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Post by nei on Sept 7, 2019 15:54:54 GMT -5
The rest of Dorian's short life before the cold North Atlantic kills. From the Environment Canada. Landfall forecast at 9 PM tonight Atlantic Time at Halifax as a strong Category 1. Huh maybe the time is in GMT? 21:00 GM-4 would be a 5 pm landfall, looks like it's almost to Halifax right now.  current wind is 100 mph, NHC just re-classified as post-tropical. |
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Post by nei on Sept 7, 2019 16:45:28 GMT -5
Environment Canada's latest statement on Hurricane Dorian. fyi 🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿 stay safe!
For Hurricane Dorian.
The next intermediate statement will be issued at 6:00 p.m. ADT.
Followed by the full information statement issued at 09:00 p.m. ADT.
Heavy rain bands ahead of Hurricane Dorian already affecting the southern maritimes. Dorian will continue to accelerate northeastward toward Nova Scotia, making landfall this evening near Halifax. Severe winds and heavy rain are in store for parts of Atlantic Canada and eastern Quebec.
1. Summary of basic information at 03:00 p.m. ADT.
Location: Near 42.8 North 65.6 West.
About: 265 kilometres southwest of Halifax.
Maximum sustained winds: 148 kilometres per hour.
Present movement: northeast at 47 kilometres per hour.
Minimum central pressure: 953 millibars.
2. Public weather impacts and warnings summary.
Hurricane warnings are in effect for the south shore, central and eastern Nova Scotia and western Newfoundland. Hurricane Watches are in effect for eastern Prince Edward Island, and the Magdalen Islands.
Tropical storm warnings are in effect for southeastern New Brunswick, Prince Edward Island, western and northern Nova Scotia, parts of northern and southwestern Newfoundland, the Magdalen Islands and parts of Quebec's Lower North Shore.
Hurricane Dorian is rapidly approaching Nova Scotia this afternoon, and is expected to make landfall near Halifax early this evening, then continue tracking east of Prince Edward Island around midnight, and then over the eastern Gulf of St. Lawrence waters or western Newfoundland by Sunday morning.
Severe winds and torrential rain will impact southeastern New Brunswick, Prince Edward Island, Nova Scotia, Western Newfoundland, the Magdalen Islands and the Quebec's Lower North Shore. Large waves are expected for the Atlantic coasts of Nova Scotia, Newfoundland and for eastern portions of the Gulf of St. Lawrence. Finally, storm surge, combined with large waves and pounding surf, may give flooding for parts of Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island, Newfoundland, the Magdalen Islands, and parts of the Quebec's Lower North Shore.
a. Wind.
Wind gusts up to 120 km/h have already been reported along parts of the Nova Scotia coast this afternoon. Much of Nova Scotia will continue to experience high wind gusts of 90 to 110 km/h or higher this afternoon, and towards evening for Prince Edward Island, the Magdalen Islands, and southwestern Newfoundland. Near and to the south of the forecast track, winds will reach hurricane force of 120 km/h or more. Behind the storm, winds will reach hurricane force northwesterlies, with wind gusts potentially reaching 150 km/h in some areas. Wind impacts will likely be enhanced by foliage on the trees, causing broken branches and tree falls, resulting in power outages, blocking of roads, and other type of damages.
b. Rainfall.
Rainfall warnings are in effect for Nova Scotia, western Prince Edward Island, most of New Brunswick stretching from the southwest towards the Gaspesie, and parts of the Lower North Shore Quebec.
Very heavy rain has already spread into the region. Rainfall rates in excess of 25 mm per hour have already been observed at several locations, with some stations in southwestern Nova Scotia already reporting over 75 mm by early this afternoon.
Widespread rainfall amounts of 50 to 100 mm are expected over Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island, and the Magdalen Islands. Maximum amounts are likely over western Nova Scotia where 100 to 200 mm are expected. These amounts and rainfall rates could easily give rise to road washouts and localized flash flooding.
c. Surge/Waves.
Storm surge warnings are in effect for most of the Atlantic coast of Nova Scotia, the north shore of Prince Edward Island, western Cape Breton, the Magdalen Islands, Quebec's Lower Quebec North Shore, and Anticosti Island.
For the south coast of Nova Scotia high waves and storm surge may cause flooding for some low lying coastal areas this afternoon.
For the Gulf of Saint Lawrence localized flooding due to storm surge and high waves are likely during high tide tonight.
There will also be rough and pounding surf, especially for parts of Nova Scotia, Newfoundland and the Gulf of St. Lawrence. Waves of 7 to 10 metres will reach the Southwestern Shore of Nova Scotia during the day and spread to the Eastern Shore tonight. These waves will likely reach southern Newfoundland by Sunday morning with waves nearing 12 metres. Waves of 4 to 7 metres will impact north facing coasts of the Gulf of St. Lawrence. Note that waves will break higher along some of the coastlines, and dangerous rip currents are likely. Please exercise extreme caution. |
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Post by alex992 on Sept 8, 2019 6:02:31 GMT -5
Nice and cool this morning here, current temp is 57 F (13.9 C) with clear skies, will be seasonable today with a predicted high of 81 F (27.2 C) with mostly sunny skies.
Couldn't have asked for better weekend during my visit to NYC, was only really warm on Wednesday night. Thursday was beautiful with mostly sunny skies and temps in the 70s, Friday was rainy and cool with temps hovering between 60-65 F most of the time, yesterday was mid 70s with mostly cloudy skies and breezy conditions.
Yesterday on the drive back home the weather was great as well. Started off at 77 F in NYC, which quickly cooled off to the low 70s once I got north and west of town, then cooled off to the mid-upper 60s through Port Jervis, NY and then Poconos (temp went as low as 63 F while driving through there, about 6:30 pm or so), and then went up to 70 F again driving through Scranton, dropped fast in the highlands south of Scranton to as low as 58 F while driving through Hazleton, PA (around 8 pm or so). Temp then increased fast as I got into southern PA and went as high as 74 F driving through Harrisburg, PA, then cooled off to the 65-70 F range all the way through Winchester, VA. Temp cooled off fast on US-50 heading east of Winchester, down to about 60 F at its lowest, then warmed up to about 64 F and was 64 F when I arrived home.
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Post by alex992 on Sept 8, 2019 6:14:19 GMT -5
The rest of Dorian's short life before the cold North Atlantic kills. From the Environment Canada. Landfall forecast at 9 PM tonight Atlantic Time at Halifax as a strong Category 1. Huh maybe the time is in GMT? 21:00 GM-4 would be a 5 pm landfall, looks like it's almost to Halifax right now. current wind is 100 mph, NHC just re-classified as post-tropical. Still impressively strong for being so far north, 85 km/h is solidly tropical storm force winds and this is at 54 N. Wonder what kind of winds 🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿 experienced. |
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Post by Babu on Sept 8, 2019 7:42:01 GMT -5
The rest of Dorian's short life before the cold North Atlantic kills. From the Environment Canada. Landfall forecast at 9 PM tonight Atlantic Time at Halifax as a strong Category 1. Huh maybe the time is in GMT? 21:00 GM-4 would be a 5 pm landfall, looks like it's almost to Halifax right now. current wind is 100 mph, NHC just re-classified as post-tropical. Still impressively strong for being so far north, 85 km/h is solidly tropical storm force winds and this is at 54 N. Wonder what kind of winds 🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿 experienced. 25m/s is the threshold for storm classification in Sweden. What makes 24m/s "solidly tropical storm"? Does the tropical part only signify that the storm originated in the tropics? (Not trying to be accusing or anything, I just don't know much about storms) |
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Post by rozenn on Sept 8, 2019 8:15:36 GMT -5
Nice and cool this morning here, current temp is 57 F (13.9 C) with clear skies, will be seasonable today with a predicted high of 81 F (27.2 C) with mostly sunny skies. Couldn't have asked for better weekend during my visit to NYC, was only really warm on Wednesday night. Thursday was beautiful with mostly sunny skies and temps in the 70s, Friday was rainy and cool with temps hovering between 60-65 F most of the time, yesterday was mid 70s with mostly cloudy skies and breezy conditions. Yesterday on the drive back home the weather was great as well. Started off at 77 F in NYC, which quickly cooled off to the low 70s once I got north and west of town, then cooled off to the mid-upper 60s through Port Jervis, NY and then Poconos (temp went as low as 63 F while driving through there, about 6:30 pm or so), and then went up to 70 F again driving through Scranton, dropped fast in the highlands south of Scranton to as low as 58 F while driving through Hazleton, PA (around 8 pm or so). Temp then increased fast as I got into southern PA and went as high as 74 F driving through Harrisburg, PA, then cooled off to the 65-70 F range all the way through Winchester, VA. Temp cooled off fast on US-50 heading east of Winchester, down to about 60 F at its lowest, then warmed up to about 64 F and was 64 F when I arrived home. Just curious, was the huge detour because of heavy traffic on the shorter route? The NE corridor sounds like a pain to drive thru. |
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Post by nei on Sept 8, 2019 8:19:20 GMT -5
Ugh going on a long bike ride and it clouded over. Expected a repeat of yesterday with clear blue skies
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Post by nei on Sept 8, 2019 8:36:06 GMT -5
Impressive gusts on the Newfoundland coast. And snow in the highlands of New Brunswick
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Post by Wildcat on Sept 8, 2019 8:53:31 GMT -5
Wow. Nothing resembling fall this week!  |
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Post by AJ1013 on Sept 8, 2019 8:56:04 GMT -5
Wow. Nothing resembling fall this week! That’s hotter than here. |
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Post by Dean York (Old) on Sept 8, 2019 11:00:58 GMT -5
Very cold morning this morning. Low was 3.1C at Linton, but 10 miles north of Linton at Topcliffe, the low was -0.1C. The coldest place was Benson in Southern England, with a low of -0.5C.
I actually put my heating on this morning. Too soon, way too soon.
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Post by alex992 on Sept 8, 2019 11:05:29 GMT -5
Still impressively strong for being so far north, 85 km/h is solidly tropical storm force winds and this is at 54 N. Wonder what kind of winds 🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿 experienced. 25m/s is the threshold for storm classification in Sweden. What makes 24m/s "solidly tropical storm"? Does the tropical part only signify that the storm originated in the tropics? (Not trying to be accusing or anything, I just don't know much about storms) 39 mph (64 km/h or so) is the threshold for tropical storm force winds, so yes 85 km/h is solidly above that. Yes that it started in the tropics and has tropical characteristics, of course at that latitude it loses tropical characteristics (becomes a cold-core mid-latitude storm instead). I was only referring to winds. Hurricane force is 74 mph (119 km/h) and higher FYI. Category 5 is 156 mph (251 km/h) and higher. |
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Post by alex992 on Sept 8, 2019 11:08:33 GMT -5
Nice and cool this morning here, current temp is 57 F (13.9 C) with clear skies, will be seasonable today with a predicted high of 81 F (27.2 C) with mostly sunny skies. Couldn't have asked for better weekend during my visit to NYC, was only really warm on Wednesday night. Thursday was beautiful with mostly sunny skies and temps in the 70s, Friday was rainy and cool with temps hovering between 60-65 F most of the time, yesterday was mid 70s with mostly cloudy skies and breezy conditions. Yesterday on the drive back home the weather was great as well. Started off at 77 F in NYC, which quickly cooled off to the low 70s once I got north and west of town, then cooled off to the mid-upper 60s through Port Jervis, NY and then Poconos (temp went as low as 63 F while driving through there, about 6:30 pm or so), and then went up to 70 F again driving through Scranton, dropped fast in the highlands south of Scranton to as low as 58 F while driving through Hazleton, PA (around 8 pm or so). Temp then increased fast as I got into southern PA and went as high as 74 F driving through Harrisburg, PA, then cooled off to the 65-70 F range all the way through Winchester, VA. Temp cooled off fast on US-50 heading east of Winchester, down to about 60 F at its lowest, then warmed up to about 64 F and was 64 F when I arrived home. Just curious, was the huge detour because of heavy traffic on the shorter route? The NE corridor sounds like a pain to drive thru. Nah, I just wanted to drive through a more interesting route lol. I-95 is painfully boring, so decided to take the longer route through much more scenic areas instead. Not a big fan of driving through big cities, would've driven through both Philly and Baltimore on the way down if I took the more conventional route. I saw a surprising amount of autumn foliage through the highlands of PA, even some trees that looked near peak color. Wasn't expecting that just yet in only early September. |
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Post by alex992 on Sept 8, 2019 11:12:29 GMT -5
Wow. Nothing resembling fall this week! Wow, you guys much be much closer to the ridge of high pressure. We have a couple of hot days in the forecast (90 F both Wednesday and Thursday) but nothing anywhere near that caliber. Most days for here are in the 79-84 F range which is normal for early-mid September. |
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Post by Deleted on Sept 8, 2019 15:09:42 GMT -5
Pretty good thunderstorm yesterday. 0.59" of rain registered at SeaTac and 0.54" at WFO Seattle. Lots of lightning strikes but it seemed pretty far away with relatively quiet thunder compared to June 2018. Also not as late into the night as June 2018.
Seems like it developed strongest in west Seattle, downtown Seattle, and directly north.
Otherwise I miss the warmer weather now. Average for Sep 1-6 is 78/59 °F but the forecast is mostly below 70 °F. My guess is that September would end up around average with a weak maximum of 80F on Sep 3 and 6. The thunderstorm seems like a major seasonal change to the weather.
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Post by Steelernation on Sept 8, 2019 21:00:48 GMT -5
High was only 67 (19 C) today, the lowest since June.
This snaps the 70+ streak at 79 days, the 8th longest all time.
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Post by Speagles84 on Sept 9, 2019 12:54:31 GMT -5
Wow. Nothing resembling fall this week! Wow, you guys much be much closer to the ridge of high pressure. We have a couple of hot days in the forecast (90 F both Wednesday and Thursday) but nothing anywhere near that caliber. Most days for here are in the 79-84 F range which is normal for early-mid September. I must be close to the ridge of HP as well, 84F here Wednesday, which is now +11 this time of year |
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Post by alex992 on Sept 9, 2019 18:53:36 GMT -5
Wow, you guys much be much closer to the ridge of high pressure. We have a couple of hot days in the forecast (90 F both Wednesday and Thursday) but nothing anywhere near that caliber. Most days for here are in the 79-84 F range which is normal for early-mid September. I must be close to the ridge of HP as well, 84F here Wednesday, which is now +11 this time of year Forecast looks like shit, two days in the 90s for Wednesday and Thursday, 75 F and rainy on Friday, and then endless 86/66 bullshit. Could easily be a July/August forecast. Though I suppose I can't bitch too much, I've experienced a good deal of cool weather this September by early September standards. I'm just gonna pretend it's July for the next week, gonna be hard to ignore the lower sun and shorter days though. |
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Post by Morningrise on Sept 9, 2019 21:42:13 GMT -5
Fall is off to a very mild start in Saskatoon, with stable above-average temperatures so far. The next three days are going to be cold but after that it warms back up into the 20s Celsius. So far no sign of a freeze at all, the coldest night in the upcoming forecast is 4C and most of the others are between 6C and 10C. This is a bit of a surprise considering how much colder than average the nights were in August, and we reached 0.7C in middle of the month. I doubt we're going to stay above the whole month, but that would be pretty amazing if September ended up with a higher record low than August.
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Post by alex992 on Sept 10, 2019 5:31:10 GMT -5
60 F (15.6 C) this morning, got 3 F cooler than the forecast low of 63 F (17.2 C), today will be seasonably warm with a high of 85 F (29.4 C) predicted with mostly sunny skies.
September so far is averaging 83.9/63.7 (28.7/17.6); 1.9 F (1.06 C) above average, and that is set to go up in the next few days as well.
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