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Post by Steelernation on Oct 24, 2022 21:16:52 GMT -5
Cold front moved in yesterday afternoon, high was only 54 (12 c) today. Next week looks similar with highs in the 50s and low 60s, very nice for the time of year though. October has been objectively boring but it’s been exceedingly pleasant so I haven’t minded.
As far as foliage, wind has blown off a lot of leaves so I’d say ~10% of trees are bare and maybe 30% past peak. Id say another 25% are still peaking, 20% are changing and maybe 15% are still green. Oaks and willows are still green or just starting to change.
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Post by Beercules on Oct 26, 2022 2:18:41 GMT -5
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Post by cawfeefan on Oct 26, 2022 5:15:49 GMT -5
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Post by 🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿 on Oct 26, 2022 7:54:48 GMT -5
19C high tomorrow here with lows around 16C or 17C. Beercules |
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Post by greysrigging on Oct 26, 2022 19:48:32 GMT -5
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lancerman
Senior Member
Posts: 44
Location: Etobicoke ON, Canada
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Post by lancerman on Oct 27, 2022 1:19:11 GMT -5
Polar outbreak in the south east of AU early next week.....going to be some heavy November snowfalls in the mountains, even some low altitude snow in Victoria and Tasmania.   Holy shit those are insane snow totals for almost summer! Nearly a metre. |
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Post by jgtheone on Oct 27, 2022 3:35:05 GMT -5
Lmao I'm bushwalking up in Blackwood this Sunday. If only the snow was happening then
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Post by greysrigging on Oct 27, 2022 5:01:37 GMT -5
Rain, Storms And Snow About To Spread Over Australia ( source: Weatherzone )  Rain and thunderstorms will spread across Australia during the next five days, with a decent bout of late-season snow also on the cards for several states. A low pressure system that’s currently sitting over northern WA will drift towards the south over the next few days, dragging a large mass of tropical moisture across Australia. As this low and the associated moisture head south, they will interact with a strong cold front and cause rain and thunderstorms to spread across a large swathe of the country. Showers and thunderstorms will initially start to build over parts of WA, the NT and SA on Friday and Saturday. A broad area of rain and storms will then spread over the eastern half of Australia between Sunday and Tuesday, accompanied by strong and potentially damaging winds in some areas. The maps below show one computer model’s prediction for how this multi-day spell of rain and storms will play out.  It is important to note than while rain and storms are likely to affect a broad area of the country during the coming week, there is some uncertainty regarding exactly where and how much rain will fall. The three maps below show the predicted accumulated rainfall during the next seven days from three different computer models.    Interestingly, some of the precipitation that’s about to fall over Australia will reach the ground as snow, despite being one month away from the beginning of summer. A mass of frigid air spreading over southeastern Australia in the wake of a front should cause snow to settle in Tas, Vic and NSW between Monday and Thursday next week. Some areas could see around half a metre of fresh snow across these four days. |
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Post by rozenn on Oct 27, 2022 6:39:33 GMT -5
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Post by Steelernation on Oct 27, 2022 23:23:02 GMT -5
First snow of the season this morning! Changed over from rain at about 6:30 AM and ended up sticking to roofs and yards for a few hours before melting. In total 0.2” fell, which while not much was a still a pleasant surprise.
The weather changed quickly as the sun came out in the late morning and it warmed up to 55 (13 c). However, the foothills are still snow covered and looked quite beautiful, I missed the snow capped hills look.
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Post by greysrigging on Oct 28, 2022 1:05:16 GMT -5
SOME OF THE COLDEST WEATHER IN NOVEMBER FOR ABOUT 20 YEARS SET TO BLAST AUSTRALIA NEXT WEEK. ( source: Weather Matters with Karl Lijnders ) More wild weather on the way, with another large-scale low-pressure system to develop over the weekend but diving southwards away from the country. However, as that happens, it will help propel a large-scale upper trough towards Australia leading to an outbreak of severe storms, areas of moderate rainfall, strong and squally winds and a major airmass change next week. Farmers and Graziers be advised.  FROST WATCH FOR THE AG AREAS IN THE SOUTHEAST AND EAST INLAND NEXT WEEK. Following a major airmass change behind a sharp upper trough, frost is expected to form over mainly elevation at this stage, but I will not rule out that impacting some of the Ag Areas in the southeast and east of the country.  |
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Post by greysrigging on Oct 28, 2022 1:30:08 GMT -5
Huge temperature contrasts in SE Aus today ( source: Weatherzone )  If you draw a line from Brisbane to Adelaide and call everything to the right of that line "southeastern Australia", then SE Aus is a region of strong temperature contrasts this Friday. From sub-zero temps in the mountains to low 30s in northern NSW and SE Qld, there's pretty much every temperature for every taste. As we write this story around midday (AEDT) on Friday, it's -1°C at Thredbo while it was 30.6°C at Evans Head on the NSW North Coast. That's a real-time temp differential of 31.6 degrees in the same state, and for the record, there's even a little light snow falling at the top of Thredbo. There are also strong temp differences between Sydney and Melbourne today, with Sydney sitting on 23.1°C and Melbourne 15.2°C at midday. Meanwhile, Brisbane is heading for its third consecutive day (in what should be a run of about six days) of max temps on or above 30°C. Indeed, yesterday's top of 34.3°C wasn’t far off the Qld capital's hottest max to date for 2022, which was 35.5°C on Feb 2.  Why such big contrasts today? From time to time in spring, a Southern Ocean low pressure system pushes cool winds towards the Australian mainland, but they generally don't extend too far beyond Victoria and perhaps southern NSW. So in simple terms, this system has only travelled so far north.  There are also some more complex factors at play. For example, the east coast tends to be insulated from the coolest temperatures, due to air warming as it descends after crossing the mountains. One interesting aspect of today's weather is that it's just a warm-up for the big cool-down next week, when a much stronger series of cold fronts will usher in a strong unseasonable chill, with heavy spring snow likely for the mountains and a cold, wet, blustery week for the Melbourne Cup carnival. |
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Post by greysrigging on Oct 28, 2022 3:51:47 GMT -5
Supercell from Coolangatta/Tweed Heads ( QLD/NSW border ) ( pic by Jacci )  |
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Post by desiccatedi85 on Oct 28, 2022 10:06:00 GMT -5
Wow, a daily low temperature of 78.2F (25.6C). They’re getting some föhn winds it looks like. |
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Post by srfoskey on Oct 28, 2022 14:45:40 GMT -5
It's overcast today. We haven't had that many overcast days in the past several months, so the few that we have had come as a bit of a shock to the system with how dark it is.
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Post by srfoskey on Oct 30, 2022 13:15:06 GMT -5
We got some rain yesterday, and then some more cloudy weather today. But we'll need a lot more rain to get us out of this drought. There are almost no NWS alerts anywhere in the country currently.  |
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Post by greysrigging on Oct 30, 2022 23:03:32 GMT -5
MASSIVE NOVEMBER COLD FRONT HAS FOOTPRINTS OF MIDWINTER ( source: Weatherzone )  The scale of this thing is enormous. It's a huge pool of cold Antarctic air being hurled northwards by a deep low pressure system near Tasmania, and it's going to make much of southeastern Australia feel as cold as the bitterest day in July. Strong cold fronts are not unknown outside of winter in our southern states, but this one really is remarkable for both its strength and its duration, with chilly weather likely to set in for at least a couple of days. You can see the front illustrated really well in our synoptic chart for 10 pm Monday. It shows the front crossing the southeast, drawing frigid Antarctic air northwards in the direction indicated by the blue arrow.  The strength of this system would be noteworthy in midwinter. On Tuesday, many places will have a maximum of as much as 10-15 below normal, as illustrated in the image below which shows tomorrow's expected temperature anomalies (how far above or below the monthly average the max temp will be).  In addition to being cold and very windy, this will also be a wet system for pretty much anywhere on the southeast mainland, with the exception of the narrow strip east of the ranges along the east coast. So Melbourne will cop the full force of this system, while Sydney will be insulated from the worst of the cold and wet, although it should get some pretty strong winds. Indeed (as detailed in our story last week) Melbourne Cup Day is set to be the coldest since 2017, when the temperature was a miserable 14.4°C at 3 pm as the race jumped. There's every chance it will be even colder at 3 pm in Melbourne tomorrow. With so much cold air around, heavy snow is likely on the mountains of Tasmania, Victoria and New South Wales, with lighter snowfalls extending up to Central Tablelands of New South Wales above 1000m on Tuesday and 800m on Wednesday. Snow is even in the forecast for the NSW regional city of Orange (elevation 860 m) on Wednesday morning. We can recall several significant snowfalls on the Central Tablelands and nearby Blue Mts in October, but it's unclear when significant snow last fell in that region in November, and we'll try to let you know later this week. Meanwhile, as we write this story on Monday morning, the pressure of the low to the west of Tasmania is a very low 973 hPa. A hectopascal is a measure of air pressure and as you can see on the synoptic chart higher on the page, it's predicted to drop to 962 hPa this evening. That's seriously low. Indeed, it's approaching the sort of level you see with most tropical cyclones, and tells you something about the dynamism of this system. So all in all, this is a remarkably cold system for November, but it's also a potentially very dangerous weather event. Strong wind warnings are already in place today for parts of the Victorian coastline, and there will likely be many more such warnings across several states in the coming day or so. Please stay warm and safe! |
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Post by greysrigging on Oct 30, 2022 23:09:58 GMT -5
^^ Meanwhile, Northern Australia still under the influence of a severe to extreme heatwave....   |
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Post by rozenn on Oct 31, 2022 11:39:41 GMT -5
Large temperature contrast between Capanna Margherita and Visp, 41 km (25 mi) due north. Maybe it's usual lol, I usually don't look at that area on the temp map:  |
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Post by Ethereal on Oct 31, 2022 23:49:44 GMT -5
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