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Post by Hiromant on Feb 21, 2018 5:01:10 GMT -5
A four day stretch with -20°C or colder lows coming up. Better late than never.  |
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Post by Deleted on Feb 21, 2018 12:58:23 GMT -5
 Not a drop of rain in sight for the foreseeable future, bone dry, so at least ice won't be a huge issue. February is often our driest month, have no idea why. |
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Post by Deleted on Feb 21, 2018 13:51:52 GMT -5
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Post by urania93 on Feb 21, 2018 14:30:10 GMT -5
 Ok, the cold wave is going to reach us too, but this weather forecast site is really starting to publish random numbers... |
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Post by Hiromant on Feb 21, 2018 16:24:11 GMT -5
Yr.no has a few even more interesting days in store.  |
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Post by chesternz on Feb 22, 2018 0:37:39 GMT -5
Looks like we might finally be getting some decent storms 😃  |
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Post by Deleted on Feb 22, 2018 14:37:49 GMT -5
First freezing day in years forecast for next Thursday.  |
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Post by Deleted on Feb 22, 2018 14:42:09 GMT -5
Some real cold heading to Scotland, predictions that it could drop to the -20's in places. I'd take this forecast with a pinch of salt, Braemar recorded a -7C high in December during a milder system.  |
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Post by flamingGalah on Feb 22, 2018 18:50:09 GMT -5
Still around average, no cold snap for Maltese guy...  |
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Post by boombo on Feb 23, 2018 6:29:40 GMT -5
Now this is more like it, I've never seen the WO forecasts give -2C highs for here before even when it's actually happened  Whatever model the WO forecasts use tends to be really conservative when forecasting particularly warm/cold weather here so it could easily be colder than that, today for example had a low of -3 and it's barely gone above freezing now so we're probably not going to get to 5C like it says we will. I haven't checked every single year but as far as I know our coldest March high on record is a mere -1.3C so that could easily go. Impressive as it would be for us, if we end up with ice days in both Feb and March four consecutive months with ice days still wouldn't be a record, the record is five between November 1978 and March 1979   |
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Post by Deleted on Feb 23, 2018 7:07:57 GMT -5
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Post by Deleted on Feb 23, 2018 8:19:16 GMT -5
 this is getting insane. |
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Post by Dean York (Old) on Feb 23, 2018 8:47:36 GMT -5
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Post by flamingGalah on Feb 23, 2018 10:08:36 GMT -5
Well here it seems we jump abruptly from winter to spring...  |
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Post by P London on Feb 23, 2018 17:16:44 GMT -5
A tiny bit chilly.  |
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Post by urania93 on Feb 24, 2018 5:46:02 GMT -5
Next week weather forecast doesn't look well at all. This is the forecast for Turin:  while this is the one for my place:  I really doubt that my place will really be that colder than Turin, local weather forecasts tend to systematically undervalue temperatures in the valleys, but still to have ice days between the end of February and the beginning of March would be extremely uncommon (if not a record event, I should check it). |
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Post by Lommaren on Feb 24, 2018 5:50:13 GMT -5
Next week weather forecast doesn't look well at all. This is the forecast for Turin: while this is the one for my place: I really doubt that my place will really be that colder than Turin, local weather forecasts tend to systematically undervalue temperatures in the valleys, but still to have ice days between the end of February and the beginning of March would be extremely uncommon (if not a record event, I should check it). My experience during severe cold snaps around here is that rural areas take the biggest hit, especially those who are in temperature inversion-inducing topography. Last winter, the overnight low for the coldest night was -28°C just 50 km inland from here on a night that was -18°C downtown! Could it be something like that, averages remain similar but the most severe lows are more likely to hit your area?  |
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Post by urania93 on Feb 24, 2018 6:06:31 GMT -5
Next week weather forecast doesn't look well at all. This is the forecast for Turin: while this is the one for my place: I really doubt that my place will really be that colder than Turin, local weather forecasts tend to systematically undervalue temperatures in the valleys, but still to have ice days between the end of February and the beginning of March would be extremely uncommon (if not a record event, I should check it). My experience during severe cold snaps around here is that rural areas take the biggest hit, especially those who are in temperature inversion-inducing topography. Last winter, the overnight low for the coldest night was -28°C just 50 km inland from here on a night that was -18°C downtown! Could it be something like that, averages remain similar but the most severe lows are more likely to hit your area? This is a cold wave approaching from East, and generally speaking air masses approaching from that direction don't enter narrow valleys easily. The other aspect is actually related to thermal inversion: cold air is heavier than warm air, so the coldest air could remain stuck in the plain (between Turin and my place there is an altitude difference of about 400 m). Just for making an example, the most severe cold wave of the last few years was in February 2012 and during that event the coldest temperature recorded in Turin was -12.7°C, while in here it was -10.9°C. The most exposed places usually are in the plain between Turin and Cuneo, for example Carmagnola (famous for being a particularly cold and foggy place) reached -21.9°C. |
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Post by Lommaren on Feb 24, 2018 6:18:13 GMT -5
This is a cold wave approaching from East, and generally speaking air masses approaching from that direction don't enter narrow valleys easily. The other aspect is actually related to thermal inversion: cold air is heavier than warm air, so the coldest air could remain stuck in the plain (between Turin and my place there is an altitude difference of about 400 m). Just for making an example, the most severe cold wave of the last few years was in February 2012 and during that event the coldest temperature recorded in Turin was -12.7°C, while in here it was -10.9°C. The most exposed places usually are in the plain between Turin and Cuneo, for example Carmagnola (famous for being a particularly cold and foggy place) reached -21.9°C. Interesting! I guess those mountains either side of your place negate temperature inversion for your actual village instead, because they tend to block the frigid air from arriving in the first place? Hence as a result, inversion between much smaller amounts of elevation changes occur than when being trapped in a "locked in" valley?  I'd say there's a similar case with Storlien (600 m asl) being as mild in winter as Sundsvall (coastal) over a greater geographical area in Central Sweden. It's closer to the Gulf Stream and the easterlies that hit Sundsvall then struggle to "climb the mountains" from the east, so I think that explains a whole lot with our mountains too! |
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Post by P London on Feb 24, 2018 6:27:53 GMT -5
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