Severe Weather Warning
for DAMAGING WINDS and HEAVY RAINFALL
For people in parts of Central, East Gippsland, North Central, North East, West and South Gippsland, South West and Wimmera Forecast Districts.
Issued at 4:53 pm Monday, 2 October 2023.
Damaging winds developing over elevated areas during Tuesday morning. Heavy rain on the northeastern ranges from Tuesday afternoon.
Weather Situation: Northwesterly winds will strengthen from early Tuesday morning ahead of a cold front and associated upper trough.
Heavy rainfall is expected to develop over the ranges in northeastern Victoria during Tuesday afternoon as the progression of the front slows.
A low pressure system is forecast to develop over southern New South Wales during Wednesday. This system is likely to see warnings continuing across eastern Victoria during Wednesday and into Thursday.
For THE GRAMPIANS AND CENTRAL RANGES: Strong winds averaging 50 to 60 km/h with DAMAGING WIND GUSTS of 90 to 100 km/h are possible over elevated areas from early on Tuesday morning. Winds should ease over the Grampians from around sunrise before easing over the central ranges by late morning.
For GIPPSLAND AND THE NORTHEAST: DAMAGING WINDS averaging 60 to 70 km/h with peak gusts of 90 to 110 km/h are likely from Tuesday morning, mainly over elevated areas. Higher terrain above 1200 m may experience peak gusts of 120 km/h from around sunrise. Winds are expected to ease during Wednesday night.
HEAVY RAINFALL which may lead to FLASH FLOODING is forecast to develop over the northeast ranges from Tuesday afternoon. Six-hourly rainfall totals between 50 and 70 mm are possible, with 24-hour totals of 90 to 150 mm. This threat is likely to persist into Wednesday morning.
Flood watches are current for eastern catchments. Please refer to
www.bom.gov.au/vic/warnings/Locations which may be affected include Bright, Mt Baw Baw, Falls Creek, Mt Hotham, Mt Buller and Omeo.
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* If driving conditions are dangerous, safely pull over away from trees, drains, low-lying areas and floodwater. Avoid travel if possible.
* Stay safe by avoiding dangerous hazards, such as floodwater, mud, debris, damaged roads and fallen trees.
* Be aware - heat, fire or recent storms may make trees unstable and more likely to fall when it's windy or wet.
* Check that loose items, such as outdoor settings, umbrellas and trampolines are safely secured. Move vehicles under cover or away from trees.
* Stay indoors and away from windows.
* If outdoors, move to a safe place indoors. Stay away from trees, drains, gutters, creeks and waterways.
* Stay away from fallen powerlines - always assume they are live.
* Be aware that in fire affected areas, rainfall run-off into waterways may contain debris such as ash, soil, trees and rocks. Heavy rainfall may also increase the potential for landslides and debris across roads.
* Stay informed: Monitor weather warnings, forecasts and river levels at the Bureau of Meteorology website, and warnings through VicEmergency website/app/hotline.
A similar set up in Oct 1993 caused record breaking rainfall/flooding in northern, north eastern and Gippsland, Victoria.
A "Monster Approaches"! Instability over the interior is about to be collected by a cold front, currently sweeping through WA 🥶🌧️
This is the system that will cross Australia 🦘 during the week, eventually "collapsing" into a Low-pressure system 🌀 expected to form off the continents SE coast (Wed-Thur) 💦
Stay posted as this monumental event unfolds.
Up to 200mm could be seen in eastern Vic.
I have a good feeling bushfires won't be a problem in SE Australia by the end of the week 🌧️=🚫🔥
Images supplied by BoM
(Captured 2:45pm 2/10/23)
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