2017-18 Winter Discussion Thread (Northern Hemisphere)

neat; haven't noticed this pattern. More just a gradual warm-up before the storm, with most warmth at the cold front; guess that's what it's describing

GFS and Euro hinting at colder weather again starting February 15? Oh well, guess the break isn't gonna last forever

Depends if there is evaporative cooling. That layer is 300 metres.

Warm conditions quite likely for the southeast in the 6-10 day range. I wonder if the south will get another decent cold snap.

other still might hover in Canada; maybe chill the Midwest but not drop down far enough for a real "arctic blast"

Nice radiational cooling last night in the coubtryside southwest of Paris. Coldest was Châteaudun with -13.8°C (7°F) around midnight, down from a 4.3°C (40°F) high. Could have been an interesting low if it hadn't clouded over.

Prior to Wednesday I’d never noticed this pattern either. The temp spiked from the mid 30’s to near 50 in the span of an hour, stayed warm for 2 hours before dropping back down into the 30’s.

It’s been stuck between 11 and 27 (-12 and -3 C) for 5 straight days now.

We've also had a near constant light snow and overcast over this period.

This pattern is boring as fuck, unpleasant and getting real old real fast but there’s no end in sight. 

At least it’s better than 2 C and rain ever day and it’s not frigid...well if it was frigid it would at least be interesting and not useless, boring cold.

Maple buds have fattened a lot and are on track for early march bloomin... sycamores have joined the buddin list and cherries are bloomin... so far a normal pace... however things are about to get dicey... no lows below 40 next 10 days with a 60 degree low, and multiple 70 degree highs with only a few days below 60... could head for an early blooming and if so this year is fucked agriculturally maybe... first we got hit with record cold... as in 1989 level record cold... then get hit with an early bloomin we risk a late freeze... and with drought across the south if the summer rains dont come... we are fucked agriculturally big time.winter spring and summer completely fucked. 

Only 2 days forecast below 60... gon be some bradfords bloomin before march instead of early march like normal.  Also 0 sun in the forecast just as uv index hits 4... sunsets also later now at 5:50 with light lastin a good deal into 6.  On bright side we are riding the gulf rain train with nonstop sw flow of wet warm weather... looks like dec 2015. We need the rain...

Shoot forget late freezes, if we get a feb green up like last year a good ol regular mid march freeze will do the job. Doubt we will green up like feb 2017 but maybe like 2011?