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Post by greysrigging on Feb 18, 2022 1:48:07 GMT -5
A reasonably shitty humid and torrid Top End day... intermittent showers all day without much rain....all of 'em sunshowers, so hot and sweaty...   |
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Post by greysrigging on Feb 18, 2022 13:02:53 GMT -5
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Post by greysrigging on Feb 19, 2022 1:57:50 GMT -5
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Post by greysrigging on Feb 19, 2022 4:15:42 GMT -5
A classic example of a Gulf Line impacting the City.... just a little too far south to do anything in my suburb of Leanyer... we do getter with westerly storms as opposed to these easterlies.  Mind you, reasonably confident of this next one ( a bit further north and a coast hugger ) impacting the Northern Suburbs of Darwin.   |
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Post by greysrigging on Feb 19, 2022 15:22:53 GMT -5
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Post by greysrigging on Feb 20, 2022 1:31:49 GMT -5
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Post by greysrigging on Feb 20, 2022 4:04:43 GMT -5
A classic example of how quickly things can change with previously clear lightning/stormtracker pics now showing good activity across the the inland Top End ( 6 hours after the previous pics ie noon to 6.00pm )  |
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Post by greysrigging on Feb 20, 2022 20:24:54 GMT -5
EWN Alerts - Northern Territory Significant Weather Threat Map Monday, 21 February 2022 NT: A few showers and storms will fire up across the Top End late this afternoon and evening. Bursts of heavy rainfall and locally damaging wind gusts will be possible with storms across the day.  From Pilko's Chat On Weather Access model is getting a little excited for spin ups at the end of the run... but let's just silently hope this doesn't happen because it wouldn't be good for our weather locally!  |
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Post by greysrigging on Feb 21, 2022 2:01:52 GMT -5
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Post by greysrigging on Feb 21, 2022 3:59:58 GMT -5
Incredible differences in the model scenarios in this afternoon's runs. All within the next 48-72 hours range from now and wildly different scenarios. EC - Low spins up near Cape York GFS - Low spins up near Darwin Access G - Low spins up north of Broome!    |
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Post by greysrigging on Feb 21, 2022 17:37:10 GMT -5
Liking the look of the activity out in the Timor Sea. 36.3mm here at home yesterday and overnight.  |
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Post by greysrigging on Feb 22, 2022 5:43:48 GMT -5
Incoming this evening....   |
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Post by greysrigging on Feb 22, 2022 17:44:16 GMT -5
50mm overnight here at home and 36mm the night before. An excellent boost to previously poor monthly totals. I'm only 40mm below the Feb mean of 380mm, so should easily eclipse this figure before the end of the month  |
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Post by greysrigging on Feb 22, 2022 18:20:28 GMT -5
From our local FB weather enthusiasts Page : "Interesting model run from both GFS and ECWMF this morning…  EC is quite unreal. Has it sitting near us for a few days before going over to see Cameron for a refill and then tracking SW across the Top End. That scenario would be perfect for a few depleted water catchments." |
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Post by greysrigging on Feb 22, 2022 20:28:13 GMT -5
A coupla Wet Season pics... This one is on the 80 mile beach south of Broome, WA.  View of a weekend storm in Darwin.  |
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Post by greysrigging on Feb 22, 2022 22:48:01 GMT -5
Could be interesting off Darwin over the weekend/early next week From Pilko's FB group "Good morning troops. Just a quick one for the time as I have a hundred things to do today but weather models look to have done a big swing in our favour overnight. That’s if you want rain and it might also mean plenty of wind as well. The monsoon sits very close to the north coast and is strengthening. A low pressure system has formed to our west north west and the general consensus is that this will push towards the NW Top End coastline. At this stage it’s uncertain if it will intensify into a possible cyclone prior to reaching land but regardless it will still create severe weather with heavy rain and strong winds, especially near the low. We will keep you up to speed but probably a good time to prepare for a bit of a wild blast. This morning should remain cool and cloudy about the northern Top End but conditions will become more unstable during the day with increasing showers, gusty storms and rain areas. Take care out there and I will chat to you all soon 👍"    |
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Post by greysrigging on Feb 23, 2022 0:46:03 GMT -5
Oz Cyclone Chasers 1Shf91aio1ncgchrcleu · ATTENTION TOP ENDERS & DARWIN FOLK Significant changes in Model runs overnight have a 90 -100% of a low forming to your NW with an initial eastward motion favoured before a recurve back to the SW on the weekend. The Monsoon surge is stronger than expected and has basically changed everything. We would not be surprised to see severe weather warning updates and potential advices in the next day or so. Good time to clean up your yard and join Nitso for his daily updates  |
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Post by greysrigging on Feb 23, 2022 1:17:03 GMT -5
Forecasts are lining up now ( quickly ) for interesting weather on the weekend....its quite breezy atm, with wind swinging around to west north westerlies.   |
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Post by greysrigging on Feb 23, 2022 14:10:18 GMT -5
Bit of a shame this nice looking line has slipped away to the south of the City. Coming in from the classic monsoonal direction - the north west from the Timor Sea.   |
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Post by greysrigging on Feb 23, 2022 20:52:16 GMT -5
Nice little squall passing through atm  And 25c near noon is pretty good ! lovely cool overcast. I spread 100kgs of 'Dynamic Lifter' fertiliser around the garden last night in anticipation of some heavy rain this weekend.  |
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