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Post by rpvan on Sept 10, 2021 18:24:14 GMT -5
Current two week period.
Sep 4: Sunny, 32C/11C
Sep 5: Sunny, 34C/12C
Sep 6: Sunny, 36C/14C
Sep 7: Sunny, 37C/15C
Sep 8: Sunny/Haze, 36C/15C
Sep 9: Sunny/Haze, 35C/14C
Sep 10: Sunny/Haze/Smoke, 33C/13C
Sep 11: Smoke, 31C/11C
Sep 12: Smoke, 30C/9C
Sep 13: Showers (3mm), t-storms, small hail, strong NW winds, 20C/6C
Sep 14: Mix of sun and cloud, 25C/4C
Sep 15: Sunny, 29C/7C
Sep 16: Sunny, 31C/9C
Sep 17: Sunny, 32C/10C
Sep 18: Sunny, 33C/11C
Average temps Sep 4: 31C/11C
Average temps Sep 18: 28C/9C
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Post by jgtheone on Sept 11, 2021 6:22:02 GMT -5
7 day forecast for Northlake: Showery and cool to start, before clearing up by the end of the working week. A nice, sunny weekend.  7 day forecast for Blocktown: Seasonable and variable temperatures with unsettled conditions throughout the week. 
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Post by Benfxmth on Sept 11, 2021 10:13:34 GMT -5
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will continue to build in from the northwest today, sliding offshore Sunday and remaining in control through early next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
As of 9:30 AM Saturday...Surface ridge continues to shift southeast over the area this morning, and should become centered over the area by midday. A modest shortwave will move through the area during the day, but there will be a lack
of moisture for this shortwave to tap into, resulting in only scattered midlevel clouds.
Temperatures will range in the upper 80s to lower 90s inland today, and humidity will range just 20-30 percent (or dew points in the 40s) under mostly sunny skies, with good subsidence also present.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/...
As of 10 AM Saturday...Another cool/dry night as high pressure slowly moves east through the area. Winds will likely decouple inland again with light southeasterly winds for coastal sections. Temps tonight will fall into the upper 50s/lower 60s inland to mid 60s due to the much warmer SSTs.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 9:30 AM Saturday...
Sunday through Midweek...High pressure dominates the early part of the forecast as midlevel ridge remains over the region through midweek keeping us dry. The surface high slides offshore Sunday, bringing us back to a more SE'ly flow regime, increasing temps to start the week. Highs reach the mid 90s again by Monday. Clouds increase Wednesday as the high pushes offshore, providing influx of moisture with onshore flow ahead of an approaching front, so could see scattered mid-level clouds.
Late week...A lot of model discrepancy to end the period. The GFS bombs out a cutoff low, creating a weak tropical system off the coast that would eventually impact the area by Friday while the Euro keeps an open wave in the area that only becomes a 1014mb low late on Friday, but the GFS is considered an outlier for now. Model trends with this timeframe will be closely watched. Regardless, the end of the week looks to be a partly cloudy, possibly showery pattern with the likelihood of rain lasting into the weekend. Highs back to the upper 80s to lower 90s with increased cloud coverage and precip.
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Post by AJ1013 on Sept 11, 2021 12:14:27 GMT -5
Synopsis: Sharp cold snap brings the first snowfall and freeze of the season, accumulations expected to remain under 1". Following the snow and rain today temperatures quickly rebound to near normal with plenty of sunshine.  |
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Post by Steelernation on Sept 11, 2021 14:49:16 GMT -5
 9/15: High 83 Low 48 ☀️ Sunny 9/16: High 84 Low 50 ☀️ Sunny 9/17: High 86 Low 52 ☀️ Sunny 9/18: High 94 Low 54 ☀️ Hot and sunny Averages on 9/12 are 81/49 and on 9/18 they are 78/47 In C: High 28 Low 14 High 32 Low 11 High 22 Low 9 High 28 Low 9 High 29 Low 10 High 30 Low 11 High 34 Low 12 Averages on 9/12 are 27/9 and on 9/18 they are 26/8 |
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Post by Cadeau on Sept 13, 2021 14:31:12 GMT -5
Metropolitan Area
Latitude: 42°N - 7 Days of Quarter-Day Weather Forecast
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Post by Steelernation on Sept 18, 2021 18:43:47 GMT -5
Starting off hot before a cold front comes through:  9/23: High 84 Low 46 ☀️ 9/24: High 75 Low 45 🌤 9/25: High 82 Low 46 ☀️ Averages on 9/19 are 77/46 and on 9/25 they are 74/44 In C: High 32 Low 9 High 17 Low 4 High 22 Low 3 High 28 Low 9 High 29 Low 8 High 24 Low 7 High 28 Low 8 Averages on 9/19 are 25/8 and on 9/25 they are 23/7 |
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Post by Moron on Sept 18, 2021 20:33:38 GMT -5
Forecast for Ushgabal
Sunny, dry, warm. Starting somewhat cool today before plateauing around 30C.
September 19- 23/10- sunny, light winds becoming W/SW 10-20km/h throughout the morning tending S/SW 10-20km/h in the afternoon.
September 20- 25/8- sunny, light winds becoming E/SE 10-20km/h.
September 21- 27/7- sunny, winds E 10-20km/h easing light in the early morning then becoming SE 15-20km/h by midday.
September 22- 28/10- sunny, winds SE 10-20km/h.
September 23- 30/12- sunny, winds E/SE 10-20km/h shifting SW 15-25km/h for a period in the afternoon then SE 10-20km/h in the early evening.
September 24- 30/14- sunny, winds SE 10-20km/h.
September 25- 30/13- sunny, winds E 15-25km/h shifting W/SW 20-30km/h in the late morning then S 10-20km/h in the evening.
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Post by Benfxmth on Sept 19, 2021 6:35:49 GMT -5
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will build in from the north through early this week. A cold front slowly moves through on Thursday with dry high pressure building in late in the week through the weekend.
&&
.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
As of 12:30 PM Sun...Surface high pressure will continue to build into the area today as mid level ridging builds in from the west. Areas of patchy altocumulus have been over the area this morning, but have dissipated around noon. Low level thickness values support temps above climo today, with highs in the upper 80s along the coast and lower to mid 90s inland.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/...
As of 9:00 AM Sun...High pressure will continue to build in from the north, making for another quiet night. Lows generally in the 65-70°F range.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 9:00 AM Sun...Dry weather to start the extended period with increasing rain chances by mid week with a strong but slow moving cold front. Above normal temps through Wednesday, will cool to near or even below seasonal norms by Thursday through the weekend.
Monday through Tuesday...Mainly dry weather still expected during this time with weak ridging over our area. May see the isolated shower or two Tuesday as a veering onshore flow moistens the atmosphere, and a coastal trough provides some lift. Near-normal highs for the period, generally in the upper 80s to lower 90s and lows in the upper 60s by night with warm and humid pattern, with dew points generally in the 60s; stratus development at night is possible.
Wednesday through Thursday...Some model disagreements in the speed of the next cold front, but overall thinking has not changed with regard to the Wednesday and/or Thursday time period being our best chance for rain over the next 7 days. Have increased PoP's through this period, with highest chances centered now on Wed night, then tapering off through the day Thu. Latest trends with 19/00Z ECM/CMC indicate a slower soln., which may have heaviest rain centered early Thursday, and have increased PoP's a bit into first part of Thu to account for the slower trend. The reason being is the trough deepens to the northwest, which slows progression of the upper low and attendant cold front, finally passing through the area by late Thu.
Friday through Saturday...Cooler and drier air mass builds in with high pressure spilling in from the northwest. Heights near climo or slightly below will lead to slightly lower than avg. temps with highs generally around 85°F and lows in the lower 60s.
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Post by Cadeau on Sept 19, 2021 16:18:25 GMT -5
Metropolitan Area
Latitude: 42°N - 7 Days of Quarter-Day Weather Forecast
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Post by Met.Data on Sept 20, 2021 9:58:19 GMT -5
Moderatopolis Forecast
The weather tends not to be that exciting at this time of year, so the weather is mostly fair, but there is a big thunderstorm due to happen this week.
21st: 12-25°C, few clouds.
22nd: 19-24°C, humid, mostly cloudy and intense thunderstorms PM with 20-25mm rain.
23rd: 10-26°C, few clouds.
24th: 13-25°C, scattered clouds.
25th: 11-25°C, scattered cloud/few clouds.
26th: 13-25°C, few clouds.
27th: 12-26°C, few clouds.
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Post by AJ1013 on Sept 22, 2021 16:20:18 GMT -5
Synopsis: Very warm to hot air being drawn in from the southwest out in front of a deeply anomalous trough and powerful low pressure system. Severe thunderstorms expected along the front followed by a record shattering September blizzard and cold snap.  |
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Post by desiccatedi85 on Sept 23, 2021 6:24:42 GMT -5
For the days missed:
Sep 13: 75/59 ⛅️
Sep 14: 77/62 🌤
Sep 15: 78/62 🌤
Sep 16: 82/65 🌤
Sep 17: 79/60 🌩 35%, 0.15”
Sep 18: 73/65 🌦 40%, 0.2”
Sep 19: 76/70 ⛅️
Sep 20: 79/72 ⛅️
Sep 21: 86/56 🌩 60%, 0.3”
Sep 22: 73/57 🌤
Next 7 days:
Sep 23: 73/59 ⛅️
Sep 24: 75/58 🌤
Sep 25: 76/59 🌤
Sep 26: 78/62 🌤
Sep 27: 77/59 🌩 55%, 0.2”
Sep 28: 80/57 ☀️
Sep 29: 76/62 ⛅️
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Post by Moron on Sept 24, 2021 3:55:46 GMT -5
Forecast for Ushgabal
September 26- 28/13- sunny, winds E/SE 10-20km/h turning N/NE 10-20km/h in the morning.
September 27- 23/14- partly cloudy, scattered thunderstorms and showers developing (4.4mm), humid. Winds N/NW 10-20km/h.
September 28- 24/15- sunny, humid, winds N 10-20km/h tending W/NW 15-25km/h in the afternoon.
September 29- 26/14- sunny, less humid, winds NW 10-20km/h easing light in the evening.
September 30- 27/14- sunny morning becoming cloudy, scattered thunderstorms and showers developing (3.6mm), light winds becoming W 20-40km/h in the late morning increasing W/SW 35-55km/h in the late evening.
October 1- 20/15- mostly cloudy, winds W/SW 30-50km/h easing S/SW 15-25km/h throughout the day.
October 2- 20/9- sunny, winds S/SW 10-20km/h easing light in the early morning becoming S 20-30km/h in the late morning.
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Post by Steelernation on Sept 25, 2021 14:19:37 GMT -5
Another heatwave before cooler weather moves in:  9/30: High 67 Low 41 ⛅️ Partly cloudy 10/1: High 72 Low 42 🌤 Mostly sunny 10/2: High 73 Low 43 🌤 Mostly sunny Averages on 9/26 are 74/44 and on 10/2 they are 71/42 In C: High 32 Low 12 High 34 Low 9 High 31 Low 9 High 20 Low 6 High 19 Low 5 High 22 Low 6 High 23 Low 6 Averages on 9/26 are 23/7 and on 10/2 they are 22/6 |
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Post by rozenn on Sept 25, 2021 16:16:12 GMT -5
Calm and sunny week coming up in R'ton  YTD  |
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Post by Cadeau on Sept 26, 2021 13:28:17 GMT -5
Metropolitan Area
Latitude: 42°N - 7 Days of Quarter-Day Weather Forecast
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Post by jgtheone on Sept 30, 2021 5:30:49 GMT -5
Northlake September 2021/YTD summary:Avg high: 14.7°C (+0.5°C) Avg low: 2.7°C (+0.6°C) Rainfall: 168.6mm (+29.2mm, 120.9% of avg) Snowfall: 8.2cm (+2.5cm, 143.9% of avg) Sunshine: 160.5 hours (-4.1 hours, 97.5% of avg)  
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Post by jgtheone on Sept 30, 2021 5:34:25 GMT -5
Blocktown September 2021/YTD summary:Avg high: 32.2°C (+0.6°C) Avg low: 19.8°C (+1.1°C) Rainfall: 207.8mm (+101.4mm, 195.3% of avg) Snowfall: 0cm Sunshine: 252.9 hours (+2.8 hours, 101.1% of avg)  
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Post by AJ1013 on Sept 30, 2021 16:23:43 GMT -5
Synopsis: A severe and unprecedented cold snap late in the month brought the coldest temperatures ever recorded in September in Clearstown. This was the snowiest September ever in Clearstown also broke the all time record low for the month. Aside from that event the month was fairly normal with temperature swings more in line with what would be expected in early fall Average High: 70.4F (-2.6F) Mean: 58.6F (-3.4F) Average Low: 46.8F (-4.1F) Highest max: 91F Highest min: 62F Coldest max: 30F Coldest min: 16F Precipitation: 4.21" (+0.32") (108%) Snowfall: 19.3" (+18.6") (2757%) Precipitation Days: 9 (+1.1) Snow Days: 3 (+2.4) Sunshine: 225.6hrs (+14.1hrs) (107%)  |
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