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Post by greysrigging on Apr 7, 2022 1:01:12 GMT -5
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Post by greysrigging on Apr 7, 2022 1:13:07 GMT -5
From local guru, Pilko earlier today. "Good morning trendsetters.. Another overnight storm punched into the Darwin area late last night after a reasonably quiet day yesterday. The previous nights storms sterilised the atmosphere somewhat and it took a whole day of heating to fire it up again. And today will suffer the exact same fate with fine and clear conditions, thanks to last nights storm. Another 20.6mm here in Gray and it looked for the best part like it was going to slide past us. The steering winds had a more NNW component compared to the previous night and it tended to give the northern suburbs a better drink this time, although East Arm grabbed 52mm which looks to be the best of the official tallies. The fact the steering winds changed is indicative of a drier airstream pushing in from the south and the drier stream looks set to hang around for a day or two, before a more unstable pattern begins to assemble in the Far East next week 🤔. So what that means for Darwin and surrounds is a fine and mostly clear day now that the cloud has burnt off, but again the slight chance of an overnight or early morning storm about the NW Top End. Continuing hot though of course so keep those fluids up. A good day to take on the overgrown jungle that I call a garden me thinks. Have a great day and I will chat later.   |
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Post by greysrigging on Apr 7, 2022 14:37:14 GMT -5
Dry air has pushed in over the Top End, producing some record breaking heat in some districts. Ngkurr over on the eastern side recorded a new April temp of 40.0c yesterday. The central Arnhemland town of Bulman also recorded an April record max of 39.6c. Daly Waters in the center of the NT is running a whopping 4.6c above the April mean max at 38.6c. Victoria River Downs in the Gregory District is averaging 39.4c for the first 7 days of April, also 4.6c above the April mean. Darwin maxed at 35.0c yesterday, and there are a few more in the next 7 days forecast.  |
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Post by greysrigging on Apr 8, 2022 0:53:15 GMT -5
From our local guru, Pilko... "Good morning trendsetters.. Well the Top End got a taste of the dry season yesterday with practically no rain across the entire Territory. Having said that it was still hot and it was still humid so let’s hope that’s not an indication of the season ahead of us. Today and tomorrow at this stage look very similar with hot conditions continuing and only a slight chance of coastal showers or storms. If you are already craving for rain then don’t panic as next week we look set to see a return of showers and storms across the Top End. How much and where the focal point is for the heaviest rain is unclear yet but certainly expect another wet spell before our weather patterns begin to change towards the dry season. Have a great day and chat later."    |
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Post by greysrigging on Apr 8, 2022 3:53:54 GMT -5
So far, another month of above average temps...  Oh, and the rain has disappeared too.... an ordinary looking lightning/storm tracker radar for late afternoon in early April.  |
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Post by greysrigging on Apr 8, 2022 22:51:21 GMT -5
From Pilko's Chat On Weather... "Good afternoon trendsetters.. It’s a hot one out there again and pretty fine over 95 percent of the NT today. However if you are about the NW corner, or the Dundee to Coburg regions and all areas west of that imaginary line, you are in for a slightly better chance of an afternoon shower or storm later this afternoon compared to yesterday’s dismal performance. It will be mostly fine tho and showers will be isolated so don’t go betting your neighbours on rainfall totals, but it is fractionally more unstable than yesterday over this area. Tomorrow will be a case of ground hog day but chance of showers will creep along towards the NE Top End as well. Make the most of this dry weather. EVERY model now has showers, storms and even possible rain areas developing from early this coming week and by next weekend, these conditions are starting to look quite extensive. The wet is not done with just yet and it looks like it’s gonna finish with a bang. Happy days if you are a frog, or just a mad rain fan like me. 😝 Have a great day and I will start posting up some pretty pictures in coming days, showing the scale of rainfall that’s being forecasted. I will add one with this post but I really don’t want to jinx it 🤔😝 The attached SATELLITE map, compliments of OCC shows just how much dry air has pushed in over the Top End ( Rusty shading) …. Bloody horrid stuff."    |
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Post by greysrigging on Apr 9, 2022 4:25:48 GMT -5
A passing shower at the Airport...4.6mm....only a sprinkle at home - 0.2mm.   |
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Post by greysrigging on Apr 10, 2022 4:43:18 GMT -5
Top End's Wet End To Wet Season ( source: Weatherzone )  Much of the Northern Territory's Top End has had a drier than normal wet season so far but is likely to end it in a wet way. Showers and thunderstorms become an increased chance over the next few days as a pulse of moist, unstable air moves in from the east. Showers and storms become a chance each day for almost all locations in the Top End from mid-this week until mid-next week. The wettest area is expected to be Arnhem where instability and moisture should be greatest and where a tropical low is a chance to form. Seven-day rainfall has the potential to exceed 200 millimetres in eastern Arnhem and amount to 50-100mm for most of the remainder of the Top End, including the Darwin area.  Possible total rainfall for the period Tuesday 12th April to Tuesday 19th April. With 20 days remaining, Nhulunbuy is a chance to catch up to its wet-season average of 1283mm, currently 280mm behind. Darwin's late-season wet should also take it close to its October-to-April average of 1677mm, currently within 200mm, on 1493mm. |
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Post by greysrigging on Apr 10, 2022 13:53:22 GMT -5
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Post by greysrigging on Apr 11, 2022 4:00:37 GMT -5
The last hurrah of the Northern 'Wet' season about to impact the Top End later this week.... This evening ...  Forecast the next 7 days   The rainfall deficiancies along the Tropical QLD Coast  |
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Post by greysrigging on Apr 11, 2022 16:50:46 GMT -5
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Post by greysrigging on Apr 11, 2022 22:46:27 GMT -5
Could well be a wet Easter across the Top End....   |
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Post by greysrigging on Apr 12, 2022 1:26:42 GMT -5
Today's report from local Guru, Pilko... "Good morning trendsetters.. How good are this mornings photos of our glorious sunrise, my lord they are stunning 😍. After basking in some unwelcome heat over the last few days across the Top End, our weather is about to undergo a temporary transition back to wet season conditions, as a surge of moisture pushes in from the east. If you reside about the NE Top End it’s probably a good time to waterproof the house and purchase a boat, as it’s that part of the world that looks likely to receive the best of it and some of the rainfall accumulations that are being thrown around are quite staggering. Western parts at this stage look to miss out on the heaviest of rain but a few variations can quickly alter that scenario. Showers and storms becoming widespread about the north coast this afternoon with conditions spreading east to west as the day progresses. Darwin area should see afternoon action today and certainly a little more common tomorrow before the bulk of the instability radiates back to the eastern parts later in the week. A possible low pressure system is expected to develop about the Arafura Sea in coming days and it’s movement and development will be the decision maker as to who and where gets the heaviest of rain, but at this stage the NE Top End is favoured to get a right royal spanking. At this stage NO cyclone development is forecast however the low is likely to deepen regardless and this is likely to cause winds to freshen about the north and east coasts late in the week. So interesting days ahead and we will try and keep you up to speed as it appears. Interesting to note that some models have a secondary system after this one affecting the Top End. .. who said the dry was here 🤔🤣 Have a great day everyone and chat later. Take note of the satellite map from OCC showing the water vapour which has again swamped the Top End. The rusty hues of dry air still very much prevalent to the south. Couple of nice cells to the north of the mainland."    |
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Post by greysrigging on Apr 12, 2022 3:15:55 GMT -5
Mmmm, looking like a drink in the Darwin region shortly   |
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Post by greysrigging on Apr 12, 2022 3:26:06 GMT -5
looking likely now....  Pretty good for mid April !  |
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Post by greysrigging on Apr 12, 2022 5:01:12 GMT -5
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Post by greysrigging on Apr 13, 2022 1:36:58 GMT -5
Gotta love mid April rain ! A small cell popped up out of nowhere at 3.00pm and dropped 12.8mm in my home gauge in 10 mins, then the hot bastard sun came out again and now another shower. The whole of the Top End is very active atm, especially after yesterday's classic 'knock 'em down' stprm produced an 85klm/h gust at the Airport. Top End radar atm ( 4.00pm )  Heavy rain in my suburb...   
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Post by greysrigging on Apr 13, 2022 3:35:36 GMT -5
Looks like an incomming smashing for the Darwin region..doppler showing very strong gale force winds....bring it on ! April rain is a bonus !   |
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Post by greysrigging on Apr 13, 2022 4:06:09 GMT -5
Edging closer to the City...doppler is showing some gusty winds, but no storm warning issued by the BOM yet...   |
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Post by greysrigging on Apr 13, 2022 22:08:12 GMT -5
Pilko's report.... "Good morning trendsetters.. Forgive me if any spelling mistakes in this one as typing without my reading glasses on … 😝 What a terrific storm last night for much of the Top End. Some big falls south of the Darwin area especially the Victoria region, some areas having in excess of 100mm in past two days. As the storm began to wane over Palmo last night, the big bright but infrequent widow makers started landing left right and centre. Holy hell they were incredibly loud and the house even shook with a couple of them. No doubt this storm probably should have had a warning with it as it was incredibly windy, but again if the storm doesn’t meet the criteria it won’t be severe warned. Therein lies the problem tho with no instruments to record winds east of Darwin, other than Middle Point and Noonamah. Pt Stuart is a fraction too far to be a reliable indicator of what to expect in Darwin. Anyhow something to ponder for the boffins for next season maybe 🤷🏻♂️ Today looks like it will be much quieter than the past 2 days with last nights storms having stabilised the atmosphere somewhat. Increasing instability this afternoon and evening tho will give us another possible line of late action, but I would be surprised to see something as dramatic as last night but who knows. I will be in Katherine for a couple of days so Katherine will be as dry as a bone and the Darwin area is likely to go “bang” !!! Will give you an update later today with what to expect in coming days, but the weekend doesn’t look too wet outside of the Gove area at this stage, so if you are going camping then you should be seeing mostly fine and hot conditions with possible late arvo and evening gusty storms… Chat soon and have a great day"    The Top End at noon today  Lasts nights storm  |
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