Light Rain(9mm), 13C/8C Oct 19: Showers, clearing overnight 12C/-1C Oct 20: Sunny, 20C/0C Oct 21: Sunny, 21C/1C Oct 22: Rain(33mm), strong SW winds, 13C/11C Oct 23: Rain(31mm), strong SW winds, 14C/13C Oct 24: Light Rain(8mm), strong W winds, 13C/10C Oct 25: Light Rain(6mm), strong W winds, 11C/9C Oct 26: Showers(2mm), strong NW winds, clearing overnight, 9C/-9C Oct 27: Mix of sun and cloud, strong NE winds, 1C/-9C Oct 28: Light snow (5cm), -2C/-4C Oct 29: Flurries(2cm), clearing overnight, -1C/-2C Oct 30: Mix of sun and cloud, strong NE winds, 1C/-9C
Average temps Oct 17: 15C/4C Average temps Oct 30: 9C/2C
Snow on ground Oct 30: 5cm
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Post by tommyFL on Oct 25, 2021 22:17:40 GMT -5
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Post by rozenn on Oct 26, 2021 17:32:40 GMT -5
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Post by Moron on Oct 28, 2021 23:49:39 GMT -5
Re-cap
October 24- 25/12- sunny, light winds becoming SW 15-30km/h in the morning easing S 10-20km/h in the evening. October 25- 23/11- sunny, winds S/SW 15-25km/h. October 26- 22/12- sunny, winds S 10-20km/h increasing SW 20-30km/h in the morning easing S/SE 10-20km/h in the evening. October 27- 22/9- mostly sunny, winds SE 10-20km/h. October 28- 23/9- mostly sunny, winds S/SE 20-30km/h. October 29- 26/11- sunny, winds SE 20-30km/h tending E/SE 20-35km/h in the morning shifting S/SW 10-15km/h for a period in the afternoon then light.
Forecast for Ushgabal
Continuing the trend of average/below average weather.
October 30- 29/13- sunny, light winds becoming E 15-20km/h in the late morning increasing E 20-40km/h in the late evening. October 31- 29/13- sunny, winds E 20-30km/h becoming light and variable around midday shifting a cooler S/SW 15-25km/h in the early afternoon. November 1- 29/14- mostly sunny, winds SE 10-20km/h turning SW 10-20km/h in the afternoon then light by sunset. November 2- 29/13- sunny, light winds becoming SW 15-30km/h in the early afternoon then S/SE 15-25km/h in the late afternoon. November 3- 27/13- sunny, winds S/SE 10-20km/h turning S 10-20km/h in the early morning then SW 15-30km/h in the evening. November 4- 24/13- sunny, winds S 10-20km/h becoming SW 15-25km/h in the morning. November 5- 23/12- sunny, winds SW 20-30km/h.
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Post by tommyFL on Oct 29, 2021 22:43:08 GMT -5
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