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Post by greysrigging on Mar 14, 2022 3:59:49 GMT -5
A quickfire 30mm ( inch and a quarter ) in the gauge.  |
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Post by greysrigging on Mar 14, 2022 4:27:13 GMT -5
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Post by greysrigging on Mar 14, 2022 16:40:38 GMT -5
38.4mm from yesterday afternoon's 'knock 'em down' storm. ( pic by Jodie Bilske )  |
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Post by greysrigging on Mar 15, 2022 2:31:09 GMT -5
From local guru, Pilko..... "Good afternoon trendsetters.. Another fine evening storm yesterday that managed to amplify close to the coast. The heaviest falls were about the suburbs of Darwin and about the Harbour while areas east and south did ok but not as well. Has been a terrific couple of days thanks in part to a tropical low that sits to our north and the moist and unstable easterlies that are getting pushed south of this low. We tend to find that when there are low pressure systems in our vicinity, the atmosphere becomes extra unstable which creates more “dramatic”storms and depending on the lows position, it can allow “waves” of showers and storms to begin to affect areas closer to the lows vicinity. Currently our low is positioned a fair way north of the mainland, maybe 250 kms north of Warruwi but it looks quite remarkable on the Satellite map and most of our weather is over the open waters at the moment. The low hasn’t moved too much over the last 12-18 hours but it is expected to continue moving west and shouldn’t create any issues. But I would say just by looking at this cloud signature and radar that the BoM will be monitoring this system very carefully. Our weather may in fact suffer a bit today as systems like this tend to attract all the fun and games, however there will still be plenty of instability across the Top End that we will see afternoon showers and storms about the western half, tending scattered about the north coast and NE Top End. Darwin again should see action this evening however I don’t think we will see anything as good as the last couple of nights…. But I hope I am wrong 🤣 Certainly if anything gets up later it will be gusty. We will keep you up to date whatever happens. Have a great day. Thanks again to OCC for the satellite grab. The low is very obvious to our north".   |
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Post by greysrigging on Mar 15, 2022 3:47:46 GMT -5
A brief shower here at home, but perhaps thats it until tomorrow.   |
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Post by greysrigging on Mar 15, 2022 15:35:55 GMT -5
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Post by greysrigging on Mar 15, 2022 23:52:10 GMT -5
MJO Imminent For Australian Region. ( source: Weatherzone )  Parts of northern Australia could see a wet end to March as the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) moves through the Australian region. The MJO is a pulse of increased cloudiness and rainfall that travels around the world near the equator every 30-60 days. The MJO has been weak and indiscernible in recent weeks, meaning it has little influence on the weather. However, it is forecast to strengthen and move into the Australian region over the coming week and possibly linger until mid-April. When the MJO is near Australia, it increases the likelihood of rain, thunderstorms and tropical cyclones in our region. At this stage, it’s too early to know exactly how this pulse of the MJO will affect Australia, including where and when any tropical cyclones will develop. However, the map below shows the increasing likelihood of rainfall over a large area of northern and eastern Australia during the next fortnight.  The strong signal of above-average rainfall in the map above is partially being caused by the impending MJO. It is also being influenced by the ongoing La Niña in the Pacific Ocean, which has regained strength in the last fortnight and is likely to persist until at least late-autumn. The map above shows the rainfall outlook from the Bureau of Meteorology’s ACCESS-S seasonal forecast model, which is a good guide for general rainfall trends. However, more discreet details about where and when rain will fall will become available over the coming weeks as we move into the range of higher-resolution numerical weather prediction models. |
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Post by greysrigging on Mar 16, 2022 16:52:26 GMT -5
Overcast early morning, a few very light showers around....   |
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Post by greysrigging on Mar 16, 2022 23:16:33 GMT -5
It's a long way out yet but here's a preview of the ECMWF model trying to spin up a low in the Gulf of Carpentaria.. Something to keep an eye on. Models will surely chop and change a bit over the coming week.  |
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Post by greysrigging on Mar 17, 2022 22:05:56 GMT -5
Despite being a clear day, it is shithously hot and humid outdoors atm. Loaded up my trailer with a huge fallen tree branch ( from storms a few weeks back ) so chainsaw and physical labour. Heat and dps has knocked me around this morning....   |
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Post by greysrigging on Mar 18, 2022 16:33:34 GMT -5
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Post by greysrigging on Mar 19, 2022 1:31:38 GMT -5
Hot and sultry outdoors following a quickfire 8mm rain about an hour ago at home.   |
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Post by greysrigging on Mar 19, 2022 2:56:14 GMT -5
Don’t think a near miss could get much closer!!!   |
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Post by greysrigging on Mar 20, 2022 5:31:26 GMT -5
A real classic March 'knock 'em down' storm over the City and suburbs late this afternoon.  |
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Post by greysrigging on Mar 20, 2022 23:26:42 GMT -5
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Post by greysrigging on Mar 20, 2022 23:58:46 GMT -5
About time ! bullseye Leanyer ! not much in it, but it is falling from the sky as I type....👍   |
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Post by greysrigging on Mar 21, 2022 0:53:41 GMT -5
Wish we were under this bad boy....would help cool things down !  |
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Post by greysrigging on Mar 21, 2022 16:43:56 GMT -5
Hmmmm, what will today bring ?  |
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Post by greysrigging on Mar 21, 2022 16:51:37 GMT -5
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Post by greysrigging on Mar 21, 2022 23:30:05 GMT -5
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