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Post by greysrigging on Jan 24, 2021 3:56:19 GMT -5
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Post by greysrigging on Jan 24, 2021 4:30:22 GMT -5
BoM have really ramped our rainfall up for the coming week. The satellite is showing an impressive monsoon surge developing across the waters to our north and this looks set to pull down over the Top End in coming days. Showers, storms becoming more frequent across the Top End and these will be accompanied by squally winds at times. A weak low near Gove looks set to develop slowly whilst remaining slow moving. Ya gotta love a good monsoon !  |
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Post by greysrigging on Jan 24, 2021 17:49:38 GMT -5
The black lines are 25mm increments so around 75mm atm here in Leanyer Heights. Real total at 9.00am when I empty it.  |
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Post by psychedamike24 on Jan 25, 2021 1:53:09 GMT -5
Sometimes it is pretty crappy ! Earlier this month.... Some of the more impressive DP's recently in the Top End of the Northern Territory.....the 'build up' to the Wet Season is a particularly trying time climatically. AMAZING dewpoints recorded yesterday across all stations in the Darwin area. If I saw these figures alone, Iβd assume error, but this was widespread across the entire region! Even inland stations had crazy figures. 1.30pm Darwin airport : 33.6/26.4 11.30am Point Stuart : 34/30.9 1.30pm Charles Point : 29.9/28.5 12.00pm Wadeye : 33.2/26.7 3.30pm Dum In Mirrie : 33.9/26.1 10.30am Middle Point : 32/27 3.00pm Point Fawcett : 33.1/27.1 9.00am Batchelor : 30.7/25.8 9.30am Noonamah : 31.8/26.4 Was 33.2/28.7 at Gunn Point around 1:30pm. Those are some pretty high dewpoints. I've played around with the Windy weather app, and have noticed that the highest dew points are usually around the stretch of coastal Western Australia around Port Hedland/the Pilbara- often as high as 28 C over the open sea during January. |
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Post by greysrigging on Jan 25, 2021 3:08:30 GMT -5
Another 24mm this afternoon..... see what tonight brings...... been a beautiful cool wet day, the sorta day everyone looks forward to ! Max temp today only 28c and its 25.6c atm ( 5.30pm )
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Post by greysrigging on Jan 26, 2021 5:35:18 GMT -5
I've been doing a bit of complaining on the local weather group FB page re this wet 'Wet Season so far being a bit 'underwhelming', given the early season media hype re a 'Biblical rainfall' La Nina weather pattern.
"Just had a quick look at Leanyer ( home for me ) figures ( the BOM AWS ones ) compared to the means.
So from Oct 1st the site has exceed the mean every month ( so yes I have a short memory lol )
Running total of 1099.4mm up until 9.00am this morning.
The mean total is 923.4mm ( until the end of January ).
So 176mm above the norm so far this 'wet'
Ok, that's a pass mark.
And most of the rain here has been of the steady soaking variety, ie not too many downpours with excessive runoff."
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Post by Beercules on Jan 26, 2021 6:04:35 GMT -5
Media are cancer when it comes to weather 100% of the time.
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Post by greysrigging on Jan 26, 2021 16:44:16 GMT -5
The mean rainfall for January in my suburb ( Leanyer ) is 440mm. As of this morning ( and still raining ) I'm at 480mm. With the forecasts indicating continued monsoonal conditions, I should get to 600mm ( 2 foot ) by months end.
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Post by greysrigging on Jan 26, 2021 19:28:42 GMT -5
Australian Bureau of Meteorology Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this warning. TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 7 Issued at 7:44 am EST on Wednesday 27 January 2021 Headline: Developing tropical low is slow-moving off the western Cape York Peninsula coast. Areas Affected: Warning Zone Mornington Island, and Karumba to Aurukun, including Kowanyama and Pormpuraaw, and nearby inland areas. Watch Zone Aurukun to Weipa. Cancelled Zone None. Details of Tropical Low at 7:00 am AEST [6:30 am ACST]: Intensity: Tropical Low, sustained winds near the centre of 45 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 85 kilometres per hour. Location: within 55 kilometres of 14.8 degrees South 141.6 degrees East, estimated to be 80 kilometres north northwest of Kowanyama and 330 kilometres northeast of Mornington Island. Movement: east northeast at 8 kilometres per hour. The tropical low is expected to remain slow-moving off the western Cape York Peninsula coast and may develop into a tropical cyclone on Thursday. The system should remain slow-moving in the southeastern region of the Gulf of Carpentaria for a few days, after which it may cross the western Cape York Peninsula coast. Hazards: HEAVY RAINFALL is forecast about western parts of Cape York Peninsula for the next several days with the potential for 150 to 200 millimetres per day for multiple days. The most likely areas to see these rainfall totals will be coastal parts between Weipa and Gilbert River Mouth. ABNORMALLY HIGH TIDES are expected between the Torres Strait Islands and Pormpuraaw during the next several days. Large waves may produce minor flooding along the foreshore. People living in areas likely to be affected by this flooding should take measures to protect their property as much as possible and be prepared to help their neighbours. GALES with gusts to 110 kilometres per hour may develop about Mornington Island, and communities between Aurukun to Karumba, and nearby inland areas, on Thursday morning. DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts to 150 kilometres per hour may develop from Thursday night if the system continues to intensify. GALES may extend north to areas between Aurukun and Weipa later on Thursday or on Friday if the system follows a more northward track.  Looks like its gunna get a little wet and windy on the eastern side of the Gulf of Carpentaria. |
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Post by jetshnl on Jan 26, 2021 20:38:00 GMT -5
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Post by greysrigging on Jan 26, 2021 23:33:08 GMT -5
I suspect it will, good rains ( well above average ) in the catchments so far this season. I was listening to a Govt Hydrologist on a local radio station ( before this current burst of the monsoon ) and he tipped a spillway occurrence based on longer term rainfall projections. And although only about 60% atm, the catchment is fully saturated so most of any rain from now until April will be runoff. |
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Post by jgtheone on Jan 27, 2021 0:35:16 GMT -5
We're joining in the monsoon too.   |
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Post by greysrigging on Jan 27, 2021 14:28:13 GMT -5
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Post by greysrigging on Jan 27, 2021 17:05:32 GMT -5
Another 60mm overnight....approaching 300mm for the week. Back yard resembles a swamp !   |
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Post by greysrigging on Jan 27, 2021 19:59:36 GMT -5
Another very heavy monsoonal squall atm....back yard is a swamp ! Christ only knows who this is.....   |
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Post by jetshnl on Jan 27, 2021 20:04:39 GMT -5
All that rain and the Weatherzone fire danger rating for Darwin is still βModerateβ. Must take a flood to move it to βlowβ.
, or is there no βlowβ category?
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Post by greysrigging on Jan 27, 2021 20:17:22 GMT -5
All that rain and the Weatherzone fire danger rating for Darwin is still βModerateβ. Must take a flood to move it to βlowβ. , or is there no βlowβ category? Yeah, strange one that is..... a cigarette lighter would refuse to spark atm !  From a mate in Palmerston ( Darwin satellite city 25klm away ) "So another 103.6mm on the last 24 hours. 331.4mm in last 72 hours. Yesterday the frogs had gum boots on. Today they have gum boots on AND an umbrella... Radar is looking like a very wet couple of hours as a few lines of monsoonal squalls roll in. REAL monsoonal weather at last"  |
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Post by greysrigging on Jan 28, 2021 0:29:56 GMT -5
Another 65mm since 9 this morning and only 25.3c at 3.00pm ! Doesn't get better than this !
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Post by Steelernation on Jan 28, 2021 1:06:21 GMT -5
Cool how you just casually get 60+ mm of a rain in a storm, especially as epic thunderstorms. In already rainy Rochester, a fall that heavy happens only every few years. The lone 100 mm day was way back in 1893.
Surprisingly Fort Collins has had more days >100 mm despite being a much drier climate.
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Post by ππΏMΓΆrΓΆnππΏ on Jan 28, 2021 1:59:05 GMT -5
Cool how you just casually get 60+ mm of a rain in a storm, especially as epic thunderstorms. In already rainy Rochester, a fall that heavy happens only every few years. The lone 100 mm day was way back in 1893. Surprisingly Fort Collins has had more days >100 mm despite being a much drier climate. The Front Range is awesome. Just wait for an El NiΓ±o spring...or maybe this spring since this strong La NiΓ±a is basically an El NiΓ±o. Can't believe how lucky I got in 2015 when I lived in Denver. Could've been bone dry but no...thunderstorms almost every day. |
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