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Post by 🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿 on Dec 19, 2018 21:22:48 GMT -5
AJ1013 don't be angry but I think your splendidly performing (up till now) mödèl needs some work. Fücson and Vancückver will be getting snowfall it looks like!
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Post by AJ1013 on Dec 19, 2018 21:30:55 GMT -5
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Post by 🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿 on Dec 19, 2018 21:36:30 GMT -5
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Post by AJ1013 on Dec 19, 2018 21:44:45 GMT -5
🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿 actually that’s still pretty close to my mödél lol Trough is just slightly too far east (in the mödél)
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Post by 🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿 on Dec 19, 2018 21:45:54 GMT -5
True. Like I said, it's quite a splendid mödèl. Just needs a few tweaks.
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Post by Giorbanguly on Dec 19, 2018 22:24:52 GMT -5
Noice! I like that model too, if you get what I'm saying
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Post by nei on Dec 19, 2018 23:19:14 GMT -5
MOAR RAIN
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Post by nei on Dec 19, 2018 23:48:43 GMT -5
video of non-boring weather in San Francisco; reminds me a bit of the Oregon coast in spring; though I sorta similar with heavy rain but less convective clouds visiting San Francisco in December
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Post by nei on Dec 20, 2018 0:07:57 GMT -5
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Post by nei on Dec 20, 2018 0:16:56 GMT -5
intense storm coming up the coast. most intense over Florida No snow or even sleet from this storm will reach south of the US-Canadian border. Warm airmass; warm enough Mt. Washington is forecast to reach 43°F in the middle of the rainstorm Totals for the rainstorm www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-3.shtml
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Post by Speagles84 on Dec 20, 2018 7:58:13 GMT -5
High reached 44F yesterday, "soarcher". Low last night dropped to 21F, another seasonably cool morning. High today is 49F bullshit winter weather. 49 is now +15 This time of year
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Post by Beercules on Dec 20, 2018 9:59:30 GMT -5
Looks like some activity in 🖕🏿Mörön🖕🏿's neck of the woods
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Post by Crunch41 on Dec 20, 2018 10:07:57 GMT -5
Speagles84 December is very mild for me too. Only 1" of snow through the 20th and not much cold weather. No cold in the forecast, either. December could end warmer than November this year. Zero chance of a White Christmas this year. Madison has snow cover on Christmas about 2/3 of the time.
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Post by ral31 on Dec 20, 2018 10:09:07 GMT -5
AJ1013 don't be angry but I think your splendidly performing (up till now) mödèl needs some work. Fücson and Vancückver will be getting snowfall it looks like! I'm thinking it may be cooler than shown by that 8-14 day range map for my area. The GFS is showing mostly cooler temps arriving by Dec 29. The latest run even shows a bit of snow across north Louisiana on New Years Day.
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Post by Speagles84 on Dec 20, 2018 10:26:28 GMT -5
Speagles84 December is very mild for me too. Only 1" of snow through the 20th and not much cold weather. No cold in the forecast, either. December could end warmer than November this year. Zero chance of a White Christmas this year. Madison has snow cover on Christmas about 2/3 of the time. My location has a white Christmas 40-50%, the European is showing a chance for me now, but I'm definitely not counting on it
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Post by alex992 on Dec 20, 2018 13:25:18 GMT -5
Getting cloudier here and I heard the first rumble of thunder for the day today. Radar looks promising, we even have the off chance of an isolated tornado or two. Should be an interesting day. Sharply cooler weather tomorrow and Saturday, TWC has a 46 F low for us on Saturday night and 50 F for tomorrow night.
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Post by Wildcat on Dec 20, 2018 13:57:26 GMT -5
Typical gloomy December weather here. Mid 40s with steady light rain.
The forecast looks sunny for Christmas though.
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Post by nei on Dec 20, 2018 18:24:54 GMT -5
really warm mid-levels 850 hPa / about 4500 feet. Above 10°C in New England tomorrow with 2+ inches of rain. RIP New England mountain snowpack. coastal New England forecast forecast to get gusts up to 55 mph. Squally! Not a true 'Noreaster as the track is too inland… and the wind is coming from the south. Diagram of the storm dynamic by someone who's the same age AJ1013from the Mt. Washington Observatory. Warm air already there at 4300 feet, maybe that's the "low level jet" in the diagram. Cold air damming below and just not filtering down below yet.
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Post by AJ1013 on Dec 20, 2018 18:28:36 GMT -5
nei making me look bad I see
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Post by nei on Dec 20, 2018 18:40:38 GMT -5
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