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Post by alex992 on Jan 27, 2022 11:10:02 GMT -5
Had one of the, if not the, biggest diurnal ever yesterday, with 34/-23 F (1.1/-30.6 C) at the airport  w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KSTC.htmlHere, even slightly bigger, with 34/-25 F (1.1/-31.7 C), insane shit . Cooler air infiltrating in today, 23 F (-5.0 C) and cloudy and quite windy here just past 10 AM, supposed to drop to around 10 F (-12.2 C) this afternoon and -19 F (-28.3 C) overnight, so another huge temperature swing on tap here. Quite the roller coaster ride. |
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Post by srfoskey on Jan 27, 2022 12:49:39 GMT -5
Some light snow showers are occurring in the western part of the state today, but we only have a 40% chance of snow here in Norman. It's nice to see, but won't do much to alleviate the drought situation. This was a big overperformer, with a whopping 0.4" (1.0 cm) of snow! Some of it is still sticking in shady spots! |
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Post by greysrigging on Jan 27, 2022 16:11:18 GMT -5
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Post by greysrigging on Jan 27, 2022 18:04:42 GMT -5
When the monsoon breaks in Townsville.....  |
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Post by nei on Jan 27, 2022 20:29:48 GMT -5
model forecasts lots of snow
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Post by greysrigging on Jan 27, 2022 20:37:40 GMT -5
Cyclone-strength wind gusts, torrential downpours in Vic storms ( source: Weatherzone ) Severe storms struck parts of Victoria overnight and more can be expected this Friday. A wind gust of 133 km/h was recorded just after 8:30 pm Thursday at Swan Hill, a large town of 11,000 residents on the Murray River about halfway between Echuca and Mildura. That's equivalent to the gusts experienced in a Category 2 cyclone. An even stronger gust of 139 km/h ripped through Horsham (population 16,500) in the state’s Wimmera district. Numerous towns experienced heavy rainfall over a short period of time, including: 34.4mm in 30 minutes at St Arnaud 38 mm in 20 minutes at Geelong 28.7 mm in 30 mm at Moolap (a suburb of Geelong)  Why the severe storms? A high in the Tasman Sea is directing a warm to hot and humid northerly airflow over Victoria. A slow-moving trough is progressing eastwards across the state, triggering instability and storms. You can see numerous storms clearly in this 10 am radar still (below).  And what about today? The storms are expected to make their way east throughout the day, with heavy rain possible this afternoon or evening in Melbourne, as we told you yesterday in our story about the Big Bash final weather. There's a severe thunderstorm warning in place for parts of Victoria's Central and South West forecast districts. Melbourne sits in the Central forecast district, so be careful out there, folks. Showers and storms are possible today in all parts of Victoria. And the coming weekend in Melbourne? SATURDAY Things will cool down and dry out in Melbourne on Saturday, with an expected top of 22°C and just the chance of a morning shower. It all looks good for an open roof at the Australian Open final as Ash Barty tries to become the first Aussie woman to win her national title since Chris O’Neil in 1978. |
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Post by nei on Jan 27, 2022 21:23:55 GMT -5
cold morning in northern New England but clearly from radiational cooling. Almost as cold as previous cold snaps but afternoons much milder  st johnsbury vermont had a high of 19°F after a morning low of -19°F temperatures aloft not that cold  |
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Post by Beercules on Jan 27, 2022 22:03:50 GMT -5
A lotta lightning  |
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Post by Steelernation on Jan 28, 2022 0:19:36 GMT -5
Had another decent snowfall this morning—1.5” (4 cm). Brings the monthly snow total to 11.9” (31 cm), almost double the average.
This month will be notable for having snow cover all 31 days, assuming there’s no freak melt this weekend. Would be the first January to do since 2007 and only the 3rd ever.
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Post by greysrigging on Jan 28, 2022 0:53:18 GMT -5
^^The average mug 12,000 miles away looks at the winter mean max temps and finds it hard to believe you could have the whole month with snow cover. I suppose 5,000' asl and those overnight mins must help preserve the snow cover ? Has it been a below average month for temps generally ?
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Post by Steelernation on Jan 28, 2022 1:10:25 GMT -5
^^The average mug 12,000 miles away looks at the winter mean max temps and finds it hard to believe you could have the whole month with snow cover. I suppose 5,000' asl and those overnight mins must help preserve the snow cover ? Has it been a below average month for temps generally ? It has been a below average month, average high is only 42.5 (5.8 c). More so, there’s been an unusual lack of warmth—13 c is the highest temp and the nights have all been well below freezing limiting melting. Also had a decent amount of snow that’s replenished the snowpack. Not quite a true snow pack though, earlker this week it was pretty patchy with many bare spots but still enough snow on the ground at the station to measure an inch. |
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Post by knot on Jan 28, 2022 1:12:53 GMT -5
^^The average mug 12,000 miles away looks at the winter mean max temps and finds it hard to believe you could have the whole month with snow cover. I suppose 5,000' asl and those overnight mins must help preserve the snow cover ? Has it been a below average month for temps generally ? Not hard to understand at all from an AU perspective, when Cabramurra for instance is usually snowbound for 3–4 months (Jun–Sep). A place with mean temps notably milder than Ft. Collins. |
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Post by greysrigging on Jan 28, 2022 2:31:19 GMT -5
Agree with that except the rainfall totals... as we know in AU its the moisture that replenishes the snowpack in the AU Alps... Fort Collins is semi arid with only 400mm anually and only 44mm in the winter months. As opposed to Cabramurra with +1200mm ( new site ) and 1680mm ( old site ) with winter rainfall/snowfall measured at 570mm during winter at the old site and about 320mm at the new site. And Cabramurra is significantly cooler by mean max temps in the winter months with June - 5.5c, July - 3.9c, Aug - 4.8c as opposed to Fort Collins Dec - 6.2c, Jan - 7.2c, Feb - 8.2c.
As I surmised earlier, the overnight mins must help hold the snowpack.
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Post by Speagles84 on Jan 28, 2022 6:41:52 GMT -5
model forecasts lots of snow Convenient time to use Kuchera nei  |
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Post by Deleted on Jan 28, 2022 8:16:38 GMT -5
Drizzle/light rain fell around my area for a brief moment, likely a trace amount recorded if there's a weather station here. That broke the almost 11-day dry streak...
Still no official rainfall recorded at the airport, so the streak is still going on there...
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Post by nei on Jan 28, 2022 8:43:18 GMT -5
Convenient time to use Kuchera nei I didn't say I believed in the model forecast. this snowfall will be fairly cold for Long Island, low 20s so ratio should be higher than 10:1. Kuchera probably an overestimate still |
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Post by snj90 on Jan 28, 2022 9:48:40 GMT -5
model forecasts lots of snow Can't complain about 7 or 8 inches here, but I hope it tracks just a bit more to the west! The Jersey Shore is the place to be for snow for the 2nd or 3rd time this month! (They got a lot more on Jan 3. Some spots outperformed the Philadelphia area in the Jan 7 storm.)
I'd be pretty happy with this scenario!
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Post by AJ1013 on Jan 28, 2022 15:25:54 GMT -5
Tomorrow will be the coldest day in a decade in Miami
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Post by greysrigging on Jan 28, 2022 23:44:30 GMT -5
More Rain Expected For The Kimberley ( source: Weatherzone ) The monsoon trough is continuing to sit comfortably over northern Australia, bringing heavy rainfall to northern parts. A low is expected to develop over the Kimberley in the coming days, leading to more rain, flooding and strong winds. Some significant 24-hour rainfall totals to 9am Friday in the Kimberley were Lansdowne with 110mm, Debesa with 60mm, Fossil Downs with 86mm and Mount Amhurst with 96mm to name a few. Models are favoring a low developing over the Kimberley around Sunday evening or Monday morning, with possible rainfall amounts of 300mm in 24hrs. This will undoubtedly bring the risk of severe flooding to the region.  Not only is flooding a risk, but wind gusts exceeding 90km/h are also a possibility for coastal parts as the low develops. The worst of the winds are expected on Monday and Tuesday. Although there is some uncertainty, most models agree that the low should linger over the region for at least a couple of days after developing. Heavy rainfall and flooding could extend further into WA's interior, although its track may change in the future. |
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Post by Benfxmth on Jan 29, 2022 1:03:47 GMT -5
Signs of intensification are well underway...
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w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KSTC.html
