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Post by jgtheone on Aug 28, 2021 8:01:19 GMT -5
7 day forecast for Northlake: Sunny and mild to start, before storms and a series of strong cold fronts leaving rain and snow in their wake.  7 day forecast for Blocktown: A slight reprieve midweek, before hotter weather for the weekend. Possibly approaching record territory for September next week. 
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Post by Steelernation on Aug 28, 2021 12:32:16 GMT -5
8/29: High 74 Low 51 🌦 Chance t-storms
8/30: High 85 Low 55 🌤 Mostly sunny
8/31: High 93 Low 59 ☀️ Sunny
9/01: High 94 Low 60 ☀️ Sunny
9/02: High 80 Low 55 🌦 Chance t-storms
9/03: High 79 Low 54 🌤 Mostly sunny
9/04: High 82 Low 55 🌤 Mostly sunny
Averages on 8/29 are 85/53 and on 9/4 they are 84/51
In C:
High 23 Low 11
High 29 Low 13
High 34 Low 15
High 34 Low 16
High 27 Low 13
High 26 Low 12
High 28 Low 13
Averages on 8/29 are 29/12 and on 9/4 they are 29/11
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Post by Cadeau on Aug 28, 2021 17:31:45 GMT -5
Big contrast in temperatures compared to the last week as northwesterly winds settle over the region and the weather changes into the autumn mode.
Metropolitan Area
Latitude: 42°N - 7 Days of Quarter-Day Weather Forecast
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Post by desiccatedi85 on Aug 29, 2021 10:27:37 GMT -5
Synopsis: Downsloping west-southwest winds today will be broken up by marine flow over the next couple days as Cat 2 Hurricane Gabriel tracks well offshore, posing minimal threat other than increased cloudiness, strong northeasterly breeze, rip currents, and an isolated thundershower moving in off the ocean. Flow then shifts back westerly as the storm passes, and a cold front passes thru with a slight risk for severe weather, with areas of enhanced risk inland in areas of highest CAPE. Then high pressure builds in from the northwest behind the front leading to stable, average, and comfortable conditions.
Palomares Forecast:
August 29: 92/70 ☀️ WSW 15
August 30: 75/72 🌩 NE 18 (30% .05”-.1”)
August 31: 79/73 🌥 ENE 21
September 1: 86/59 🌩 W 15 (55% .3”-.5”)
September 2: 82/63 🌤 NW 9
September 3: 82/64 🌤 NW 6
September 4: 83/65 🌤 WNW 7
September 5: 82/67 🌤 WNW 7
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Post by Giorbanguly on Aug 30, 2021 9:49:20 GMT -5
A cool ending to summer, and an even cooler start to fall
23 August: High 87 / Low 63 / Sunny
24 August: High 87 / Low 64 / Sunny
25 August: High 84 / Low 62 / Partly cloudy
26 August: High 85 / Low 60 / Sunny
27 August: High 88 / Low 61 / Sunny
28 August: High 83 / Low 64 / Partly cloudy
29 August: High 78 / Low 69 / Cloudy / 0.38 inches of rain
30 August: High 82 / Low 68 / Partly cloudy
31 August: High 79 / Low 66 / Cloudy / 0.15 inches of rain
1 September: High 73 / Low 61 / Partly cloudy
2 September: High 71 / Low 54 / Partly cloudy
3 September: High 76 / Low 52 / Sunny
4 September: High 69 / Low 51 / Partly cloudy
5 September: High 66 / Low 56 / Partly cloudy
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Post by Giorbanguly on Aug 30, 2021 9:53:53 GMT -5
Yearly summary of Jacarandopolis so far  |
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Post by jgtheone on Aug 31, 2021 7:49:20 GMT -5
Northlake August 2021/YTD summary:Avg high: 9.8°C (+0.7°C) Avg low: -0.5°C (+0.5°C) Rainfall: 195.9mm (+24.3mm, 114.2% of avg) Snowfall: 20.1cm (+1.6cm, 108.6% of avg) Sunshine: 118.9 hours (-6.3 hours, 95.0% of avg)  
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Post by jgtheone on Aug 31, 2021 7:52:28 GMT -5
Blocktown August 2021/YTD summary:Avg high: 37.4°C (+1.6°C) Avg low: 24.5°C (+1.0°C) Rainfall: 84.6mm (+22.3mm, 135.8% of avg) Snowfall: 0cm Sunshine: 308.5 hours (+16.3 hours, 105.6% of avg)  
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Post by Benfxmth on Sept 1, 2021 9:52:41 GMT -5
.SYNOPSIS... The remnants of a tropical low will cross north of the area today. A cold front will move through the region late tonight and early Thursday. High pressure will build in from the northwest Thursday night through Saturday with dry and cooler conditions. The high will slide offshore through early next week with late-summer heat returning. .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... As of 2:30 PM Wed...No changes planned. Radar shows a few showers starting to lift N into the SW tier. Expect these to increase in coverage and intensity through this afternoon and early evening as moisture and instability moves in. Combo of instability and shear could allow for scattered strong T-storms, mainly late this afternoon and evening. Prev disc...Remnants of a tropical low will pass north of the area today. Increasing southerly flow will bring increased moisture and instability across the region with scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially this afternoon and evening. Bulk shear is forecast to be modest at around 30 knots, but 0-1km helicity could peak around 150m2/s2 with moderate instability (MUCAPE values reaching 1K-1.5K kJ/kg), so a few stronger rotating storms can't be ruled out. With southerly flow expect highs in the upper 90s today, with precipitation chances increasing to 40-50% this evening. .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/... As of 2:30 PM Wed...Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will continue through early to mid evening then begin to diminish a bit late evening as instability wanes. There will cont to be a marginal severe threat early...especially the tier. The cold front trailing the remnant low is forecast to cross a bit faster with precipitation ending inland tonight and tapering off along the coast early Thursday morning. Cold-air advection will begin inland late tonight with lows dropping into the upper 60s coming along with a drop in dew points. As winds shift to northwest/north all areas Thursday, expect much cooler highs in the mid to upper 80s, and with dew points dropping into the upper 40s and lower 50s inland. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 2:30 PM Wed...Mostly quiet stretch of weather with high pressure building back into the region into the weekend. Thursday Night through Saturday...High pressure builds into the region from the north behind a strong cold front. Northerly flow will provide cool and dry conditions for a stretch of comfortable weather. Highs will stay in the mid to upper 80s with dew points in the upper 40s to lower 50s. Overnight lows will drop into the low to mid 60s. Sunday into Tuesday...High pressure begins to slide off the coast Sunday, with flow becoming southwesterly again, to bring back a late-summer pattern. High temps in the afternoon will be back in the mid 90s for the weekend, and early next week.   |
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Post by AJ1013 on Sept 1, 2021 10:30:50 GMT -5
Synopsis: Rather cool and moderately variable start to September this year. It's clear summer is over.  YTD in Clearstown  |
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Post by Cadeau on Sept 1, 2021 10:43:45 GMT -5
Metropolitan Area
Latitude: 42°N
Temperature: -0.5°C from normal
Precipitation: 140% of normal
Sunshine: 103% of normal
August 2021 Summary
High/Low/Mean
23.6/13.8/18.7
Highest: 33.2°C[26th]
Lowest: 9.8°C[15th]
Lowest High: 18.3°C[31st]
Highest Low: 17.8°C[25th]
Precipitation: 78.0mm
Precipitation Days: 11
Snowfall: 0 cm
Snow Days: 0
Sunshine Hours: 202.4 hours
Sunshine Percentage: 47.2%
Early August: High 23.1°C / Low 13.5°C / Mean 18.3°C / Precipitation 11.5 mm / 59.9 sunshine hours
Mid August: High 21.4°C / Low 13.0°C / Mean 17.2°C / Precipitation 24.0 mm / 57.1 sunshine hours
Late August: High 26.0°C / Low 14.8°C / Mean 20.4°C / Precipitation 42.5 mm / 85.4 sunshine hours
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Post by Steelernation on Sept 1, 2021 11:40:18 GMT -5
August 2021 summary: August was hot and dry. Precipitation ended up near average but was scattered and infrequent. Average high: 88.2 (+2.5) Average low: 56.6 (+0.4) Mean: 72.4 (+1.4) Precipitation: 2.35” (-0.23”, 91%) Precip days: 5 Thunderstorms: 6 Max daily fall: 1.12” on the 3rd Highest temp: 104 on the 23rd Lowest temp: 49 on the 8th and 29th Highest low: 65 on the 24th Lowest high: 68 on the 1st Here’s the month:  And the year:  |
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Post by Met.Data on Sept 2, 2021 18:31:09 GMT -5
Moderatopolis Forecast
3rd: 12-28°C, clear.
4th: 14-29°C, clear.
5th: 21-25°C, humid and mostly cloudy with thunderstorms and 10-15mm.
6th: 19-26°C, humid and mostly cloudy with thunderstorms and 5mm.
7th: 13-27°C, few clouds.
8th: 15-26°C, scattered clouds, a few thundery showers in the area PM.
9th: 16-25°C, scattered/few clouds.
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Post by Steelernation on Sept 4, 2021 13:28:09 GMT -5
9/05: High 85 Low 53 🌤 Mostly sunny
9/06: High 97 Low 53 ☀️ Hot and sunny
9/07: High 83 Low 52 🌤 Mostly sunny
9/08: High 86 Low 53 🌤 Mostly sunny
9/09: High 95 Low 57 ☀️ Hot and sunny
9/10: High 94 Low 55 ☀️ Hot and sunny
9/11: High 86 Low 55 🌤 Mostly sunny
Averages on 9/5 are 84/51 and on 9/11 they are 81/49
In C:
High 29 Low 12
High 36 Low 12
High 28 Low 11
High 30 Low 12
High 35 Low 14
High 34 Low 13
High 30 Low 13
Averages on 9/5 are 29/11 and on 9/11 they are 27/9
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Post by jgtheone on Sept 5, 2021 5:50:30 GMT -5
7 day forecast for Northlake: Warming up throughout the week, before some evening storms on Saturday and a cooler, rainy Sunday. The first 20C temperatures since early June are expected.  7 day forecast for Blocktown: Record September heat on Monday and Monday night, before brutal thunderstorms move in with large hail, destructive winds and likely tornadoes expected. The end of the week should be more calm. 
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Post by Cadeau on Sept 5, 2021 7:35:00 GMT -5
Metropolitan Area
Latitude: 42°N - 7 Days of Quarter-Day Weather Forecast
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Post by desiccatedi85 on Sept 5, 2021 10:46:28 GMT -5
Synopsis: What will likely be the last heatwave of the season builds in as high pressure to the south of the forecast area strengthens a downsloping west-to-southwest flow ahead of a cold front. The front comes thru mainly dry, but lightning and some light showers cannot be ruled out. With the strong westerly winds, hot temperatures, and dry brush, and possible dry lightning, Red Flag Warnings are up for much of the area as fire spread could be rapid. Fire wx threat should greatly diminish as a cooler, moister northerly flow sets in.
Palomares Forecast
September 6: 90/69 🌤 WSW 9
September 7: 92/73 ☀️ SW 14
September 8: 91/59 🌩 35% 💦 .05”-.1” WNW 21
September 9: 82/57 ☀️ NW 16
September 10: 75/58 ⛅️ N 6
Patriot Day: 76/62 🌤 NNE 5
September 12: 78/63 🌤 ENE 3
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Post by AJ1013 on Sept 6, 2021 16:25:07 GMT -5
Synopsis: Rather benign conditions to open the week with cool crisp nights and mild to warm days filled with sunshine. A powerful early fall front approaches the area on Wednesday night bringing gusty winds, warm temperatures, and more abundant cloud cover. Severe thunderstorms are expected on Thursday as the front plows through, gusty winds and very cold friday with a chance of flakes wet snowflakes flying in any showers that do develop, particularly over higher terrain.  |
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Post by Steelernation on Sept 6, 2021 17:41:18 GMT -5
These forecasts are fun to make so I’ll return to this style.  |
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Post by rpvan on Sept 10, 2021 18:16:55 GMT -5
Weeks missed.
Aug 22: Smoke, 31C/12C
Aug 23: Smoke, 32C/12C
Aug 24: Smoke, 31C/11C
Aug 25: Cloudy, strong NW winds, 23C/7C
Aug 26: Mix of sun and cloud, 27C/7C
Aug 27: Sunny, 31C/9C
Aug 28: Sunny, 34C/11C
Aug 29: Sunny, 35C/13C
Aug 30: Sunny, 37C/16C
Aug 31: Sunny/Haze, 36C/15C
Sep 1: Sunny/Haze, 35C/14C
Sep 2: Cloudy, strong NW winds, 24C/7C
Sep 3: Mix of sun and cloud, 27C/7C
Sep 4: Sunny, 30C/8C
Average temps Aug 22: 33C/12C
Average temps Sep 4: 31C/11C
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